Updated mock draft: 09/22

September 22nd, 2010 | Written by Rob Staton

For my latest 2011 mock draft, click here
We’re three weeks into the CFB season and I’m still finding it hard to judge the 2011 draft. When I wrote my first 2009 mock draft I had Ndamukong Suh, Sam Bradford and Gerald McCoy in the top five. Dez Bryant, Russell Okung and Derrick Morgan all featured early with the likes of Eric Berry, Trent Williams, C.J. Spiller and Joe Haden all amongst the top-20 from day one. Even a young playmaker featured going by the name of Earl Thomas.

There are plenty of ‘big names’ that could be high picks next year, but placing them is nearly impossible at this stage. A cluster of suspensions have clouded some prospects’ stock, whilst also robbing us of the opportunity to watch them in action. Inconsistent play hasn’t helped either and a lot of the top prospects haven’t set the world on fire to start the 2010 CFB season.

If Buffalo select first overall, surely they’ll take a quarterback? How could they avoid the position? Would they seriously risk missing out on a guy like Christian Ponder at the top of round two to go in a different direction at #1? I can’t see it. In this projection I have Andrew Luck (again) at the #1 spot. I’m not convinced by the Stanford QB and I’m a little worried we’re looking at another Joey Harrington or Brady Quinn – a solid game manager who can’t translate into the pro’s. Nevertheless, some people rate him much higher than I do. He’s less risk/reward than a Locker or Mallett, but I do think he’ll need a supporting cast to be successful at the next level. We’ll see how his year continues, but a big season for Stanford probably helps his stock (as it will Mallett’s especially if he beats Alabama on Saturday).

I also wanted to use a mock to throw some names out at cornerback to keep an eye on. It’s potentially a deep class of prospects at that position and somewhere the Seahawks may target next April. Also, compiling this projection again emphasised (to me at least) the lack of top-end quality. A.J. Green has the potential to be an elite receiver, but there’s a lot of questions about the others in the top ten. There doesn’t appear to be a big difference between guys like Akeem Ayers (UCLA), Ryan Kerrigan (Purdue) and Rodney Hudson (Florida State) and the prospects taken a lot earlier. There’s a fair chance none of those three will even be first round picks.

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4 Responses to “Updated mock draft: 09/22”

  1. CFraychineaud says:

    No OT in the first 15 picks? That seems very unlikely even in an off year for the position. When was the last time an OT didn’t go in the top 15? It was the 1982 draft, and the first OT was picked…… 16th! So while I like seeing new possibilities up in the top 15, as long as your doing a mock draft instead of your own version of Kiper’s Big Board, you should definately have at least 1 OT.

    Keep up the good work… still looking forward to a running season stats total on the top players at each posistion, with something that denotes which ones we should really be watching as possible targets or fits for the Seahawks. After seeing how well Bradfords acclimating to the NFL, it seems to reaffirm that completion percentage and overall accuracy seem to be 2 of the biggest factors in making a successful conversion to the NFL from College. I know its a bit of work but if you could do that Lewin system on the top 5 or so QB’s would be nice to see how that projects them.

    • Rob says:

      Definitely working on it CFraychineaud, hope to have something up very soon.

      The reason I’ve left out OT’s is simply because I can’t find one worthy. My last few mocks had an OT and made reference to the fact one almost has to go early – but whether it’s Castonzo, Solder, Barksdale, Love, Carimi, Reynolds – none look like top picks to me. I’m not ever sure how many of that group are even worthy of first round consideration.

      • CFraychineaud says:

        Maybe we will see a Guard that has the ability to go OT in the Pro’s picked early like in 2008 with Branden Albert. I’m not sure who the Guards are that would possibly fit into that catagory, but if there aren’t any OT’s actually playing OT, we might have to get creative.

        • Rob says:

          I spoke to Chris Steuber from NFLDS last year and he said there was a chance Rodney Hudson could convert to tackle and still go in round one. I’m not convinced because of his lack of size, but he’s strong and athletic enough to make the transition. He could be the first offensive lineman taken, he’s good enough.