Charles Cross has been ruled out for the Rams game with an injury.
However, rather than be concerned, I’m intrigued to see what a Cross-less Seahawks look like.
There’s an assumption that Cross will be given a hefty extension next off-season. The chances are the new deal would top the $28.5m a year Rashawn Slater earns with the Chargers.
I’m not against the Seahawks extending their young left tackle. I appreciate fully it’s a difficult position to solve.
I don’t think, however, there’s enough of a conversation about how good Cross actually is. It feels like one big assumption that he’s one of the top players at his position. I’m not so sure. And if he isn’t one of the very best tackles in the NFL, what’s the rush to make him the highest paid?
Last summer Jeremy Fowler polled league executives, coaches and scouts to put together a ranking list for each position in the NFL. Cross wasn’t included in the top-10 tackles. He wasn’t even included in the six listed honourable mentions.
He is currently ESPN’s 11th ranked tackle in pass-block win percentage.
PFF has him graded as the 26th best tackle in football this year. In terms of pass-blocking he’s their 38th ranked offensive lineman. He’s their 53rd ranked run-blocking tackle.
How good is he, then?
If Jones is able to come in and play at the levels portrayed above and basically pick up the slack, what then?
I’m not arguing that such a scenario should see Cross run out of town and replaced. I just think there hasn’t been enough of a conversation about how well he’s playing or the state of his development in four seasons in Seattle.
I didn’t grade him as a top-10 pick before the 2022 draft. That wasn’t a hot-take. Daniel Jeremiah had him at #22 in his final top-150 players.
His base and core power always bothered me, as did his non-typical frame. I thought he needed to get stronger. Although his footwork was quick and sharp and effectively his calling card, he would lunge to the outside. You didn’t see him often mirror, engage and finish in the air-raid offense. There was a lot of projection as to whether he could do that consistently well.
We see the same issues exist today. It feels like every year we’re waiting for him to take the next step and it hasn’t happened.
I’m not a fan of paying non-elite players top-end salaries when you’re operating under a hard cap. If there’s a deal to be done without re-setting the market, great. The way people talk about Cross though, it just seems like he has a reputation way beyond his performance level. There’s this grand assumption, locally and nationally, that he’s a top player. I think he’s a decent player. He is not great.
His cap-hit next year is $17.56m on the fifth year option per Over the Cap. Their projection for the offensive lineman franchise tag in 2026 is $27.18m. With two further years of club control, do you need to commit to Cross next off-season?
Many people expected him to be paid last summer. It didn’t happen. I argued it shouldn’t happen at the time because I thought he needed to reach a new level of performance to justify it. Simply put, I don’t think he’s done it.
For that reason, I’d be inclined to play this by ear. If there’s a more reasonable number to be found, fair enough. But this shouldn’t be a foregone conclusion that he’ll top Slater’s deal with the Chargers.
I will say though — you often hear how impossible it is to find good offensive tackles without picking in the top-10 of the draft. Let’s look at the ten players ranked ahead of Cross in ESPN’s pass-block win-rate:
#1 Roger Rosengarten — 62nd pick in 2024
#2 Dion Dawkins — 63rd pick in 2017
#3 Tristan Wirfs — 13th pick in 2020
#4 Zach Tom — 140th pick in 2022
#5 Andrew Thomas — 4th pick in 2020
#6 Ronnie Stanley — 6th pick in 2016
#7 Darnell Wright — 10th pick in 2023
#8 Jawaan Taylor — 35th pick in 2019
#9 Garett Bolles — 20th pick in 2017
#10 Rasheed Walker — 249th pick in 2022
The average draft position of these 10 players is 60th overall. If you take out the two most extreme examples — Andrew Thomas (#4) and Rasheed Walker (#249) the average still settles at #44 overall.
The rest of the top-20 also includes Warren McCledon (174th overall), Spencer Brown (93rd overall), Terence Steele (undrafted), Luke Goedeke (57th overall), Brian O’Neill (62nd overall), Jaylon Moore (155th overall) and, predictably, Trent Williams (dealt to the 49ers for a 5th round pick and a future third rounder).
I’m not suggesting it’s a walk in the park to find good pass-protecting tackles. I just think it’s important to note that the concept of these players being impossible to discover, or that they require premium draft stock to acquire, isn’t strictly true.
A bigger conversation about Cross’ play is required. It’s as if nobody really talks about it. I think it’s convenient not to talk about it because the alternative (having to consider other left tackles) is an uncomfortable thought. Plus, his draft status as a top-10 pick has possibly created a misplaced aura over his play (that has arguably been the case with Witherspoon at times too).
Elite contracts should be for the best players. They shouldn’t be given out simply to avoid having to consider alternatives at some point in the future.
I’m interested to see what happens on Thursday. It might mean paying Cross to avoid a Jones-type future develops into a bigger narrative. It might simply mean Jones isn’t good enough. If he basically does the same job Cross has been doing, that should also be the catalyst for a broader discussion on this topic.
