Brandan and I reflected on the Jamal Adams trade for nearly an hour — check it out below. And if you missed my article discussing the compensation involved and what the deal says about the Seahawks’ current situation, click here.
Page 153 of 441
The Seahawks have had a desperate off-season.
They failed to sufficiently address their biggest need, the pass rush. They didn’t deliver ‘superstars’ as requested by their quarterback. They were going into the 2020 season with very little energy or expectation.
Their reaction was to trade for Jamal Adams — a fantastic player with the potential to be a major contributor.
The cost of the trade, however, is absolutely unjustifiable.
The Seahawks have given up their first round picks in 2021 and 2022, a third round pick in 2021 and Bradley McDougald. In return, they receive a fourth round pick in 2022 along with Adams.
Let’s put this deal into perspective.
A year ago the Pittsburgh Steelers traded their 2020 first and fifth round picks plus their sixth rounder in 2021 for Minkah Fitzpatrick, who plays the same position as Adams. That deal looks like an absolute bargain compared to the Adams trade.
In 2018 the Chicago Bears traded their 2019 first and sixth round picks and a 2020 first round pick for Khalil Mack. Yet in return, they received Oakland’s 2020 second rounder plus a conditional pick in the same class.
Again, the Seahawks paid a lot more for Jamal Adams.
The LA Rams traded for Jalen Ramsey during the 2019 season. It cost them a 2020 first-round pick, a 2021 first-rounder and a 2021 fourth-round pick.
For the third time — that is cheaper than Seattle’s deal for Adams.
There is simply no precedent whatsoever for the cost of this trade. Nobody can dispute Adams’ talent. We’ve also talked several times on this blog about the benefit of trading away 2021 picks. The college football season is in flux this year and the 2021 class appears to be top heavy. Dealing your first rounder for a proven veteran who can improve a mediocre defense made sense.
Yet this is the kind of outlay you can really only justify for a quarterback or a truly elite pass rusher or left tackle.
It’s not even comparable to Houston’s deal for Laremy Tunsil. They gave up two first rounders, a second round pick, Johnson Bademosi and Julien Davenport. Yet they still received Kenny Stills and a fourth rounder plus a top-tier left tackle to protect Deshaun Watson.
The Seahawks have invested their next two drafts for a safety — a year removed from using a second round pick on Marquise Blair.
So what does this mean? Is Blair a write-off already? Is Quandre Diggs only a short-term solution?
And what about the pass rush and defensive line? What use is such a massive investment in a safety if you can’t create any pressure? Seattle had one of the worst defensive lines in football in 2019 and their moves so far this year were to replace Jadeveon Clowney with rookies plus Benson Mayowa and Bruce Irvin.
Will the addition of Adams also prevent them from making any further moves? Is that the end of the very last hope of Clowney returning? Can they even bring in someone — anyone — to replace Al Woods?
The Seahawks came into the off-season with some depth and investment at linebacker and safety and needed to add to the D-line and at cornerback. What they’ve actually done is spend their first round pick on a linebacker (despite spending $25m on Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright this year, having traded up for Cody Barton a year ago) and now they’ve spent two first round picks on Jamal Adams having only just traded for Quandre Diggs and drafting Marquise Blair.
It doesn’t make sense.
It feels like a panic move in reaction to what has been a poor off-season. The astronomical price lends weight to that suggestion.
And while Jamal Adams is an excellent addition who can be a leader and help set the tone on defense — he’s not an Earl Thomas-style free safety. He ran a 4.56 at the combine. He’s a strong safety. When’s the last time a strong safety cost two first round picks plus extras?
Meanwhile the pass rush remains a major issue.
People will be excited about the move and should be allowed to be excited about it. I’m not here to ruin your day. Yet this, to me, is simply further evidence of a franchise that has lost its way during this reset.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Russell Wilson and Colin Cowherd are close
“He is saving this franchise”
A couple of weeks ago I wrote an article noting how Colin Cowherd was more or less revealing how Russell Wilson feels about the current off-season.
Wilson and Cowherd are close. A lot of what Cowherd was saying went beyond the usual media insight you’d expect on the Seahawks. It felt a lot more intimate. A lot more real. He spoke to how Wilson felt. He speculated that he might be looking at a player like Patrick Mahomes with envy. Mahomes is the focal point of Kansas City’s offensive philosophy, he’s consulted on who they draft and the Chiefs have been as aggressive as anyone to build around their quarterback.
In Seattle? The difference couldn’t be more stark.
