#1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jameis Winston (QB, Florida State)
The big question is whether the Buccs trade back into the first for a left tackle. It’ll only cost a later round pick.
#2 Tennessee Titans — Marcus Mariota (QB, Oregon)
A couple of weeks ago it seemed nailed on this pick would be traded. Instead Tennessee faces a situation where they end up taking Mariota.
#3 Jacksonville Jaguars — Amari Cooper (WR, Alabama)
They ranked sixth in the league for sacks last season. Gus Bradley can manufacture a pass rush. They need to build around Blake Bortles. Is Todd Gurley an option?
#4 Oakland Raiders — Leonard Williams (DE, USC)
With Cooper off the board this could be an easy choice. Keep building up the defensive front and take a receiver at the top of round two.
#Washington Redskins — Dante Fowler Jr (DE, Florida)
Cornerback is a big need and they could move into the teens before looking at Byron Jones, Marcus Peters or Kevin Johnson. If they stay here, Fowler Jr should be the guy.
#6 New York Jets — Brandon Scherff (T, Iowa)
They’ve brought in Brandon Marshall and the defense is based around strong secondary play not outside linebackers. Improving the O-line might be the priority.
#7 Chicago Bears — Kevin White (WR, West Virginia)
If Kevin White falls to this spot they can snap him up and concentrate on defense in round two.
#8 Atlanta Falcons — Bud Dupree (LB, Kentucky)
Dupree could fill the Bruce Irvin role for Dan Quinn. An athletic linebacker who lines up at the LOS on passing downs.
#9 New York Giants — Andrus Peat (T, Stanford)
A prototype left tackle on tape. He doesn’t have a classic body shape but he looked the part at Stanford.
#10 St. Louis Rams — Ereck Flowers (T, Miami)
He’s very underrated. Flowers is nasty — he drives people off the line. He’s big and physical. He’s a better prospect than Anthony Davis was in 2010.
#11 Minnesota Vikings — Trae Waynes (CB, Michigan State)
The Bengals drafted multiple first round corners for Mike Zimmer and the Vikings could use a similar approach. Waynes is a nice fit for the scheme.
#12 Cleveland Browns — Devante Parker (WR, Louisville)
Cleveland’s offense looks like a sorry mess. If they can’t trade up for Mariota, what is plan B? Surely they’d have to consider one of the receivers here?
#13 New Orleans Saints — Vic Beasley (DE, Clemson)
Beasley’s still on the board and the Saints need a pass rusher. Perfect fit.
#14 Miami Dolphins — Todd Gurley (RB, Georgia)
They seem to want an impact player on offense. Gurley is one of the best players in the draft — a top-ten pick without the ACL injury. He could still go in that range.
#15 San Francisco 49ers — Arik Armstead (DT, Oregon)
There’s still a big question mark over whether Justin Smith will retire. Even if he continues, it’s probably only for one more year.
#16 Houston Texans — Breshad Perriman (WR, UCF)
They moved on from Andre Johnson. Perriman isn’t the same sure-handed, reliable target. But there’s a physical comparison at least.
#17 San Diego Chargers — Danny Shelton (DT, Washington)
Melvin Gordon will be tempting but Shelton fills a vital need for the Chargers at nose tackle.
#18 Kansas City Chiefs — La’el Collins (T, LSU)
The top four receivers are off the board so they look elsewhere. O-line is just as much of a need. Collins can play guard or tackle.
#19 Cleveland Browns — Malcom Brown (DT, Texas)
After taking a receiver at #12 they know they need to bolster their defensive line. Brown is a terrific prospect.
#20 Philadelphia Eagles — Damarious Randall (S, Arizona State)
He’s the fast riser in this class. Randall has a nose for the ball and the athleticism to become a rangy free safety.
#21 Cincinnati Bengals — Jake Fisher (T, Oregon)
Fisher’s strong combine and legit upside makes him a tantalising prospect. The word is Cincy are keen.
#22 Pittsburgh Steelers — Kevin Johnson (CB, Wake Forest)
There’s a feeling Pittsburgh will go corner here. They’ve avoided character red flags in round one over the last few years.
#23 Detroit Lions — Cameron Erving (C, Florida State)
It’s a big need and Erving is just a really solid, multi-year starter at center.
