
Trinidad Chambliss shows why he is currently QB1
The point I’ve kept repeating during the early stages of the college football season is draft media are hopelessly building up and overrating the quarterback class.
For example, Todd McShay had LaNorris Sellers as the ninth best player on his big board last week, with Sam Leavitt at #20. Neither player is remotely close to being a first round prospect at this stage. A fifth of the players in the top-50 were quarterbacks — yet the chance of players like Demond Williams and Jayden Maiava going in that range are remote.
You can easily say the same about Arch Manning — universally projected in the top-five by most draft pundits and regularly talked about as a possible first overall pick — the reality is quite different (we’ll come back to Arch later).
The one player who is playing well enough to warrant some hype is Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss. His rapid rise over the last 12 months has been highly impressive. He’s gone from small school prospect to backing up Austin Simmons, getting an opportunity to start when Simmons was injured, excelling to the point he won the starter’s gig full time and he hasn’t looked back.
With every game he gets a little bit better. He excelled during the playoffs last year, almost dragging Ole Miss to the College Football Playoff final.
This year the progress has continued. He is making passes all of the other ‘big name’ draft eligible quarterbacks can only dream of. You’re seeing throws with anticipation, timing and zero hesitation. He’s creative, he’s making plays over the middle of the field and he’s delivering complex, layered throws. He has a good arm. He’s a playmaking machine — and it culminated in Ole Miss beating Lane Kiffin’s LSU on Saturday in what is probably an all-time win for the school.
This was a masterclass performance.
I’m going to post some clips in a moment but a few key drives and plays stood out. For example, with one minute to go in the first half — LSU has just scored to fight their way back into the game. Chambliss responded with a quick-fire drive of his own, ending with a touchdown pass with just five seconds to go.
He was consistently strong on third downs. It’s been put to me by people far more experienced than I am that this is one of the key things to look out for when scouting quarterbacks. One veteran evaluator told me he won’t even scout a quarterback fully until he’s watched every third down throw they’ve ever made, to determine whether it’s worth watching anything else. He would’ve enjoyed Chambliss’ tape on Saturday.
There was one play where he had a panicked scramble and looked for sure like he was going to be sacked for a big loss. Half the LSU defense was chasing him down. Instead he managed to extend just enough, then threw a crazy little flip-pass to a team-mate, who was able to scamper for a first down. It was classic peak-Russell Wilson escapism and playmaking:
He scored a brilliant scrambling touchdown to give Ole Miss the lead late in the game. He had a lot to do to get around the edge and out-run the defense. But he did it. It capped an excellent, high pressure drive after LSU had come roaring back in the game and threatened to steal it.
Let’s look at some clips.
On this first throw — you have to deliver this on time and with the right velocity. If you pause the video you see his arm is going back to throw as the receiver makes his break in the route. You have a second defensive back peeling off his man, noticing what the play-call is, so if this is in any way inaccurate or late, it’s dangerous. This is a NFL throw:
The next clip shows off top-level composure. He is scrambling around with a defensive lineman stalking him in close proximity. He has to retreat to buy time, yet keeps his eyes downfield. Most quarterbacks, even at the NFL level, panic in this situation and either take a big sack, drop their eyes to try and scramble, or they make a horrible mistake throwing without base. Chambliss can see his tight end uncover and is wide open — so now he just needs the angle to throw. He runs to the right and throws back across his body, safely, with the necessary torque to deliver a first down. There are not many players who can do this:
The final clip I want to highlight is the first one in the reel below. He steps up into the pocket because extending doesn’t always mean bouncing to the outside. He buys himself some time by stepping up, sees the receiver uncovering in the end zone and on the run, fires it into him for a touchdown:
It wasn’t a flawless performance. The interception at the start of the second half was really bad. He was far too aggressive as he’s being hit during a heavy blitz. Just take the sack. Don’t turn it over. There was no good outcome here and it was clear very early off the snap that LSU had won the down. He threw blind into coverage and it was costly.
Even so — we’re talking about a quarterback who is consistently improving with every start. He is elevating his team not unlike Cam Newton did at Auburn — making them a legitimate contender. Without him, Ole Miss are not a serious threat. He is playing with timing and precision yet also delivering with magical creativity and making the unlikely possible.
Nobody else is at this level. It shouldn’t even be a discussion who QB1 is for 2027 as we sit here today on the 23rd September. It doesn’t matter if Dante Moore is a bit taller, or Arch Manning has a better second name. Neither is playing very well and Chambliss is putting electrifying tape on record.
I’m not going to rush to say he’s a legit first round prospect at this stage. There’s no point jumping to that conclusion. There are still weeks to go in this college season. Let’s see what happens over the next six weeks and reassess.