PFF this week ranked the Seahawks’ defensive line dead last in the entire league. It’s incredible really. They came into the off-season with the #1 priority of fixing their pass rush. To be here, on July 23rd, with potentially the worst D-line in the whole NFL is a damning indictment on Seattle was able to achieve.
It’s also exactly what the Seahawks deserve. Going into week one with a starting line of Rasheem Green, Jarran Reed, Poona Ford and Benson Mayowa — that simply isn’t good enough. That’s a failure. And while they might hope that L.J. Collier can make a giant leap forward (a mere ‘step forward’ won’t be enough) or that Bruce Irvin can find a niche to create some pressures and sacks — collectively it’s staggering that the Seahawks have so done so poorly in trying to solve their biggest off-season task.
They still haven’t even replaced Al Woods.
And after having the very public workout with Antonio Brown and it not amounting to anything, not to mention Jake Heaps (who works closely with Russell Wilson) speculating interest in Jamal Adams — we now have Cowherd returning with another damning analysis of the Seahawks:
“They don’t draft particularly well at the top of the draft. They can’t build offensive and defensive lines. A great owner passed away, the current ownership group doesn’t necessarily want it. Who’s got support and who doesn’t?”
You can see all of Cowherd’s take in the video below:
Hasn’t he got a point?
Defensively it might be a bit harsh. The trade for Chris Clemons was inspired — as was the following additions of Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril, Bruce Irvin and Frank Clark. Yet recently they’ve seen all depart and their attempts to build a new D-line have been, to put it bluntly, a bit of a mess.
The O-line issue is fair comment. They’ve pumped resources into the line over the years but have never been able to create the kind of unit you could realistically call a strength. Wilson has Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf but he clearly feels like he needs more — thus the Brown workout and the recent renewed talk about Josh Gordon.
The Seahawks are being propped up by their quarterback. They’ve had three resetting off-seasons and they aren’t making enough progress. That’s why I asked this week whether they’re treading water. They aren’t adding enough quality players and they’re not developing enough draft picks into contributors — let alone top starters.
I don’t think this noise is going to go away and I think it’s safe to say Wilson is going to be a big reason why. He is a highly ambitious individual and he will feel his chances of delivering on his talent are being jeopardised by a team that isn’t doing a good enough job surrounding him with complimentary pieces.
Cowherd is saying what he’s saying for a reason. Wilson’s not happy with this off-season. He asked for superstars. He wants to see the Seahawks make the moves to give him an opportunity to win more rings but instead they can’t even bring back Jadeveon Clowney — their one truly dynamic D-liner from 2019.
ESPN this week ranked the Seahawks as having the third worst off-season in the league.
The star player wants to see more urgency and he’s right to feel that way. We’ll see if he’s able to trigger some action.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Jaylen Twyman is the kind of player Seattle needs
Pittsburgh’s defense from 2019 was a lot of fun to watch, thanks to two players in particular who stand out as possible targets in the 2021 class.
There’s a lot to like about defensive tackle Jaylen Twyman and safety Paris Ford.
Twyman is listed at 6-2 and 290lbs so he’s relatively undersized to play inside. He also doesn’t really have much scope to get above 300lbs — so you’re going to have to compensate size for impact. Frankly, this is the type of player Seattle has needed for some time.
We’ll need to see how he matches up in terms of arm length. With the way he plays, that’ll be important. His hand use is very good and is the most attractive aspect of his game alongside his athleticism. Being able to keep his frame clean and disengage at the next level will be crucial to his potential success, so that’s something to keep in mind when measurements are taken next year.
However, he had 10.5 sacks in 2019 and 12 TFL’s. There aren’t many defensive tackles putting up those numbers in college.
As mentioned, the thing that really stands out is his ability to stay clean and work openings. Twyman has a really good swim move and executes the push/pull to a high standard too. He keeps his feet moving and doesn’t stop working to the quarterback. That’s not always a good thing because sometimes you want to see a defensive tackle just plant their feet, bully and force a blocker backwards into the pocket. You can easily lose balance if you’re too active and get washed out. Twyman’s balance is excellent though and rather than get walked out of contention he forces blockers onto the backfoot with extended arms, quickness and the threat to slip a gap at any moment.
It’s a connected process. His hand-use bats off attempted blocks and combines with the movement. He’s difficult to pin down — you can’t engage and lock out as a blocker and you’re forced to attack on the move. He’s nearly always clean and then he can play with patience — waiting for the moment to rip/swim.
