Time for this week’s mock and only one trade in this projection. I think it’s fairly obvious New York and Tampa Bay will come to some kind of deal for Darrelle Revis. Despite the posturing going on at the moment, the Jets would be silly to let the only suitor drift away when they appear willing to part with a high first round pick. In twelve months the Jets will get nothing. Zilch. Nada. They cannot franchise Revis per the terms of his contract.
If they want extra’s like Minnesota got for Percy Harvin, I’d argue don’t jeopardise the deal. After all, the difference between the #25 pick and the #13 pick is worth more than a 2014 third rounder and a 2013 seventh. Plus the Vikings would’ve had the freedom to franchise Harvin next year. Plus Harvin isn’t coming off an ACL injury.
In fact, why hasn’t this deal been completed yet? Surely the Jets won’t blow this opportunity? Sure, Revis is a good player. A very good player. But they’ll lose him for nothing next year anyway. That much is almost guaranteed. Get the deal done already.
The Seahawks’ pick is fairly straightforward. I think they have to consider what defensive tackles are on the board at #56. In this situation I considered the pick a bit of a no-brainer. While Jesse Williams is considered a borderline first rounder in some quarters, ESPN’s Scouts Inc ranks him as the #55 overall prospect and Mike Mayock only has him as the #5 ranked 3-4 defensive end (below even William Gholston).
There are two things to remember here in terms of a potential fall. Firstly, Williams seems to get banged up a little bit. Nothing too serious, but he left games as a junior and senior. He missed the Senior Bowl. He didn’t do all the drills at the combine. Secondly, he’s not a pass rusher. He’s a one-dimensional defender who excels in holding position and taking away running lanes.
He reminds me a little bit of Stephen Paea who went #53 overall in 2011. Williams is bigger in size, but Paea has greater core strength (as emphasised by his 49 reps of the bench press). Both will be effective against the run. The Seahawks weren’t particularly hard to run against in the second half of the 2012 season. Put Williams alongside Brandon Mebane and a healthy Red Bryant and that might change. Plus, he has the flexibility to cover Bryant at end which could be crucial.
I’ve included a possible third round pick for the Seahawks at the bottom of the article — Xavier Nixon, left tackle from Florida who’s more likely to end up on the right side in the NFL.
I also wanted to represent a report today suggesting Cordarrelle Patterson could drop into round two, with LSU’s Eric Reid heading in the opposite direction. Patterson has a lot of physical talent as a kick returner and open field runner. Yet he’ll come into the league needing to learn pretty much everything from scratch. He has one year of experience in the NCAA playing receiver, didn’t run any complex routes and his technique catching the ball (always into the body) leaves a lot to be desired. He’s quite a reclusive personality too which I suspect will be difficult for teams to judge. How badly does this guy want to be great? He’ll need to want it, given the sheer number of technical improvements he has to make.
That could lead to a fall. This report, if true, wouldn’t shock me. But of course at this time of year, teams just love to put out a lot of misinformation. So tread carefully.
As for Reid, he’s a brutish safety in the Kam Chancellor mould. While he had a pretty average year for LSU in 2012, I can see why teams needing a hard-hitting safety will look his way. He’s better than Taylor Mays who went in the second round. Quite a few people who’ve worked in the league have talked positively about Reid this off-season.
By the way, if you missed it earlier Kip wrote a fantastic piece on the late round quarterback options for Seattle. Make sure you check it out.
|#1 Eric Fisher (T, Central Michigan)
They’re keeping their cards close to their chest. It’ll be Fisher, Luke Joeckel or Dion Jordan, surely?
|#2 Dion Jordan (DE, Oregon)
They need a pass rusher. Pure and simple.
|#3 Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida)
This will be a long rebuild.
|#4 Luke Joeckel (T, Texas A&M)
Hard to pass on a player who can lock down the left tackle position for years to come.
|#5 Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia)
Again, I just have a hunch that he’ll go earlier than most people expect.
|#6 Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama)
If they get Milliner, they can feel pretty good about this off-season.
|#7 Lane Johnson (T, Oklahoma)
This is far and away the teams biggest need following the Carson Palmer trade.
