Future Cleveland Browns quarterback?
#1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jameis Winston (QB, Florida State)
Winston reportedly met with Roger Goodell last week. Not so discretely, it seems all parties are preparing to introduce him as the #1 pick.
#2 **TRADE** Cleveland Browns — Marcus Mariota (QB, Oregon)
The Browns have done absolutely nothing in free agency to lift the spirits of a desperate fan base. It’s clear Manziel is a bust. They need some hope, something to build around. Here they trade the #12, #19 and a future pick in 2016 to the Titans to make Mariota the future.
#3 Jacksonville Jaguars — Dante Fowler Jr (DE, Florida)
They’ve beefed up the interior and have their version of the 5-tech in Jared Odrick. Chris Clemons is their best edge rusher and he’s 34 this year. Fowler is the top of the class here — a genuine playmaker. Gus Bradley will love his energy.
#4 Oakland Raiders — Amari Cooper (WR, Alabama)
Cooper vs White. Cooper gets the nod because he’s a little more adept at getting open in the short game and technically he’s extremely polished as a route runner. He’s the most natural looking receiver to enter the league since A.J. Green.
#5 Washington Redskins — Vic Beasley (DE, Clemson)
They’ve bolstered the interior with a cluster of big bodies (Knighton, Paea, Jean-Francois). Now they need an edge rusher to replace Brian Orakpo. Beasley had an insane combine and has a chance to emulate Von Miller coming into the league.
#6 New York Jets — Kevin White (WR, West Virginia)
With Revis and Cromartie back in New York, they’re set up to run Todd Bowles’ scheme. Remember, he didn’t have a fantastic edge rusher in Arizona either. They have enough D-line talent to succeed. Attention should turn to the offense. Yes they have Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker — but they need more.
#7 Chicago Bears — Randy Gregory (OLB, Nebraska)
Vic Fangio relaunched the San Francisco defense when they drafted Aldon Smith. Gregory has similar upside to Smith without any of the off-field drama. He’s far from the finished product but Fangio is a fantastic coach. They need a proper 3-4 outside backer more than anything.
#8 Atlanta Falcons — Leonard Williams (DE, USC)
In my early mocks I had Williams falling a bit and I’m going back to it. He’s a very accomplished player but what is his best fit at the next level? He is not close to the same type of athlete as J.J. Watt who lasted until pick #11. I don’t see a top-three lock.
#9 New York Giants — Bud Dupree (OLB, Kentucky)
No team has brought in more free agents than the Giants so far. They haven’t really added anything major to the defensive line, however. Dupree could be their answer to Bruce Irvin — playing the WILL and moving down to the LOS to rush the edge. Dupree has the range and athleticism to make it work.
#10 St. Louis Rams — Brandon Scherff (T, Iowa)
Personally I prefer Ereck Flowers. Scherff is more athletic and just looks like the type of guy you’d expect Jeff Fisher to covet. After all the moves in free agency, O-line is the big need for the Rams. This could end up being a lock.
#11 Minnesota Vikings — Trae Waynes (CB, Michigan State)
A superb combine performance has Waynes pushing towards the top ten. This could launch a rush on the position in round one. Minnesota traded for Mike Wallace today, taking away the need to go with Devante Parker here. They need to keep re-building the defense for Mike Zimmer.
#12 Tennessee Titans — Danny Shelton (DT, Washington)
After re-signing Derrick Morgan and adding Brian Orakpo today, the Titans are starting to put together a competent defense. Putting Shelton next to Jurrell Casey just screams Dick Le Beau. Tennessee’s defense will be tough to beat with this double-act leading the way.
#13 New Orleans Saints — Shane Ray (DE, Missouri)
There are many different opinions on Ray’s stock and no real consensus on where he’ll go. That could be the same in several war-rooms too. What is his best fit? Can he play in the 4-3? Can you deal with a lack of true size/length? Eventually he’ll come off the board.
#14 Miami Dolphins — DeVante Parker (WR, Louisville)
They’ve added some pieces to the offense in Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. Jarvis Landry had a great rookie campaign. They do lack a true #1 receiver though. If they’re going for it this year, giving Ryan Tannehill as many weapons as possible is a must.