When he connects he’s very good at jolting with a strong punch or tossing blockers out of the way. He looks quick and agile and has just enough sand in his pants to handle duties inside.
There’s one rush against Delaware where the center gets into his shoulder pads and creates initial contain. Twyman simply bides his time and shrugs him off with a swim before exploding into the backfield for a sack. He’s really slippery. You’re not going to stone him too often at the line. He’s going to wriggle free.
On another play against North Carolina he stunted to the edge and ran a really extended loop all the way to the quarterback — showing off his quickness and agility.
As we know in Seattle, you need gap-discipline to play defensive tackle in this scheme. They’ve never had a dynamic sack artist working inside because they don’t often play in attack mode. Priority number one is handle your gaps. They’re happy for their defensive tackles to push the pocket rather than necessarily shoot and play in attack-mode. I need to see Twyman this year to understand whether he’s going to be someone they see as a fit — or whether he’d be more suited to a situational rush role (which would obviously impact his stock).
Even so — it’s always exciting to see a defensive tackle who can create problems and collect sacks. A dynamic interior rusher is one of the more exciting aspects of the game. Seattle hasn’t had one for far too long.
If Twyman produced fireworks as a pass rusher, Paris Ford delivers energy and intensity at safety.
The entire defense was lifted by his play. They were hollering at his hits and the way he celebrates every successful moment. Ford has the attitude, the edge and the desire to enjoy himself that every team needs in their defensive backfield.
Again he’s not the biggest player (6-0, 190lbs) but he plays way beyond his size. He will deliver an absolute sledgehammer hit given the opportunity. You hear cracks when he tackles — the unmistakable sound of a helmet being smacked on a jarring hit follows Ford around the field. Don’t come into his area or he’ll dump you on your arse. He’s a bruising, intense hitter that helps set a tone.
In other words — he’s Seattle’s kind of safety. There’s not a lot of consistency in terms of the physical profile they’ve targeted at the position. However, they love guys who play like this. Hitting is an aspect they treasure.
Ford has decent range in run support. He identifies stretch runs and can sprint to the ball carrier to create TFL situations. Virginia Tech ran the quarterback on one play against Pittsburgh last year and he read it all the way, sprinted up to the LOS and just hammered the QB. It suggested evidence of an ability to understand the play, trust his eyes and finish. The ability to handle the perimeter stuff is key for a team playing against the NFC West teams.
He reads the middle of the field well and is opportunistic. He has a knack for making plays — sticking in coverage, collecting a deflected pass for an interception, making an open-field tackle. He’s much more tenacious than you’d expect for his size.
He’s only had one year as a starter so it’ll be interesting to see how he develops. He had three interceptions in 2019. Can he add to that tally, show off great range in the open-field and convince teams he’s a complete safety prospect? Even if he can’t — his play around the LOS and the second level is still highly impressive.
It’ll also be interesting to see how he tests. Ford was a four-star recruit and the likes of Auburn, Florida and Michigan all showed interest before he opted to stay close to home. Twyman was also a four-star prospect coveted by Penn State, Florida and South Carolina. So it’s not like both are overachieving types — they have a pedigree.
Twyman and Ford are highly talented and need to be on our radar for the future — whether there’s a college football season in 2020 or not.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
The Seahawks still have holes, even with training camp coming up
It’s July 18th. In ten days time, training camp is scheduled to begin. There’s some doubt whether that’ll actually be the case, as the NFL and the NFLPA discuss a safe return. Reportedly, however, the NFL are wedded to their plan.
For those minded to push back against criticism of Seattle’s off-season, the case for the defense has been to suggest ‘they’re far from finished’. That’s a term used by both the media and the fans. Yet actually nothing has happened since the days after the draft when Carlos Hyde and Geno Smith were brought in.
The Seahawks still haven’t signed a replacement for Al Woods. There’s been no conclusion to the Jadeveon Clowney saga. Everson Griffen and several other familiar names also remain unsigned.
Russell Wilson has been working out with Antonio Brown. There have been rumours about Jamal Adams but I think it’s fair to suggest that Seattle’s interest is more due diligence than an aggressive courting.
At the moment the Seahawks haven’t signed many of their draft picks. They’re still operating with about $5-6m in actual cap space. There’s room for a move — maybe even two with a couple of choice cuts. Anything more will require manoeuvering.
If the Seahawks are going to do anything else, when’s it going to happen? If camp starts in ten days, is that a deadline of sorts to work towards? Are they waiting, perhaps like the rest of the league, to see what emerges from the talks with the NFLPA?