This need to place and rank players prematurely is how we get people suggesting Cade Klubnik could be QB1 a year ago. Let’s take a breath.
However, it shouldn’t be remotely debatable at this point who is playing the best among the draft eligible quarterbacks, showing off the greatest range of NFL skills. It’s Trinidad Chambliss — and he’s lapping the field at this point.
Other notes from LSU vs Ole Miss
— Ole Miss defensive tackle Will Echoles showed why he could easily be a top-10 pick next year. He had one sack and three TFL’s. He flashed a highly disruptive bull-rush, driving blockers back into the pocket. He has a dynamic arm/over move and a burst of quickness unusual for a man his size. He was swatting away blockers with a thunderous swipe but then combined it with agility and foot-speed to get around linemen to pressure the quarterback. When he beat the initial block and LSU had a running back in as a last line of defense, he’d just blast them out of the way. He can play one, three or five technique. He finished with seven total pressures and six hurries. A top prospect for 2027. This is what a very high pick at defensive tackle looks like:
— Echoles’ team-mate Kam Franklin had a big game against Louisville and he flashed again against LSU. He had the final significant play of the game by tipping the ball at the LOS leading to a game-clinching interception. He also had a TFL, six pressures and six hurries. He definitely looks like a NFL player I just wonder about his quickness and upside for the next level. Testing could be key for him.
— Trey’Dez Green, the LSU tight end/big receiver, left the game with what looked like a serious knee injury. The latest news is he will miss some times but it’s not season-ending. He’s a very exciting receiving prospect with great size and mobility. He can be an X-factor weapon at the next level as a pass-catcher. However, he has to get stronger and bigger to block the perimeter, otherwise he’s going to be limited to being a big target. The idea of players like this can sometimes seem better than the reality. How many 6-7, 240lbs receivers are there? He’s really quick and dynamic for his size but he isn’t likely to act as a conventional receiver. He has to show at least some semblance of ability to block to max-out his potential as one of the more interesting tight ends to enter the league in recent history. For every Jimmy Graham (mostly a receiver) there’s an Eric Ebron or Kyle Pitts — who never really live up to expectations.
— LSU quarterback Sam Leavitt can at times be really fun to watch. He’ll scramble around, extend plays, he’s a better runner than you’d expect. Yet he’s far too quick to bail on the pocket and he doesn’t have NFL physical tools. His play is fairly up-and-down. In this game he had an excellent third down throw with perfect placement to the right corner of the end-zone. It followed a play just before where he missed two wide open receivers. He’s thrown five interceptions in just three games.
— Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy left the game with an injury and he’s considered a game-time decision for Florida on Saturday. He is a legit player. Meanwhile, receiver Deuce Alexander continues to show promise. He’s incredibly quick and catches away from his body. He can challenge receivers on the outside downfield but can still run over the middle and make catches in traffic. He’s reasonably well sized and showed in this game he’s a willing blocker. He looks like someone with a NFL future — especially with his sprinters speed.
We shouldn’t even be talking about the NFL Draft for LaNorris Sellers
There’s absolutely no doubt the South Carolina quarterback has physical talent. However, he endured a miserable season last year — in part due to a shambolic offensive line. This season was supposed to be different. There were changes up front and a new offensive coordinator, with Kendal Briles brought in to produce an offense like the one his father made popular at Baylor during the Robert Griffin III era.
Unfortunately, he simply isn’t progressing. If Trinidad Chambliss has shown remarkable and sustained growth as a quarterback at Ole Miss — Sellers is stuck with his wheels spinning in the mud.
Firstly, I don’t much like the new offense. It’s a ton of read-option and he’s more or less asked to run around and see what happens. Take off if it’s there, throw if you see an option. It’s not remotely close to a pro-system, meaning he isn’t developing the kind of skills required to judge him for the next level. They’re just setting up a system where his legs and arm *might* be able to make a difference.
He was bailed out of an ugly interception early in the game against Mississippi State. He was in the red zone and threw straight to a spy stood in the way of the intended target over the middle. A very fortunate hands-to-the-face-penalty took the pick off the board. How did he not see the defender stood right in the way? In fact, there were three defenders blocking the intended target:
He nearly threw another interception forcing a third down pass on a slant. It was an awful late throw, delivered behind the receiver and was dropped by the defensive back.
Eventually his luck ran out. With around six minutes left in the third quarter he benefited from good protection. He sat in the pocket — with two wide open receivers on a post and a deep cross. Instead he threw it straight to a sitting defender. You’ve got to loft that pass over him. It’s an awful throw — the kind you simply cannot make if you expect to be given a draftable grade.