#24 Arizona Cardinals — Melvin Gordon (RB, Wisconsin)
Run to the podium time. Gordon isn’t just a dynamic runner — he’s a heart and soul type who sets the tone during the week.
#25 Carolina Panthers — Nelson Agholor (WR, USC)
They have to find a tackle but value wins out here. Agholor perfectly compliments Kelvin Benjamin and provides a safety net for Cam Newton.
#26 Baltimore Ravens — Marcus Peters (CB, Washington)
Peters would be a fine addition for the Ravens. This is an ideal fit for player and team. Tough, skilled and ready to make an impact.
#27 Dallas Cowboys — Benardrick McKinney (LB, Mississippi State)
With Peters off the board and Shane Ray falling out of the first round, McKinney comes into play. He’s similar physically to Rolando McClain.
#28 Denver Broncos — Cedric Ogbuehi (T, Texas A&M)
The offensive line is likely to be the priority and Ogbuehi is expected to find a home in the late first round.
#29 Indianapolis Colts — Landon Collins (S, Alabama)
The Colts need to keep improving on defense and Collins is good value here. An instant starter who can hit and cover.
#30 Green Bay Packers — Eric Rowe (CB, Utah)
They could move down with teams looking to get a tackle or Phillip Dorsett. If they stay put — inside linebacker or cornerback appears to be the target.
#31 New Orleans Saints — Preston Smith (DE, Mississippi State)
Smith adds further power and speed to New Orleans’ new front alongside Vic Beasley.
#32 New England Patriots — Eddie Goldman (DT, Florida State)
Arguably FSU’s best player in 2014. Capable of rushing the passer but particularly stout against the run.
Before we get into round two — I was invited to take part in the latest Sea Hawkers Podcast. Check it out here:
#33 Tennessee Titans — T.J. Clemmings (T, Pittsburgh)
Clemmings has enormous potential as a right tackle. Protect Marcus Mariota and get a running back to pound the rock later on.
#34 Tampa Bay Buccaneers — D.J. Humphries (T, Florida)
The Buccs could consider moving back into the first round to get a tackle. They need to protect Jameis Winston.
#35 Oakland Raiders — Phillip Dorsett (WR, Miami)
They went after Randall Cobb and Dorsett is a similar type of player. They could move into round one to make sure they get him.
#36 Jacksonville Jaguars — Eli Harold (DE, Virginia)
They get their LEO rusher to work the edge with this pick. Harold has massive potential.
#37 New York Jets — Shane Ray (DE, Missouri)
Somebody will stop the fall eventually. Ray isn’t the perfect scheme fit for New York but he gets after the quarterback.
#38 Washington Redskins — Byron Jones (CB, Connecticut)
Jones has the potential to go so much earlier than this. Flawless character, insane athleticism. What a steal for the Redskins.
#39 Chicago Bears — Eric Kendricks (LB, UCLA)
A really solid pick as they look to build a new defense. Kendricks makes tackles and flies around.
#40 New York Giants — Mario Edwards Jr (DE, Florida State)
The Giants move him inside to the three technique and address a big need.
#41 St. Louis Rams — A.J. Cann (G, South Carolina)
The Rams have needs at every offensive line position. Cann fills a hole inside.
#42 Atlanta Falcons — Laken Tomlinson (G, Duke)
The Falcons need help at guard. Tomlinson is a high character, hard working player with plenty of upside.
#43 Cleveland Browns — Denzel Perryman (LB, Miami)
Not the biggest or fastest player but he brings a high level of intensity and can start immediately.
#44 New Orleans Saints — Stephone Anthony (LB, Clemson)
Another defensive need filled. The Saints become even stronger up the middle with the addition of Anthony.
#45 Minnesota Vikings — Grady Jarrett (DT, Clemson)
He flies into the backfield like a three-technique but he’s stout enough to be a nose. Really fun player to watch.
#46 San Francisco 49ers — Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, Missouri)
The top linebackers are off the board. They could and probably should move up for one in this scenario. If not, DGB faces the LOB twice a year.
#47 Miami Dolphins — Donovan Smith (T, Penn State)
He starts at guard but could eventually move outside to tackle.
#48 San Diego Chargers — Ameer Abdullah (RB, Nebraska)
Sparky running back who can be a threat in the passing game. It’s a nice match with San Diego’s offense.