Either way, surely this year more than any other it’ll be necessary to have your players with you at the start of camp? You’re going to be far more limited in what you can do. There are going to be protocols to learn and adjust to.
Every day is going to be important.
Again, there’s not a great deal they can do.
Presumably they’ll want another body at defensive tackle even if it’s just for depth.
Other than that? It’s hard to imagine what possible deal the Seahawks and Clowney could work out to make a return remotely possible. Is he really going to hold out for this long simply to accept a $7m contract? Maybe, if it’s his best offer. I’m not sure from his perspective he’ll welcome a contract like that rather than simply sit out even longer. Maybe even into the season.
Antonio Brown or Josh Gordon could be added, as long as the financial package is cheap. They’d need to be cheap too.
The reality of the situation is that, as has been the case for some time, the Seahawks are pretty much done in terms of roster building for this year. They’ve spent their $60m, used their picks and what they have is, pretty much, going to be what they go with in 2020.
It is fair to question what they’ve done. This hasn’t felt like a ‘Championship off-season’. At least not in terms of adding players.
It’s possible, given everything that has happened in the world, that Pete Carroll’s enthusiasm for the way they’ve handled the lockdown of facilities is warranted. Some teams, especially those with inexperienced or new staff members, might struggle. Having established players who know what they’re doing in the scheme is a bonus.
They also have Russell Wilson. A quarterback of his caliber will make the Seahawks a good bet for the playoffs and a winning record.
Any further optimism feels like a stretch though. The enormous question marks about both the pass rush and defensive line in general, the changes to the O-line, the ways they’ve spent $60m, the use of $25m on two linebackers while simultaneously using their top draft pick on another linebacker and the overall lack of obvious improvement. All of this needs to be challenged.
If nothing else it was critical they fixed the pass rush this off-season and what they’ve done looks like a failure. Subtracting Jadeveon Clowney and relying on Benson Mayowa and Bruce Irvin is not in any way, shape or form an adequate addressing of the problem. It underpins what has been a fairly mundane few months, with little in the way of excitement.
Which is why, ultimately, you currently have the quarterback campaigning for Antonio Brown while his buddy on FS1 happily reveals what is probably a degree of quarterback dissatisfaction with the off-season — especially when he looks at several other rival teams and the way they’ve progressed.
As a franchise are they treading water? It’s six years since the last Super Bowl run and since then the 49ers and Rams have both won the NFC and the Cardinals have competed in the Championship game. Early playoff exits have stacked up and that was easier to accept as one era ended and a reset began.
Now the Seahawks are three off-seasons into their reset. The energy and vibrancy of 2018 is giving way to doubt. Unlike in previous years, the bold and adventurous Seahawks have become fairly conservative in the way they do business.
Everyone expects a competitive team. I’m not sure anyone expects to win the NFC West — something they’ve only done once in the last five years. That in turn means a long route through the playoffs and the increasing chances of another familiar playoff exit in the Wildcard or Divisional round.
The Carroll and Schneider era has always been very good at allowing you to dream. They’d make moves that highlighted an aggressive pursuit of Championships. Not all of their moves worked but at least you knew they were going for it. You could never accuse them of being complacent.
This off-season has been different. It’s been underwhelming. An expression to sum it up would be ‘meh’. Many held out hope that, in time, there would be some further moves to bring everything together. The key moves would come later in the summer. Well, the countdown is on now and the available money is limited.
It begs the question — how are they going to get back into serious contention? They’ve struggled to address a pass rush issue for two off-seasons now. Their drafts have been a mixed bag with more bad than good. There are question marks about the O-line again. Are they supporting Wilson enough — both with weapons, protection and a competent defense?
Currently a neutral observer will tune in to gaze at the brilliance of the quarterback in 2020. Nobody’s throwing down $20 on them winning the Super Bowl though. How are they going to change that?
It’s hard to imagine what they can realistically do between now and the season starting to generate some excitement and more importantly — generate reasons to think they can do more than make up the numbers if they make the post season.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Chiefs are giving franchise DT Chirs Jones a four-year, $85 million deal that includes $60 million in guarantees, per source.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) July 14, 2020
Good teams don’t let top players leave. The Kansas City Chiefs might be the best run franchise in the NFL currently.