#15 San Francisco 49ers — Arik Armstead (DE, Oregon)
This looks like the early stages of a rebuild. Armstead has incredible size and would be an immediate starter/replacement for Justin Smith. They need to start working on the defense after losing so many key players. It starts up front.
#16 Houston Texans — Eddie Goldman (DT, Florida State)
Brilliant personality and probably FSU’s best player in 2014. He has the size to play the nose, he’s a superb run-defender and he still offers plenty as a pass rusher. Simply a brilliant talent, rich in potential and set for a nice career. Former 5-star recruit.
#17 San Diego Chargers — Melvin Gordon (RB, Wisconsin)
They’re in win-now mode and lost Ryan Mathews to the Eagles. They need to keep adding X-factor players to take the strain away from Philip Rivers. Gordon will be a much coveted player — he’s a playmaker with incredible character and work ethic.
#18 Kansas City Chiefs — D.J. Humphries (T, Florida)
They’ve addressed the need at receiver with Jeremy Maclin and now they can be a bit more flexible here. Eric Fisher has been a flop so far and is better suited at right tackle. Humphries has left tackle-mobility and major upside.
#19 Tennessee Titans — Jalen Collins (CB, LSU)
Collins is long, talented and filled with potential. It’s no exaggeration to say he has the potential to be a leading corner in the NFL. I’d take him ahead of Waynes. This would be a fantastic pick for the Titans.
#20 Philadelphia Eagles — Marcus Peters (CB, Washington)
Chip Kelly’s love affair with former Pac-12 players continues. The Eagles added Byron Maxwell but he needs a partner in crime. Walter Thurmond will cover the slot. If this is an attempt to mimic the Seahawks, Peters is a perfect fit with his physical style and press-man skills.
#21 Cincinnati Bengals — Malcom Brown (DT, Texas)
Another former 5-star recruit with major potential. His stock would be much higher if Texas hadn’t fallen away as a national contender. Lives in the backfield — he’s an absolute terror. Put him next to Geno Atkins and enjoy.
#22 Pittsburgh Steelers — Landon Collins (S, Alabama)
Eventually the day will come when they need to replace Troy Polamalu. That day feels like it’s close. Collins is physical, rangy and loves to hit. He’d have some big shoes to fill, but he’s the same style of safety.
#23 Detroit Lions — La’el Collins (T, LSU)
A lot of the top defensive tackles are off the board so they go in a different direction. Collins can play tackle or guard. He looked in superb shape at the combine. He could go earlier than this.
#24 Arizona Cardinals — Eli Harold (DE, Virginia)
They’ve missed out on Brian Orakpo to the Titans and haven’t really filled that edge-rush hole. Harold is the definition of ‘pissed off for greatness’ and would be a classic fit in the Cardinals’ sparky defense.
#25 Carolina Panthers — Andrus Peat (T, Stanford)
He looks like a prototype on tape but at the combine his body shape was pretty strange — enormous lower body, smaller upper body. It could put some teams off. If he falls, Carolina will pounce on the value here.
#26 Baltimore Ravens — Todd Gurley (RB, Georgia)
They’ve re-signed Justin Forsett on a modest deal. They can now add Gurley, redshirt him and dominate the AFC North from 2016.
#27 Dallas Cowboys — Byron Jones (CB, Connecticut)
This has to be a defensive pick surely? Jones’ stunning combine should push him into the first frame. Dallas can take a player at pretty much any position on defense and you can make a case to justify it.
#28 Denver Broncos — Ereck Flowers (T, Miami)
I’m a big fan of Flowers and think he could go a lot earlier than this. Whether you move him inside to guard or start him at right tackle — he plays with a mean edge, drives defenders off the line in the running game and just gets the job done.
#29 Indianapolis Colts — T.J. Clemmings (T, Pittsburgh)
He has incredible upside and for that reason could go in the top-20 easily. And yet he’s such a work in progress. He might not offer much as a rookie. The Colts ideally go defense here but can they afford to pass on value like this? He’s worth a shot. Great character too.
#30 Green Bay Packers — Stephone Anthony (LB, Clemson)
His stock has exploded after a good combine and even better pro-day. The Packers need to add a centerpiece at the heart of their defense. They can’t afford to get cute if they want Anthony and might just take him here — or after a small trade out of the first round.