His second interception was even worse. It’s 3rd and 10 and he looks to the right sideline then just throws it straight to a defender. It’s never on. What on earth is he looking at? How do you not see the defender breaking right in front of the target? He didn’t even zip it in there to make sure — he floated the pass right to the defender:
Overall he had five turnover worthy plays in the game and only one big-time throw.
He is a classic example of a player emerging early in their college career, people talk them up as a ‘down the line’ draft prospect — yet when they show no development or even regress, people don’t adjust their takes. Sellers should not have been highlighted by the media as anything but an interesting player to see if he can rebuild his stock after a challenging 2025. Instead, we had people naming him as a star within this “loaded” quarterback class.
He isn’t a draftable player currently. That can change in the future — this season or next, whether that’s at South Carolina or somewhere else. But he is not a high draft pick like many have suggested based on his play in 2025 and 2026 so far.
Other notes from Mississippi State vs South Carolina
— Mississippi State’s Junior OLB Amaree Williams — a transfer from Florida State — was the top performing defensive player on the field. At his weight (approximately 240lbs) he did a great job blowing up run plays, setting an edge and playing with consistent physicality. Had a sack and two TFL’s — plus led his team in tackles with 10 (all solo, per ESPN). He’s a former tight end who caught three touchdowns for FSU. He also dropped into coverage well. This is a player to keep an eye on.
— Cornerback Kelly Jones wasn’t even tested until the fourth quarter, which speaks to how opponents are treating him. South Carolina threw at him twice, with no completions. Teams are 37% throwing at him so far this year. He’s big but mobile for his size. He’s not cumbersome and can change direction. He played with his arm in a cast. He’s a player I really enjoy watching and he’s a fascinating draft prospect for 2027.
— When I’ve spoken to people I respect within football, they wax lyrical about Dylan Stewart’s potential and believe he will be a high first round pick. The South Carolina pass rusher returned to play in this game and had some splash plays. He created a pressure on his first snap. He slammed into a pulling guard, stopped him, then made the TFL on the running back in a highlight-reel moment. He drew a holding call at the start of the second half on a run to the outside. He was grabbed by the left tackle and basically hugged to prevent him setting the edge. He did have his snaps managed in the game. The expectation is he will be a very high pick next year due to his length, quickness and power.
Arch Manning continues to struggle — can we just be honest about him?
Draft media needs to give up the ghost. Manning either isn’t as good as they’re telling you — or he isn’t ready. Either way, he’s not playing like anything close to a first round pick. My prediction continues to be that he won’t declare unless things change between now and the new year.
He completed only 50% of his passes against UTSA on Saturday. There was the usual mix of off-target throws, hesitation, being too keen to set off and run and limited throws of a pro-standard. He had zero big-time throws against a non-elite opponent and one turnover worthy play.
Look at these two throws — the first is his first pass of the day, the second was not long after:
I understand why the media want a Manning in the draft next year. I understand why fans, having been sold a bag of magic beans by the media, are investing their hopes and dreams in Manning saving their franchise. It’s fake news for now — as is the case with this quarterback class overall.
Notes from Florida State vs Alabama
This was my first opportunity this season to get a good look at FSU receiver Duce Robinson. He has a good frame with decent size. His body control for his size stands out. This was evident on his touchdown — you see his ability to stay in control and keep his feet in bounds:
He can cross the face of the defender well and used his strength vs Alabama to win 1v1. He catches the ball well away from his body.
If you don’t disrupt his route early with a jam he can release and create separation nicely on quick-hitting slants. When he was jammed in the fourth quarter he couldn’t get into his flow and the pass was broken up and nearly intercepted on a deflection. He didn’t box-out and never gave the QB a target. Finding a way to use his size consistently and make life easier for his quarterback is key.
His long-speed is a question mark. However, he had a nice long reception where he did create some separation then tracked the ball brilliantly. He had to slow down to adjust and make the catch. The throw brought the cornerback back into play but despite the contested nature of the grab, he came down with it. Good concentration.
He’s a player I will continue to watch.
For Alabama, Ryan Coleman-Williams had his first catch with six minutes left in the first half. It was a dump off on fourth and 2 when they were trailing 21-6. At the time I kept thinking — why is he not a bigger part of the gameplan? You’ve got to at least try and get him the ball.
His second catch was a swing pass after he ran across the formation. As soon as the ball was in his hands he ran 50 yards for a TD — dodging and weaving through defenders and accelerating away from others. He showed he is a truly dynamic, sudden, explosive athlete. He has special qualities and electric speed:
Look at the acceleration as he burns off the last few defenders. You can work with that in the NFL.
It’s the hands that are the problem. If he had good catching technique he could be a top-10 pick. Yet he’s a mile away from having passable hands for that kind of range. If he can fix that issue, he will become one of the top players in this class. In order to do that though, Alabama will have to find more ways to get him the football than they showed here.