It’s easy to say that when you’re winning games with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. Yet this is the organisation that saw the talent in Mahomes that others (Chicago) didn’t and traded up to get a player who could, potentially, be the best quarterback we’ve ever seen. They had the foresight to sit him for a year behind a superb mentor in Alex Smith. They built around him with an arsenal of weapons.
They needed to improve the defense and were pro-active trading for Frank Clark and signing Tyrann Mathieu. The end result? A Super Bowl championship.
In recent articles we noted they easily had the cap space to retain Chris Jones. So it proved. Now, if nothing else, their defensive unit will include Jones and Clark for the foreseeable future. With a highly dynamic offense — that’ll always give them a chance.
The Seahawks, in comparison, do not base their entire offensive scheme around the quarterback. They clearly value Wilson extremely highly. Yet it’s understandable why Wilson would be slightly jealous of the power and control Mahomes has in KC.
Seattle’s biggest recent investments in terms of weapons are signing a 35-year-old tight end and drafting D.K. Metcalf in round two (after L.J. Collier and Marquise Blair, mind). Compare that to the multiple high draft picks and free agent signings the Chiefs have invested in.
The Seahawks revamped their offensive line this year but have done so with a cast of backups and projects.
On defense they haven’t made any significant trades like the Chiefs did with Clark. Neither have they retained their best defensive lineman. Kansas City paid up for Jones. The Seahawks didn’t for Clowney — which is fine. Nobody else paid up either. Yet they didn’t go after a viable alternative and now they’re relying on Benson Mayowa and Bruce Irvin to solve a major issue.
Wilson clearly wants them to sign Antonio Brown. Earlier this year he campaigned for Clowney to re-sign. He asked for stars. He wants to see this team being more like the Chiefs. He’s not blind to the issues. If you’re prepared to look critically at the situation, you’ll see the issues too. Seattle has not done a good enough job addressing their roster and improving their team this off-season.
The quarterback wants to win.
Are the Seahawks providing him with the best possible opportunity to win?
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
The Jamal Adams trade talk has ramped up again this week
Three weeks ago I wrote about the remote possibility of Seattle trading for Jamal Adams. This week there’s been fresh talk about the Seahawks making a move.
Jake Heaps shared some information on 710 ESPN yesterday, igniting the discussion:
“I actually had a conversation with a friend of mine who works in a front office on the other side of the country for an NFL team, and we were talking and he actually said, ‘So your Seahawks are really into Jamal Adams.
“He said, yeah, the Seahawks are absolutely pursuing Jamal Adams… I think that trade conversations are heating up around Jamal Adams and that the Seahawks in particular are one of those teams that are continuing to pursue Jamal Adams.”
Others have since joined in to suggest this might be more than a cursory glance in Adams’ direction.
The thing is — there’s still a difference between reasonable interest and actually making a trade. The Seahawks constantly speak of being ‘in every deal’. And rightly so. They’ve pulled off some excellent trades over the years due to this approach. They’ve also had some misfires but that comes with the territory of being a pro-active franchise.
It’s not often a player as good as Adams becomes available. Thus, you’d be doing yourself a major disservice not to consider making a move. That process involves internal discussion and consultation. It involves contacting the Jets. You weigh up the cost and the impact.
Doing pretty standard work to have the best possible information for a potential deal can easily look like an aggressive pursuit. More often than not it’s just due diligence.
That’s not to say a trade won’t happen. It could — if everything matches up in a satisfactory manner and the Seahawks feel they want to pull the trigger.
Yet everything noted in the previous article on June 20th remains true:
— Safety is one of the few positions where they actually have some depth and talent
— Trading for Adams would all but write off the Marquise Blair pick one year into his career
— They have limited 2020 resources and still need to add at least one defensive tackle
— The pass rush needs major investment — much more than any other area of the defense
Some have suggested that the Seahawks are more comfortable paying big money at the safety position than the D-line and that could be a reason why they make this trade. Perhaps. It’s also important to remember that the two safeties they paid — Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor — were both legendary focal points who could easily end up in the Hall of Fame. Since both departed, the Seahawks have not invested heavily in the position.
Rather than preferring to pay safeties instead of defensive linemen, I think they just want to pay big money to players who truly deserve it. With the D-line market exploding since Olivier Vernon’s New York Giants contract, they’ve not indulged in the rapidly growing salaries for the top pass rushers. That feels like a weariness based on cost, rather than any philosophical approach to a specific position.
Adams is a terrific player and would provide a serious injection of quality. Playing next to Quandre Diggs would set up an excellent duo. With a seemingly top-heavy 2021 draft class and major question marks about the college football season, it might be a good idea to use your top pick on a proven veteran. Especially with the defense looking as mediocre as it currently does.
