
The reason I hate doing mock drafts is I immediately want to change everything about the last one I did about 30 minutes after publishing.
Round one
#1 Tennessee — Cam Ward (QB, Miami)
All of Tennessee’s moves in free agency so far point to the Titans drafting Cam Ward with the #1 overall pick.
#2 Cleveland — Shedeur Sanders (QB, Colorado)
Adam Schefter said a while ago the Browns will take a quarterback here. Time to take him on his word.
#3 NY Giants — Abdul Carter (EDGE, Penn State)
The Giants take the best player available who isn’t a running back and decide to wait on the quarterback position.
#4 New England — Travis Hunter (WR/CB, Colorado)
Unless three quarterbacks go in the top-three, Carter and Hunter will be top-four picks.
#5 Jacksonville — Tyler Warren (TE, Penn State)
With Evan Engram moving on, the Jaguars can easily justify adding a playmaker like Warren in this spot.
#6 Las Vegas — Armand Membou (T/G, Missouri)
Instead of taking the running back here, they use a deep RB class to their advantage and claim Membou to play right tackle.
#7 NY Jets — Mason Graham (DT, Michigan)
His lack of size and length plus no testing numbers could hamper Graham’s stock.
#8 Carolina — Jalon Walker (LB, Georgia)
Walker’s versatility and character will be coveted by teams.
#9 New Orleans — Jihaad Campbell (LB, Alabama)
Defensively they need a refresh. Campbell’s stock is sky-rocketing and rightly so.
#10 Chicago — Ashton Jeanty (RB, Boise State)
If Jeanty lasts to #10 the Bears will run to the podium. The pound-for-pound best player in the draft.
#11 San Francisco — Jahdae Barron (CB, Texas)
Whether it’s at cornerback or ‘STAR’, Barron is an exciting player with loads of character.
#12 Dallas — Omarion Hampton (RB, North Carolina)
There’s plenty of buzz around Hampton going this early. The Cowboys hedging against this position gives me pause though.
#13 Miami — Will Johnson (CB, Michigan)
He’s one of the best players in the draft but the injuries are a concern.
#14 Indianapolis — Colston Loveland (TE, Michigan)
A legit first round talent. This is almost certainly his floor.
#15 Atlanta — Donovan Ezeiruaku (EDGE, Boston College)
Major production, good run defense, great length, top-level agility and he has great character.
#16 Arizona — Will Campbell (T/G, LSU)
He could play right tackle right away or start inside and eventually replace Jonah Williams.
#17 Cincinnati — Tyler Booker (G, Alabama)
If they get a deal done with Trey Hendrickson, they can look at someone like Booker here.
#18 Seattle — Grey Zabel (G, North Dakota State)
Zabel is a perfect scheme fit and a player with top-tier potential and upside.
#19 Tampa Bay — Malaki Starks (S, Georgia)
My prediction is his stock will recover in the weeks leading up to the draft. Teams will love his mental makeup.
#20 Denver — TreVeyon Henderson (RB, Ohio State)
Sean Payton apparently wants an X-factor in the backfield, as he did with Alvin Kamara. Henderson could go in this range.
#21 Pittsburgh — Jaxson Dart (QB, Ole Miss)
The Steelers just have a black hole at the position and stop-gap Aaron Rodgers is only a short-term answer.
#22 LA Chargers — Mykel Williams (DE, Georgia)
Jim Harbaugh loves the trenches and he’s had success working with raw EDGE rushers in the past. Williams is a difficult player to get an angle on.
#23 Green Bay — Matthew Golden (WR, Texas)
There’s a fair bit of pressure on the Packers to add a legit target for Jordan Love.
#24 Minnesota — Nick Emmanwori (S, South Carolina)
Having pumped resources into their lines, they can now afford to look at other areas.
#25 Houston — Kelvin Banks (T, Texas)
The more you really dig into the tape, the less exciting Banks is. But the Texans need a tackle.
#26 LA Rams — Maxwell Hairston (CB, Kentucky)
His run defense and tackling need major work but his coverage ability and smoothness in transition are attractive.
#27 Baltimore — Kenneth Grant (DT, Michigan)
His tape leaves you wanting more but he’s the kind of player the Ravens do a good job developing.
#28 Detroit — Mike Green (EDGE, Marshall)
Teams will do a lot of work on the character concerns before deciding whether they’re willing to take him in round one.
#29 Washington — Shemar Stewart (DE, Texas A&M)
Great athlete but the production is a major concern.
#30 Buffalo — Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Arizona)
I don’t think running in the 4.5’s will do him any favours.
#31 Kansas City — Emeka Egbuka (WR, Ohio State)
A great personality and a consistent force — the Chiefs could do with someone sensible and productive at receiver.
