I’ve not made a ton of changes this week. Seattle’s first round choice of Rutgers linebackers Khaseem Greene remains unchanged. I noted on Monday why I thought he’d be a likely target. I’ve stuck with it this week despite the availability of Kawaan Short, Sylvester Williams and Dion Jordan.
The Seahawks have drafted a senior in round one three out of four times. They’ve also always drafted scheme-fit types with big production. Very few pass rushers matched Bruce Irvin’s tally of sacks in two years at West Virginia. He was also described as the ‘ideal LEO’ by Pete Carroll. Not many left tackles have anchored a Heisman campaign, springing Mark Ingram for a huge season at Alabama. James Carpenter wasn’t an over-hyped prospect going into the 2011 draft, but he probably should’ve been and was ideal to improve Seattle’s weak running game. Russell Okung was seen by many as a cerebral left tackle and filled a crucial need within the zone blocking scheme.
Short, Williams and Jordan don’t have outstanding college production. Are they obvious scheme fits? Arguably not.
Compare that to Khaseem Greene. He’s an ideal WILL for Seattle’s scheme. He has back-to-back Big East defensive player of the year awards, 276 tackles in two seasons plus 9.5 sacks and nine forced fumbles. Greene is a Seahawks first round pick waiting to happen. I didn’t feel to fight this projection for the sake of it this week.
I’m going to write a piece tomorrow discussing the prospect of the Seahawks possibly drafting a big bodied defensive lineman. The type that doesn’t necessarily fit the ‘three technique’ requirement, but might still be on the teams radar. We’ll continue to look at many different options between now and April. However, Greene could very easily be in contention for the 25th pick. And while most other mocks are projecting guys like Tavon Austin to Seattle (can’t see it), I want to portray a very realistic option for at least another week.
I’ve switched around Seattle’s choice in round two. Having studied further tape on Justin Hunter I think he’s a poor fit for Seattle’s offense (not competitive enough for the ball in the air, doesn’t make the most of his size, inconsistent). Instead I have them taking Jordan Reed, the joker tight end from Florida. I wasn’t blown away by his tape against Georgia, but I really liked his performance against Texas A&M (see video above). He could be a nice roaming option for Russell Wilson, lining up in different positions to create mismatches.
I still think we’ll see quarterbacks going early. Seven have been drafted in the top-12 over the last two years since the introduction of the new CBA. If Christian Ponder can go as early as 12th overall, then there’s no reason why Matt Barkley, Geno Smith and Mike Glennon can’t crack the top ten.
|#1 Matt Barkley (QB, USC)
Kansas City needs a quarterback. Barkley should be the first to go.
|#2 Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida)
Floyd has a ton of upside and could be ranked higher than the edge rushers in this class.
|#3 Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia)
This regime needs to put down some roots. Too many key pieces belong to the last front office.
|#4 Luke Joeckel (T, Texas A&M)
Chip Kelly needs to rebuild Philly’s offensive line.
|#5 Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State)
The Lions could use an edge rusher, especially if they lose Cliff Avril.
|#6 Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama)
The complete cornerback prospect. He deserves to go this early.
|#7 Mike Glennon (QB, NC State)
They need a quarterback. If they can convince themselves Glennon is good enough, they should take him here.
|#8 Alec Ogeltree (LB, Georgia)
Ogletree is a star in the making.
|#9 Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah)
Putting Lotulelei alongside Muhammad Wilkerson and Quinton Coples would give Rex Ryan the three-man front he craves.
|#10 Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri)
|#11 Eric Fisher (T, Central Michigan)
They need to draft a left tackle.
|#12 Damontre Moore (DE, Texas A&M)
If Moore falls a bit he could find a home playing across from Cameron Wake.
|#13 Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington)
The Buccs will likely target cornerbacks early.
|#14 Chance Warmack (G, Alabama)
They hit on Newton and Kuechly. This would almost certainly make a hat-trick.
|#15 Barkevious Mingo (DE, LSU)
The Saints need a pass rusher for their new 3-4 defense.
|#16 Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas)
Vaccaro would be a nice addition to St. Louis’ defense.
|#17 Kevin Minter (LB, LSU)
This could be Pittsburgh’s biggest need.
|#18 Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU)
He’d make a great power end to compliment DeMarcus Ware.
|#19 Johnathan Hankins (DT, Ohio State)
A big, space-eating defensive tackle.
|#20 Lane Johnson (T, Oklahoma)
Unless they go the free agency route, this is Chicago’s priority.
|#21 D.J. Fluker (T, Alabama)
He could replace another former Crimson Tide lineman – free agent Andre Smith.
|#22 Zach Ertz (TE, Stanford)
This would be a great value pick for the Rams and Sam Bradford.
|#23 DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson)
If they really are hoping Christian Ponder works out, he’s going to need a receiver like this.
|#24 Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina)
Incredible value if he falls this far.
|#25 Khaseem Greene (LB, Rutgers)
Converted safety prospect who looks like a John Schneider draft pick.
|#26 Keenan Allen (WR, California)
Donald Driver’s retired, Greg Jennings and Jermichael Finley are free agents. They could go receiver here.
|#27 Jonathan Jenkins (DT, Georgia)
Would they consider adding some size up front?
|#28 Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State)
After a rough ride in the playoffs, the Broncos could boost their secondary here.
|#29 Jarvis Jones (DE, Georgia)
The spinal stenosis issue could lead to a fall. Someone will take a shot.
|#30 Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama)
An ideal replacement for the ageing Michael Turner.
|#31 Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee)
Randy Moss can’t play forever and return-specialist Tedd Ginn Jr. is a free agent.
|#32 Manti Te’o (LB, Notre Dame)
Tough shoes to fill, but the Ravens often look for value in round one.
#33 Jacksonville – Jesse Williams (DT, Alabama)
#34 Kansas City – Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame)
#35 Philadelphia – Barrett Jones (C, Alabama)
#36 Detroit – Matt Elam (S, Florida)
#37 Cincinnati – Dion Jordan (DE, Oregon)
#38 Arizona – Menelik Watson (T, Florida State)
#39 New York Jets – Stepfan Taylor (RB, Stanford)
#40 Tennessee – Alex Okafor (DE, Texas)
#41 Buffalo – Tyler Wilson (QB, Arizona)
#42 Miami – Johnthan Banks (CB, Mississippi State)
#43 Tampa Bay – Kawann Short (DT, Purdue)
#44 Carolina – Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina)
#45 San Diego – Gavin Escobar (TE, San Diego State)
#46 St. Louis – Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State)
#47 Dallas – Travis Frederick (C, Wisconsin)
#48 Pittsburgh – John Simon (DE, Ohio State)
#49 New York Giants – Sam Montgomery (DE, LSU)
#50 Chicago – Dallas Thomas (G, Tennessee)
#51 Washington – Phillip Thomas (S, Fresno State)
#52 Minnesota – Robert Woods (WR, USC)
#53 Cincinnati – Giovanni Bernard (RB, North Carolina)
#54 Miami – Markus Wheaton (WR, Oregon State)
#55 Green Bay – Oday Aboushi (T, Virginia)
#56 Seattle – Jordan Reed (TE, Florida)
#57 Houston – Larry Warford (G, Kentucky)
#58 Denver – Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia)
#59 New England – Jordan Poyer (CB, Oregon State)
#60 Atlanta – Vance McDonald (TE, Rice)
#61 San Francisco – Datone Jones (DE, UCLA)
#62 Baltimore – Justin Hunter (WR, Tennessee)