|#8 Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia)
They could move up to make sure they get Smith. They can’t rely on Kevin Kolb.
|#9 Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU)
He could line up in multiple looks for Rex Ryan.
|#10 Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri)
It’s hard not to love this guy.
|#11 Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah)
With the top left tackles off the board, they’re forced to look elsewhere.
|#12 D.J. Fluker (T, Alabama)
A lot of men in that Miami front office like road grader-style tackles.
|#13 Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina)
He’s too good to stay on the board for long. It seems certain this pick will be traded by Tampa Bay for Darrelle Revis.
|#14 Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas)
Another solid addition to that Panthers defense.
|#15 Barkevious Mingo (DE, LSU)
Local connections plus they need a pass rusher.
|#16 Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State)
They need an outside linebacker.
|#17 Jarvis Jones (OLB, Georgia)
He could sink in a bad way, but he is the prototype fit at outside linebacker in Pittsburgh’s scheme.
|#18 Chance Warmack (G, Alabama)
This would be a nice get for Dallas.
|#19 Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State)
He could fall further than this.
|#20 Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia)
Fills a need. Athletic potential could make this a steal. Character concerns linger.
|#21 Matt Elam (S, Florida)
Fierce hitter with playmaking qualities.
|#22 Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama)
They must have a physical runner in this division.
|#23 Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina)
Talent-wise he deserves to go in round one.
|#24 Justin Pugh (G, Syracuse)
A huge need for the Colts.
|#25 Manti Te’o (LB, Notre Dame)
They hit on Rudolph and Harrison, so why not go back for the Notre Dame hat-trick?
|#26 Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame)
Donald Driver’s retired, Greg Jennings is in Minnesota. They could go for a pass catcher here.
|#27 Robert Woods (WR, USC)
Receiver looks like a strong option here.
|#28 Eric Reid (S, LSU)
Perhaps we under estimated his upside? Talk today suggests he could be a first round pick. He does have admirers.
|#29 Jamar Taylor (CB, Boise State)
Gives off a Bill Belichick-pick vibe.
|#30 Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State)
He hopes to work out on April 20th.
|#31 Datone Jones (DE, UCLA)
Defensive line will get early attention you’d think.
|#32 Margus Hunt (DE, SMU)
Who knows where this guy will be drafted? This isn’t out of the question.
#33 Jacksonville – Matt Barkley (QB, USC)
#34 San Francisco – Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International)
#35 Philadelphia – E.J. Manuel (QB, Florida State)
#36 Detroit – Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington)
#37 Cincinnati – Jonathan Franklin (RB, UCLA)
#38 Arizona – Zach Ertz (TE, Stanford)
#39 New York Jets – Ryan Nassib (QB, Syracuse)
#40 Tennessee – Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State)
#41 Buffalo – Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee)
#42 Miami – Blidi Wreh-Wilson (CB, Connecticut)
#43 Tampa Bay – Kevin Minter (LB, LSU)
#44 Carolina – DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson)
#45 San Diego – Terron Armstead (T, Arkansas Pine-Bluff)
#46 St. Louis – Kyle Long (G, Oregon)
#47 Dallas – Menelik Watson (T, Florida State)
#48 Pittsburgh – Justin Hunter (WR, Tennessee)
#49 New York Giants – Keenan Allen (WR, California)
#50 Chicago – Travis Frederick (G, Wisconsin)
#51 Washington – Johnthan Banks (CB, Mississippi State)
#52 Minnesota – Quinton Patton (WR, Louisiana Tech)
#53 Cincinnati – Khaseem Greene (LB, Rutgers)
#54 Miami – D.J. Hayden (CB, Houston)
#55 Green Bay – Johnathan Hankins (DT, Ohio State)
#56 Seattle – Jesse Williams (DT, Alabama)
#57 Houston – John Jenkins (DT, Georgia)
#58 Denver – Christine Michael (RB, Texas A&M)
#59 New England – Denard Robinson (RB, Michigan)
#60 Atlanta – Kawann Short (DT, Purdue)
#61 San Francisco – Gavin Escobar (TE, San Diego State)
#62 Baltimore – Corey Lemonier (DE, Auburn)
Seahawks 3rd round pick: Xavier Nixon (T, Florida)