Most people voted in favour of keeping trades in the mock, so that’s what I’ve done. There are nine in total this week — a comparable amount to what we saw in the first round last year. Looking at this draft class overall I think we’ll see a lot of cheap movement. We might see a handful of deals that go against market value. A lot of the teams picking in the 11-20 range for example might want to move up to fill a certain need. But I can also see a few teams (like Cleveland) that’ll be more than happy to move down.
Buffalo (#8) trades with Jacksonville (#2) for a 2nd round pick + 2014 2nd rounder
The Jaguars sent a convoy to Geno Smith’s pro-day but this looked like a classic smokescreen. They’ll almost certainly look to move down. With Chris Mortensen repeatedly linking Oakland to Geno Smith, this could force potential suitors to act. Buffalo GM Buddy Nix said during the 2012 season that it could be time to move up and get a quarterback. I suspect Smith will go second overall, it’s just a case of which team moves up.
San Diego (#11) trades with Cleveland (#6) for a 2nd round pick
This makes too much sense. The Browns don’t have a second rounder after taking Josh Gordon in the supplemental draft last year. The Chargers need a left tackle badly. Assuming one of Luke Joeckel, Eric Fisher or Lane Johnson is still on the board at #6 — San Diego could move up to get their guy.
Carolina (#14) trades with Arizona (#7) for a 3rd + 5th round pick
The Cardinals need to put down some roots at quarterback. Last year was a farce. And with the possibility of the top-three tackles going early, it takes away their other big need as an alternative. Having said that, they could move down and get the next best available quarterback. Carolina might be prepared to move up and fill a big need at defensive tackle. With Sharrif Floyd still available in this projection, they do just that.
Dallas (#18) trades with Cleveland (#11) for a 3rd + 5th round pick
Jerry Jones has shown a willingness to move up in the draft. The Cowboys are transitioning to a 4-3 and need the pieces to make it work. Jay Ratliff’s latest arrest is a concern and Dallas might be considering moving on. They could move up to get Star Lotulelei. He did everything at his pro-day today and the medical news appears to be positive.
Chicago (#20) trades with Tampa Bay (#13) for a 3rd round pick
The Bears don’t have a ton of needs but they can’t be totally satisfied with their offensive line even after signing Jermon Bushrod. Trading up for a guard is uncommon, but Jonathan Cooper is up there with Chance Warmack and Mike Iupati as players worth taking in this range. Tampa Bay knows it can get a cornerback at #20.
Minnesota (#23) trades with New York (#19) for a 4th round pick
The Vikings have two first round picks and might use one to move up and get a playmaker at receiver. Even after signing Greg Jennings, they could use another X-factor type like Cordarrelle Patterson. The Giants have plenty of defensive options remaining in this scenario and feel comfortable moving down four spots.
Atlanta (#30) trades with Green Bay (#26) for a 4th round pick
With Bjoern Werner falling into the 20′s, Atlanta trades up to get an impact pass rusher. The value at #26 isn’t great for Green Bay’s needs so I’d guess they’ll be willing to move down.
San Francisco (#31) trades with Indianapolis (#24) for a 4th + 5th round pick
The Niners aren’t going to keep 14 rookies on their roster, so it stands to reason that they’ll move up at some point. Datone Jones looks like an ideal fit for their defensive front. Indianapolis, like Green Bay, aren’t going to get value at #24 if they want to target the offensive live. A trade makes sense for both teams. The Colts would probably like to get some extra picks after trading a 2nd round choice for Vontae Davis last season.
Philadelphia (#35) trades with Baltimore (#32) for a 5th round pick
Last year the Buccaneers moved back into the late first to select Doug Martin. Denver traded down for a pittance, knowing they could get Derek Wolfe on day two. We could see something similar here. The Eagles re-signed Michael Vick but he’s not the future. Neither is Nick Foles in this offense. E.J. Manuel is trending upwards.
Seattle’s pick in round two is fairly straightforward. It appears they are concentrating on re-signing Kam Chancellor and maybe also Earl Thomas and Golden Tate. We’ll see how much cap room they have left when those talks are concluded. If they’re unable to sign a free agent defensive tackle, it becomes a big need in the draft. And if Sylvester Williams drops to #56 he has to be an option. His age (25 year old rookie) will put some teams off. The depth at tackle is also likely to push some attractive options down the board.
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|#1 Luke Joeckel (T, Texas A&M)
Their reported willingness to discuss a trade for Branden Albert makes this a formality.
|#2 Geno Smith (QB, West Virginia)
Buddy Nix said it was time to move up and get their quarterback.
|#3 Dion Jordan (DE, Oregon)
They need to build a foundation. Jordan has as much talent as anyone in this draft.
|#4 Eric Fisher (T, Central Michigan)
Having made significant moves to boost the defense in free agency, they now concentrate on the offensive live.
|#5 Dee Milliner (CB, Alabama)
With Joeckel and Fisher off the board, they take the best corner.
|#6 Lane Johnson (T, Oklahoma)
Having seen Joeckel and Fisher leave the board, they don’t wait to see if Johnson will be there at #11.
|#7 Sharrif Floyd (DT, Florida)
Perhaps Carolina’s biggest need. They pay a big price to jump ahead of Jacksonville.