Yet you have to wonder whether such a move would even be worthwhile if Seattle’s front four can’t create pressure and if the secondary and linebackers are exposed. Trading for Adams and using the $60m you spent in free agency to fix the pass rush would’ve constituted a problem solving spring/summer. Trading for Adams and not addressing the pass rush properly could be putting the cart before the horse.
This feels like a classic case of doing due diligence and asking to be kept firmly updated by the Jets. Actually making a trade for Adams, however, still seems unlikely.
I’ve posted a few new articles this week so if you missed any, don’t forget to scroll down the homepage and join in the discussion in the comments section.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Colin Cowherd and Russell Wilson have a relationship. It could even be a friendship. Wilson has appeared on Cowherd’s show several times. He’s regularly promoted Seattle’s quarterback and even dabbled in a classic bit of ‘media negotiating’ a year ago by suggesting Wilson would be a good fit with the Giants in New York.
Days after Antonio Brown published a video showing he was working out with Wilson, we now have this. A new Cowherd take. This time he compares Wilson’s situation to that of Patrick Mahomes. He makes the reasonable case that everything is built around Mahomes in Kansas City. He’s consulted on draft picks, the scheme — everything.
In Seattle, Wilson is a highly valued member of the team. After all, they made him the highest paid player in the league. Yet it’s still very much Carroll’s vision, philosophy and approach to team building. Wilson fits within Carroll’s structure. That’s not to say he’s imprisoned in some kind of highly undesirable situation. Carroll and Wilson have been good for each other, even if that’s often forgotten these days.
Yet Cowherd suggests, again — quite fairly — that Wilson might look at Mahomes’ arsenal of weapons, input and focal point nature and be a little envious.
It’s also possible that this is another reveal into Wilson’s current feeling about the team. We’ve already had his call for superstars at the Pro Bowl and the very public display of interest in playing with Antonio Brown. Now this.
That’s not to say Wilson put Cowherd up to it. He might’ve done. Who knows? But it’s perfectly fair to wonder if Cowherd’s take is the result of a conversation or series of conversations with Wilson. This seems like more than an educated guess or projection. It’s very possible Cowherd knows exactly how Wilson feels and the quarterback is happy for his friend in the media to let us know about it.
And let’s be right here — Wilson is well within his rights to feel that way.
Park the scheme and philosophy stuff for a minute. Carroll has earned the benefit of the doubt that his approach to football works. He’s had a lot of success and deserves credit for that. Even if you wish for more of a Kansas City philosophy on the field — you can still respect that Carroll knows how to win. And if Wilson is the most important part of Seattle’s success — you can make a strong case for the culture Carroll cultivates being #2 on the list.
Let’s focus on team building instead. The Chiefs have invested heavily in their offense to provide Mahomes with an O-line and weapons. They even went out of their way to restructure Sammy Watkins’ contract this year rather than make an easy cut.
In comparison, what has Wilson got to work with? They’ve rebuilt the O-line with a career backup, a right tackle benched by the Jets and padded the depth with reclamation projects or younger players. They signed Greg Olsen — who turns 36 next year and has spent the last two years contemplating a broadcasting career. That was a positive move for Wilson but it’s fair to wonder how much juice Olsen has in what could be his final season.
His clamour for Antonio Brown is a cry for help. He wants more — and he deserves more. You only have to look at the 2020 draft. It was loaded with skill position talent and yet they were forced to use their first two picks on the defense because they didn’t address the problem in free agency. That can’t have gone unnoticed.
Supporting the quarterback isn’t just about an O-line and skill players either. It’s about a defense. The Chiefs have done a great job plugging holes and providing the kind of complimentary unit Mahomes needs. Kansas City doesn’t have a great defense — it’s simply good enough. They’ve been pro-active — adding players like Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu. Injections of quality. The kind of moves Seattle hasn’t made this off-season.
The Seahawks’ pass rush was inept in 2019 and could be even worse this year. There are question marks in the secondary too and yet they’re paying $25m for two linebackers and then spent their top draft pick on the same position.
They spent $60m in cap space this off-season and still their biggest and most glaring holes remain. Optimists keep insisting they’re far from finished but the money has practically run out and the options are thin to make serious improvements.
Wilson isn’t daft. He’ll be just as aware of all this as we are. He’s a winner and he wants to get back to the Super Bowl. The questions we ask about their off-season, he’s probably asking too.