#32 Philadelphia — Derrick Harmon (DT, Oregon)
His combine drills were good enough to secure a top-40 placing.
Round two
#33 Cleveland — Josh Conerly (T, Oregon)
I can’t work Conerly out. I could see him going early or late in round two. His tape is good but what’s his best position with his frame?
#34 NY Giants — Tyler Shough (QB,Louisville)
The Giants wait on the quarterbacks and get a player who can compete to start right away.
#35 Tennessee — Jack Bech (WR, TCU)
They have hardly any weapons. I think some will be surprised by how much teams rate Bech.
#36 Jacksonville — Azareye’h Thomas (CB, Florida State)
They need playmakers in the secondary.
#37 Las Vegas — Quinshon Judkins (RB, Ohio State)
After passing on the running back position at #6 they get a player who had a tremendous combine.
#38 New England — Josh Simmons (T, Ohio State)
Concerns about his maturity are an issue but the Patriots are desperate at left tackle.
#39 Chicago (v/CAR) — Jaylin Noel (WR, Iowa State)
He’s such a dynamic talent and Ben Johnson can do a lot with him.
#40 New Orleans — Luther Burden (WR, Missouri)
They need to replenish at receiver.
#41 Chicago — Bradyn Swinson (EDGE, LSU)
He’s an underrated talent who, like Donovan Ezeiruaku, probably deserves to go earlier.
#42 New York Jets — Mason Taylor (TE, LSU)
Someone is going to like Taylor’s body control and hands in the top-45.
#43 San Francisco — Walter Nolen (DT, Ole Miss)
There are a few character concerns with Nolen but the 49ers take a shot here.
#44 Dallas — Quinn Ewers (QB, Texas)
There’s been talk the Cowboys could look at Ewers here and it’d go along with a slightly barmy off-season in Dallas.
#45 Indianapolis — Carson Schwesinger (LB, UCLA)
His tape was so good in 2024. Even if he’s a one-year wonder — he’s an impressive player.
#46 Atlanta — Tyleik Williams (DT, Ohio State)
It’s all about fixing the defense for the Falcons this year.
#47 Arizona — Landon Jackson (DE, Arkansas)
He’s a terrific athlete and looks the part but there’s some stiffness to his game.
#48 Miami — Donovan Jackson (G, Ohio State)
The Dolphins reinforce their interior with a player who could go a lot earlier than this.
#49 Cincinnati — James Pearce Jr (EDGE, Tennessee)
Character concerns are a problem but the Bengals are always willing to take a chance.
#50 Seattle — Marcus Mbow (C/G, Purdue)
Mbow comes in as a project at center but the Seahawks see value in his positional flexibility. He’s a good fit as a zone blocker.
#51 Denver — Tre Harris (WR, Ole Miss)
Running in the 4.5’s won’t help his stock but Sean Payton might be able to turn him into Michael Thomas, who also fell after running in that range.
#52 Seattle (v/PIT) — Elijah Arroyo (TE, Miami)
He’s too good to pass on here. He could be a terror in Klint Kubiak’s offense.
#53 Tampa Bay — Benjamin Morrison (CB, Notre Dame)
They say they’re after ball-hawks and that’s what Morrison is. The injury needs checking though.
#54 Green Bay — Oluwafemi Oladejo (EDGE, UCLA)
‘The Mayor’ takes his talents to Lambeau Field.
#55 LA Chargers — Jayden Higgins (WR, Iowa State)
The Chargers wait until round two to add another receiver.
#56 Buffalo (v/MIN) — Darius Alexander (DT, Toledo)
After a strong Senior Bowl he finds a home in the top-60 picks.
#57 Carolina (v/LAR) — Harold Fannin Jr (TE, Bowling Green)
They need another playmaker for Bryce Young.
#58 Houston — TJ Sanders (DT, South Carolina)
His lack of lower-body power is a concern but he knows how to rush the passer and make plays.
#59 Baltimore — Xavier Watts (S, Notre Dame)
They need to add a safety in the draft and Watts has the production to warrant consideration here.
#60 Detroit — Shavon Revel (CB, East Carolina)
A knee injury prevented him from potentially being a first round pick.
#61 Washington — Ty Robinson (DT, Nebraska)
He ticks every box — personality, aggressive playing style, versatility, production and brilliant testing numbers.
#62 Buffalo — Trey Amos (CB, Ole Miss)
The Bills need to add to their secondary in the first two rounds.
#63 Kansas City — Sai’vion Jones (DE, LSU)
He’s underrated and has some real juice as a pass-rusher.