#31 New Orleans Saints — Jordan Phillips (DT, Oklahoma)
After taking an edge rusher at #13 they add a nose tackle to anchor their 3-4 defense. This really depends on the health of Phillips’ back. He has the athleticism and power to be a special player if it all clicks at the next level.
#32 New England Patriots — Kevin Johnson (CB, Wake Forest)
There’s a bit of a drop after Johnson so the Pats — in desperate need of talent at cornerback — have to consider this. How do you lose Revis and Browner in one off-season and not think about the position here?
#33 Tennessee Titans — Breshad Perriman (WR, USF)
#34 Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Jake Fisher (T, Oregon)
#35 Oakland Raiders — Carl Davis (DT, Iowa)
#36 Jacksonville Jaguars — Erick Kendricks (LB, UCLA)
#37 New York Jets — Bendarick McKinney (LB, Mississippi State)
#38 Washington Redskins — Ronald Darby (CB, Florida State)
#39 Chicago Bears — Owa Odighizuwa (DE, UCLA)
#40 New York Giants — Preston Smith (DE, Mississippi State)
#41 St. Louis Rams — Cameron Erving (C, Florida State)
#42 Atlanta Falcons — Phillip Dorsett (WR, Miami)
#43 Cleveland Browns — Jaelen Strong (WR, Arizona State)
#44 New Orleans Saints — Devin Funchess (WR, Michigan)
#45 Minnesota Vikings — Paul Dawson (LB, TCU)
#46 San Francisco 49ers — Denzel Perryman (LB, Miami)
#47 Miami Dolphins — Shaq Thompson (LB/S, Washington)
#48 San Diego Chargers — Grady Jarrett (DT, Clemson)
#49 Kansas City Chiefs — Nelson Agholor (WR, USC)
#50 Buffalo Bills — A.J. Cann (G, South Carolina)
#51 Houston Texans — Maxx Williams (TE, Minnesota)
#52 Philadelphia Eagles — Devin Smith (WR, Ohio State)
#53 Cincinnati Bengals — Tyler Lockett (WR, Kansas State)
#54 Detroit Lions — Michael Bennett (DT, Ohio State)
#55 Arizona Cardinals — T.J. Yeldon (RB, Alabama)
#56 Pittsburgh Steelers — Steven Nelson (CB, Oregon State)
#57 Carolina Panthers — Dorial Green-Beckham (WR, Missouri)
#58 Baltimore Ravens — Henry Anderson (DE, Stanford)
#59 Denver Broncos — Tevin Coleman (RB, Indiana)
#60 Dallas Cowboys — Jay Ajayi (RB, Boise State)
#61 Indianapolis Colts — Eric Rowe (CB, Utah)
#62 Green Bay Packers — P.J. Williams (CB, Florida State)
#63 Seattle Seahawks — Ty Sambrailo (T/G, Colorado State)
#64 New England Patriots — Sammie Coates (WR, Auburn)
A quick thought on Seattle’s pick. I suspect we’ll see a lot of receivers come off the board at the start of day two meaning the options are fairly limited at #63. You’re not likely to trade up and give away valuable mid-round picks — not this year anyway. With Tyler Lockett and Henry Anderson off the board it was pretty simple to take Ty Sambrailo here. It’s probably a round early for most teams — but the Seahawks won’t care. He’s an ideal scheme fit. Tom Cable combines a zone blocking scheme with size for the power running game. Sambrailo has nimble feet and great mobility — plus the size to fill the enormous hole left by James Carpenter. It’s a great fit.
Having addressed the key needs on offense (dynamic big target) and defense (cornerback) the next big issue is the offensive line. They’ve lost two starters (Carpenter & Max Unger) and need to be proactive here. Sambrailo offers a day one starter at guard. The Seahawks seem to like tackle converts — he ticks that box too.
I suspect Tyler Lockett will be highly desirable as a possible kick-returner and contributor to the passing game. He’s off the board at #53 to Cincinnati. There’s good enough depth at the position to wait until rounds 3-4, where they could target Tre McBride.