#49 Kansas City Chiefs — Devin Smith (WR, Ohio State)
There’s some DeSean Jackson to his game. Andy Reid puts him next to Jeremy Maclin and tries to find a spark in the passing game.
#50 Buffalo Bills — Ty Sambrailo (T, Colorado State)
The Bills need to keep adding to their offensive line. Sambrailo is versatile and can cover a number of different positions.
#51 Houston Texans — Jordan Phillips (DT, Oklahoma)
This feels very low for a huge athletic mountain. If he lasts this long the Texans won’t believe their luck.
#52 Philadelphia Eagles — Jaelen Strong (WR, Arizona State)
They still have a need at the position and Strong could provide an outside threat for Chip Kelly.
#53 Cincinnati Bengals — Tyler Lockett (WR, Kansas State)
They like these smaller receivers. Lockett was a production machine in college, he has terrific character and he’s a kick returner.
#54 Detroit Lions — Tevin Coleman (RB, Indiana)
He’s athletic enough to compliment what they already have. A true home-run hitter.
#55 Arizona Cardinals — Nate Orchard (DE, Utah)
The Cardinals reach a little bit to fill a need. Orchard isn’t quick but he’s technically adept.
#56 Pittsburgh Steelers — Henry Anderson (DT, Stanford)
Great length and a superb combine. He can be more than just a great run stopper at the next level.
#57 Carolina Panthers — Ronald Darby (CB, Florida State)
The options at tackle are all gone so they take a corner instead.
#58 Baltimore Ravens — Carl Davis (DT, Iowa)
They need some size up front after trading away Haltoi Ngata.
#59 Denver Broncos — Paul Dawson (LB, TCU)
He had a poor combine but on tape he just makes plays. The Broncos have a need at inside linebacker.
#60 Dallas Cowboys — T.J. Yeldon (RB, Alabama)
Physically he compares well to DeMarco Murray.
#61 Indianapolis Colts — Jalen Collins (CB, LSU)
Could he fall further than this? Sure. A broken foot, lack of starts and some off-field flags could lead to a fall.
#62 Green Bay Packers — Maxx Williams (TE, Minnesota)
He just seems like a great fit. Plays tough, reliable, safe hands, slightly cocky attitude.
#63 Seattle Seahawks — Mitch Morse (C, Missouri)
Doesn’t get beat and has almost identical size to Max Unger — Seattle fills the hole at center.
#64 New England Patriots — Devin Funchess (WR, Michigan)
He can play as a hybrid receiver/joker TE for the Patriots.
Thoughts on Seattle’s pick
I didn’t include trades in this mock. By the time Seattle’s on the clock, many of the top receivers and defensive players are off the board. I had them take the best offensive lineman available.
Mitch Morse is the pick. He competes for a start with Patrick Lewis and Lemuel Jeanpierre in camp and likely wins the job. He has almost identical size to Max Unger. He doesn’t get beat. It’s a solid, long term investment at the center position.
Several other O-lineman are off the board — including possible targets Ty Sambrailo and Donovan Smith.
Could Seattle move up in this scenario? Sure. Dorial Green-Beckham is off the board too soon to expect a fourth round pick to get the job done. If he fell any further, he comes into play.
Defensively Jalen Collins is tantalisingly close to #63. Depending on how you feel about his character, you’d almost have to show a degree of interest there. Collins has incredible potential.
I wouldn’t expect the Seahawks to show interest in moving up for Jaelen Strong.
There are a few others that could be targeted via trade if they fell. A lot of those players go in the first part of round two — such as Eli Harold.
What about the rest of the picks?
If they go Morse at #63, they could look at Frank Clark in round three or Tre McBride. Chris Conley can’t be ruled out, possibly in round four. I think the interest in Mike Davis is legit and I still believe Ty Montgomery is going to be drafted by the Seahawks. Josue Matias could be brought in to play guard and I’d be very interested to see where Rob Crisp lands.
Don’t forget tomorrow we’ll be broadcasting live throughout the draft. Listen along for analysis with a Seahawks slant.
I also want to thank the community here for another great year of draft talk. There’s no bickering, no drama. Just a bunch of people debating the draft. You are all first round picks to me.