#64 Philadelphia — Tate Ratledge (G, Georgia)
After a brilliant combine he could go earlier than this. He’s such an Eagle — based on school and playing style.
Thoughts on the Seahawks picks
This isn’t about reaching to fix the offensive line, as some people will inevitably claim. Grey Zabel deserves to be considered in the clump of similarly graded players set to be taken between picks #16-35. His explosive testing results matched with his tape hint at a high-upside player capable of becoming a top level offensive lineman. Only two offensive linemen have jumped a better vertical (36.5 inches) since combine records began being collected in 2003. It’s the same effort as Tampa Bay’s star lineman Tristan Wirfs.
The Seahawks will not be able to wait to round two to get a better blend of scheme fit, upside and talent. Zabel may or may not be their pick but he’s one of those offensive linemen where it’d almost be a surprise if he didn’t work out. He feels like one of the safer picks in the draft. That’s pretty much what the Seahawks need — someone they can plug in and do a good job in this system.
It’s also important to look at what Seattle’s line is going to be asked to do. The Ravens, for example, ran more zone concepts last year than gap. Todd Monken is well known for blending zone and duo to create variety up front and Baltimore’s personnel is a mix of hulking size and smaller agility.
However, even with the Ravens running zone 57.5% of the time in 2024, Klint Kubiak’s New Orleans team ran it 72.6% of the time. They really go above and beyond. I’d suggest we’re not going to see any hybrid ideas here, like Sean McVay has experimented with in LA. It’s possible the Seahawks go all-out for athleticism.
If that is their approach, nobody fits better than Zabel other than perhaps kicking Josh Simmons inside — but questions raised by Todd McShay about his maturity make him an unlikely fit in Seattle.
Had they signed Will Fries — who was also an exceptional athlete — they might’ve pivoted to other positions. Instead it feels like they’re going to sign a hedge and look at the interior in the draft. I did consider not going O-line in round one with Malaki Starks. His talent, character and professionalism will impress teams enough to recover his stock in the coming weeks. Had Jahdae Barron or Jihaad Campbell lasted to #18 I also would’ve considered them.
One position I didn’t consider at #18 was wide receiver. I can’t believe how many mocks are lazily pairing the Seahawks with a receiver in round one just because they traded away DK Metcalf. They’ll draft a receiver in the first four rounds but I highly doubt it’ll be in round one.
The second selection of Marcus Mbow is something I wanted to explore. I think he’s really raw as an interior blocker, as shown at the Senior Bowl. He’s going to need some technical work to move inside. However, his fit within the zone scheme is almost perfect. He’s tremendously athletic and adept at reaching to the second level. You can ask him to do anything within the system — pull, combo block, subtle shifts to open lanes. If you can coach his technique inside he has the potential to be a very good starting center.
Why not just take Jared Wilson? Two reasons. Mbow is far more aggressive than Wilson and to some teams that will matter. Secondly, it’s about positional flexibility. Wilson is a pure center. Mbow could play guard if ever needed.
With pick #52, I think receiver could be in play. If someone like Jack Bech is available he could be a great option. John Schneider was a huge fan of Jordy Nelson from his time in Green Bay and might see some similarities here. Bech is a player, like Zabel, where it’s very easy to imagine him having an excellent pro career. I think he might go earlier than people think.
I considered defensive tackle Ty Robinson again as a replacement for Roy Robertson-Harris. He ticks every box — personality, aggressive playing style, versatility, production and brilliant testing numbers. I think he’s a late second rounder or early third rounder. He’s exactly the type of player I can imagine the Seahawks adding to their rotation and he played all across the line for Nebraska.
Another option would be Toledo defensive lineman Darius Alexander. I just wish his agility numbers were better from the combine.
I went with Elijah Arroyo. I’m not comfortable going all offense with the three early picks but the value felt strong. Arroyo shone at the Senior Bowl and is perfectly suited for a play-action heavy offense. He’d be a strong receiving option, making up for the losses at receiver. Arroyo could also be the long-term answer at the position with Noah Fant only having a year left on his deal.
I would still have them taking a quarterback in a seven-round projection but in this mock five are off the board by #50. This makes it harder to justify early. In round three they could look at someone like Riley Leonard, Will Howard, Kyle McCord or Jalen Milroe. This is the beauty of signing Sam Darnold to a flexible deal. If they want to draft a quarterback early they can but they’re also guarded against a run like we see here where they might miss out on guys they like.
A final note — character is key. We’ve got to remember that. Some teams are willing to take chances. Others are more risk-averse. The Seahawks have been quite conservative on character for a while, opting to focus on players without any hint of a red flag. They are extremely unlikely to take risks on character in the early rounds.
To see how I’m grading players, click here to view my horizontal board.