Slowly but surely the curtain is being pulled back and we’re starting to learn about some of Wilson’s apparent dissatisfaction. It doesn’t mean he’s going to lead a mutiny or become a problem. This is the time to make a point though — before the season really begins. He should speak out too if he’s concerned. I doubt the team will have much of an issue with him doing so either.
That said, Wilson needs proof that the franchise is as ambitious as he is after a seriously underwhelming off-season. The next 12 months will be interesting.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Chris Jones still hasn’t signed his franchise tender
In light of Patrick Mahomes’ record breaking contract, many have wondered what it means for Chris Jones’ future. He hasn’t signed his franchise tag tender and has even threatened to ‘do a Le’Veon Bell’ (presumably that means holding out, losing millions and ruining his career?).
Considering Seattle’s tragic need for defensive line reinforcements — predictably this has led some to question whether a trade is possible. After all — you can’t pay everyone and Kansas City is no longer a team benefiting from a quarterback on a rookie contract.
Even so — a trade is, unfortunately, highly unlikely for several reasons…
1. The Chiefs salary cap situation
Kansas City has done a remarkable job managing their salary cap over the last few years. Despite paying numerous big name players, trading for the likes of Frank Clark and keeping together their core group — they still have a healthy outlook for the future.
Following Mahomes’ extension they are now left with an estimated $22m in cap space for 2021. By 2022 they are projected to have $111m available — although this doesn’t include Mahomes’ salary. On top of this, they can create more cap space next year by cutting Tyrann Mathieu ($15m) and Alex Okafor ($6m).
If they want to sign Jones to a new contract, nothing is preventing them from doing so over the next few years. They have the cap space even with Mahomes’ big contract coming into effect. They have no pressure to trade him from a financial perspective.
2. The way they structure contracts
The Chiefs, unlike the Seahawks, were willing to make Frank Clark one of the highest paid defensive ends in the league. His contract is worth an average of $20.8m a year. The structure of the deal, however, gives them great flexibility and manageable control for the future.
Clark’s year-one cap hit in 2019 was just $6.5m. That was necessary given the cap pressure the Chiefs felt last year. His cap hit rises to $19.3m in 2020 and $25.8m in 2021. After that — they can easily get out of the contract if needed.
It’s basically only a three-year commitment to Clark. If he continues to perform at a high level — by 2022 a cap hit of $26.3m could present reasonable market value. If not, they can cut or trade him and save $13.4m as he turns 29 (and could still have some trade value).
Why is this important? If the Chiefs wanted to pay Chris Jones a similar salary, they would almost certainly structure the deal in the same way. They could lower his initial cap hit into the $6-10m range in 2021 and then back-load the deal. It could be a three year commitment, set up to be most expensive when Clark’s deal provides an out in 2022. By then they can make a call on Clark and it provides a very realistic opportunity for Kansas City to save money on their D-line if needed.
3. Why would the Chiefs trade him?
Because they are in relative cap health even with Mahomes’ new contract — all of the bargaining power lies with the Chiefs. All Jones can do is, as suggested, pull a Le’Veon Bell. I’m not sure using the worst negotiating tactic in the history of the NFL is going to sway a well run organisation.
Presumably Jones will not go down that route and the worst case scenario is he will play on the franchise tag. That would give the Chiefs an opportunity to try and win another Super Bowl in 2020 with the same core group that won a title in 2019.
After the season, the Chiefs can afford to franchise him again if needs be — even if it’s merely a precursor to a trade. Or they could just let him walk as a free agent. At the end of the day, trading him away arguably isn’t worth it if you’re harming your chances of winning a Super Bowl in 2020.
They’re not going to give him away like the Texans did with Jadeveon Clowney. We also know a lot more about Clowney now than we did a year ago. His free agency experience casts the trade in a completely different light. Nobody wants to pay him. The Texans, clearly, didn’t have a rich market for his services a year ago and took what they could. Whether that’s down to Clowney the person or his injury history — we can’t compare that situation to Jones.
In order to make a deal with the Chiefs you’d have to make it worth their while. What is the price of a major impact on your chances of winning a Championship this year?
4. Time is running out
July 15th is the deadline for a tagged player to sign a long term deal. After that date, he can’t discuss an extension until the end of the league year. That means if the Seahawks wanted to trade for him and extend his contract — they’d need to do it in the next seven days. Otherwise the best they could hope for is a rental situation.