|#8 Sheldon Richardson (DT, Missouri)
He’s too good to pass up.
|#9 Chance Warmack (G, Alabama)
Rex Ryan’s future beyond 2013 is unclear, so go back to running the ball. A solid pick with no long term issues if there’s a coaching change.
|#10 Ziggy Ansah (DE, BYU)
Someone is likely to take a chance on Ansah in the top-ten.
|#11 Star Lotulelei (DT, Utah)
The Cowboys are transitioning to a 4-3 and need an interior presence. Jerry Jones is not afraid to move up. This is health permitting.
|#12 Kenny Vaccaro (S, Texas)
The Dolphins could do with improving their secondary.
|#13 Jonathan Cooper (G, North Carolina)
Ok, they signed Jermon Bushrod. They still need to keep building that line. And I think they know it.
|#14 Matt Barkley (QB, USC)
After moving down for an extra two, they get their quarterback of the future.
|#15 Jarvis Jones (DE, Georgia)
Some teams will still be cautious, but if Jones’ back injury really isn’t as serious as feared — he should be a top-15 pick.
|#16 Tavon Austin (WR, West Virginia)
They want weapons on offense. Here’s a weapon.
|#17 Alec Ogletree (LB, Georgia)
Pittsburgh needs a linebacker and someone will roll the dice on his talent.
|#18 Tyler Eifert (TE, Notre Dame)
After trading down twice to accumulate picks, the Browns get a tight end for Rob Chudzinski.
|#19 Cordarrelle Patterson (WR, Tennessee)
Rather than hang about, Minnesota moves up to secure Patterson.
|#20 Blidi Wreh-Wilson (CB, Connecticut)
I just have a hunch there will be teams who rate this guy very highly.
|#21 D.J. Fluker (T, Alabama)
I’m not a fan personally, but then I was never really a fan of Andre Smith either.
|#22 Eddie Lacy (RB, Alabama)
With Steven Jackson in Atlanta, they need another big, physical runner to win in the NFC West.
|#23 Barkevious Mingo (DE, LSU)
He drops a bit and New York halts his slide.
|#24 Datone Jones (DE, UCLA)
The Niners need to bolster that defensive front and they have the picks to move up.
|#25 Manti Te’o (LB, Notre Dame)
Rick Spielman has already hit on two other Notre Dame players. Will he try and make it a hat-trick?
|#26 Bjoern Werner (DE, Florida State)
The Falcons move up to get an impact pass rusher.
|#27 Xavier Rhodes (CB, Florida State)
One of the hardest players to judge this year. Something puts me off this guy, despite the size and speed.
|#28 Desmond Trufant (CB, Washington)
They need to improve a porous secondary.
|#29 DeAndre Hopkins (WR, Clemson)
He could be Tom Brady’s new best friend.
|#30 Robert Woods (WR, USC)
They move down and grab a pass-catcher. This is a need considering they’ve lost both Greg Jennings and Donald Driver.
|#31 Justin Pugh (G, Syracuse)
Maybe Indy’s biggest need?
|#32 E.J. Manuel (QB, Florida State)
Like Tampa Bay last year (Doug Martin) the Eagles manufacture a cheap trade to move back into round one.
#33 Jacksonville – Corey Lemonier (DE, Auburn)
#34 San Francisco- Jonathan Cyprien (S, Florida International)
#35 Baltimore – Matt Elam (S, Florida)
#36 Detroit – Tank Carradine (DE, Florida State)
#37 Cincinnati – Arthur Brown (LB, Kansas State)
#38 Arizona – Menelik Watson (T, Florida State)
#39 New York Jets – Zach Ertz (TE, Stanford)
#40 Tennessee – Jesse Williams (DT, Alabama)
#41 Jacksonville – Ryan Nassib (QB, Syracuse)
#42 Miami – Larry Warford (G, Kentucky)
#43 Tampa Bay – Khaseem Greene (LB, Rutgers)
#44 Carolina – Johnthan Banks (CB, Mississippi State)
#45 Cleveland – Mike Glennon (QB, NC State)
#46 St. Louis – D.J. Swearinger (S, South Carolina)
#47 Dallas – Travis Frederick (C, Wisconsin)
#48 Pittsburgh – Johnthan Hankins (DT, Ohio State)
#49 New York Giants – John Jenkins (DT, Georgia)
#50 Chicago – Keenan Allen (WR, Syracuse)
#51 Washington – Justin Hunter (WR, Tennessee)
#52 Minnesota – Kawann Short (DT, Purdue)
#53 Cincinnati – Jonathan Franklin (RB, UCLA)
#54 Miami – Jamar Taylor (CB, Boise State)
#55 Green Bay – Giovanni Bernard (RB, North Carolina)
#56 Seattle – Sylvester Williams (DT, North Carolina)
#57 Houston – Ryan Swope (WR, Texas)
#58 Denver – Phillip Thomas (S, Fresno State)
#59 New England – Dallas Thomas (G, Tennessee)
#60 Atlanta – D.J. Hayden (CB, Houston)
#61 San Francisco – Gavin Escobar (TE, San Diego State)
#62 Baltimore – Jamie Collins (LB, Southern Miss)