Defensively, I don’t understand why Alabama rotated Yhonzae Pierre and Devan Thompkins as much as they did.
Pierre looks the part and has stalking speed. I’m just not sure he’s much of an actual playmaker. He can play within structure as a big OLB. He’s far from a sack artist and he lacks great ankle flexion to create quick pressure. Even so, he had six pressures and six hurries in the game but also missed two tackles.
Thompkins played mostly inside this week after playing end last weekend. He was very active but didn’t have any quick wins with speed. He still needs to refine his arm/over and develop some better interior moves. He does play to the sideline and keeps going to the whistle.
In the fourth quarter Thompkins started to line up off the EDGE. He had a clean-up/hussle sack with 14:23 to go. Again, he was just playing until the end of the play. He led Alabama in tackles, had five pressures and had four hurries.
Pierre and Thompkins feel like the heart of Alabama’s defensive front seven. They will be in some big games moving forward — so keep an eye on them.
Big defensive tackle Terrance Green completely destroyed the interior O-line with one forceful bull-rush. The guard lost his footing and stumbled backwards, enabling Green to win. I want to watch more of him.
Safety Keon Sabb had an excellent play to tip a pass enabling a cornerback to pick it off on the rebound. I find it challenging to place a grade on Sabb having watched a lot of him since the start of last season. I’m not sure I’ll come to a conclusion until I see testing numbers.
Can we have some perspective on Darian Mensah?
I couldn’t believe he was made the Heisman favourite, or that people were suddenly talking about him as a top-five pick. Nobody was saying that during his time at Duke.
I understand why he’s getting attention. Miami has become the school to go and boost your stock as a quarterback. They protect well, they have skill players for days and they run the ball. Cam Ward and Carson Beck have elevated their stock beyond what is probably reasonable courtesy of playing for Miami in a poor ACC.
Mensah is technically sound and has some mobility. His arm is good enough. He’s not too big. As he was a year ago — he’d be a solid mid-round flyer.
Let’s stop with the Heisman and early round one talk though. Firstly, Malachi Toney is the real star. Mensah basically just has to look for him, wait for him to get open and throw him the ball. Toney is a superstar. He might have more talent than Jeremiah Smith. He can play in the NFL tomorrow. Mensah often just has to hold a safety to allow Toney to release, then come back to his #1 target.
If anyone is winning the Heisman from Miami, it should be Toney.
Once he got hurt at half-time against Wake Forest and was only used on third downs, Miami’s offense completely stalled. Mensah suddenly looked very average. Situations matter — and there’s a reason Mensah fought so hard to be transferred to the Hurricanes.
A nice player with a future in the league (even if it’s as a backup) but let’s keep some perspective here.
Meanwhile, Miami running back Mark Fletcher was a blog favourite from the end of last season. He had a good showing against Wake Forest — in particular this beast of a run:
Other quick notes
— Earlier today I interviewed Emmanuel Oyebadejo — a 6-7, 300lbs defensive lineman for the Florida Gators. He is originally from Manchester in England. I’m hoping the BBC will put the interview out this week. There is a lot of excitement that he could be Britain’s first ever first round draft pick. There are simply not many people on Earth who can move as well as he can at his size. It’s also said that he has around 36-inch arms and will test through the roof. He was brilliant against Auburn (see the clips below). The temptation is to say players like this are ‘raw’ because they’re relatively new to the game but here’s what the video below shows — the power to demolish an SEC left tackle off the edge, a brilliant swim move to win inside, bending round the edge to get a sack (not the tightest bend but he is 300lbs), the quickness to attack the outside shoulder of a guard and just flat out win and bench-pressing the tackle to set the edge and keep his frame clean. What a fascinating chess-piece he is and he’ll be an exciting player to have on your radar. Florida faces Ole Miss and Trinidad Chambliss at the weekend.
— There was another interception for California safety Kingston Lopa, taking him to five for the season already. He also led Cal in tackles against Wagner. We noted last week his range, versatility, quickness and playmaking instinct. He is certainly capable of being a very interesting draft prospect for 2027, having transferred from Oregon.
— Kentucky defensive lineman Mi’Quise Humphrey-Grace also followed up a good performance last week by helping the Wildcats defeat Texas A&M. He had five pressures and five hurries in the game and while he isn’t likely to trouble the early rounds of the draft, he has an intriguing skill-set that will give him a chance to be on the radar of NFL teams.
— UCLA had a shoot-out against Purdue and while we’re still really waiting for Nico Iamaleava to reach a consistent level of performance delivering on his immense upside — one other player stood out. Tight end Brayden Loftin was a blocking machine — hammering opponents in space, sealing edges in the running game and putting his body on the line numerous times. It was an impressive performance.