You might argue that a rental would be fine. However, there are two big problems. Firstly, the Seahawks don’t have the cap space to absorb a $16m cap hit this year. That’s how much Jones is due on the franchise tag. If you rent him, you’d need the Chiefs to be willing to pay a decent chunk of his salary — just like the Texans did with Clowney. That doesn’t seem very realistic.
Secondly, it again comes down to Kansas City’s motivation to move him. The Texans clearly had a better grasp on Clowney’s situation than most gave them credit for. Had Clowney not been traded a year ago, the Texans wouldn’t have received a third round comp pick like everyone expected. By dealing him, they got something instead of nothing for a player the league isn’t that high on (for whatever reason).
Jones’ situation is different. There’s no reason to think he would also face a similar market next year. Thus the worst case scenario for the Chiefs is a decent comp pick down the line. Again — if you want to rent Chris Jones for a season it’s probably going to cost a higher pick. Otherwise, why would the Chiefs dent their chances of another Championship?
The most likely scenario for a trade was a deal that enabled another team to pay a high price in terms of picks, then extend his contract. You’ve only got seven days to sort that out.
The only other possible situation would be to make a trade after July 15th and then convince Jones to play on the tag in 2020 without having to guarantee you won’t tag him again next year. That seems implausible. Jones would surely threaten to hold out, scuppering any trade. Franchising him a second time would cost $19m — a not unreasonable amount compared to his peers. Yet he’s unlikely to go along with that arrangement ($16m in 2020, $19m in 2021) when he will be seeking a salary worth $23m a year.
5. Jones will want a mega contract
The Seahawks have so far refused to pay Frank Clark and Jadeveon Clowney. Is it realistic that they’d be willing to pay Chris Jones the kind of money he will want?
He’s well within his rights to ask for Aaron Donald money ($22.5m a year). Are the Seahawks really going to turn over high draft picks and a contract like that?
Furthermore — the likes of Donald and Khalil Mack were blue-chip players taken very early in the draft. Their physical profiles were elite. So was their production.
Jones has done a superb job producing consistently in the NFL despite a so-so college career. Yet he was also an early second round pick for a reason. He doesn’t possess the kind of physical profile of Donald or Mack. The light turned on in the NFL — but we’ve also seen him coast through a spell at Mississippi State.
Can you say with any great confidence that his production will continue if he’s earning $22.5m a year (or more)? Perhaps this is one of the reasons why the Chiefs have so far been reluctant to commit that much money to him on a long term extension?
It’s a nice thought to consider the Seahawks adding the kind of dynamic interior pass rusher they desperately need. If the Chiefs were willing to make a trade that included Seattle’s 2021 first round pick — it should be considered (provided a long term deal could be agreed). Next years draft class looks top heavy and light on D-line talent. The pass rush appears set to hold this team back from being a serious contender next season. Any opportunity to rectify that situation should be acted on.
There’s just too many obstacles — the price, the lack of motivation to deal him, the cost to the Chiefs in 2020. Seattle has essentially made its bed this year and short of being able to add a cheap defensive tackle or one of the two troubled receivers everyone’s talking about — they really don’t have the scope to do much more.
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
Eze is switching to left tackle in 2020
The Seahawks didn’t invest an early pick on an offensive tackle this year, increasing the likelihood that they’ll need to in 2021. Duane Brown turns 35 in August and even if he plays on beyond this season — the future at left tackle warrants some consideration.
In recent years Seattle has preferred the veteran option. The top offensive tackles always go early and the ones available later on often require significant development. It’s possible, as we saw with the 49ers and Joe Staley/Trent Williams, that the Seahawks will eventually replace Brown with another veteran. That might be the best move, especially with Russell Wilson very much in the peak of his career. Whether it’s via trade or free agency — there’s a fairly good chance the Seahawks won’t leave Wilson’s blindside to an unproven younger player.
The other option of course is to draft and develop. That would require Brown to play for at least two more seasons realistically. It also means trying to identify a tackle likely to be available (assuming the Seahawks aren’t suddenly picking in the top-10).
One player to keep an eye on is Memphis’ Obinna Eze.
He’s switching to left tackle this year and it’ll be really interesting to see how he adjusts. His physical skill set is far more suited to the left side than the right, where he’s played previously. Eze is listed at 6-8 and 303lbs. He’s not a powerful drive blocker though — he’s very much an athlete.
Eze is a former four star recruit and was quite the get for Memphis when he opted to stay in Tennessee. The likes of Alabama, Florida, LSU and Auburn all showed interest. When he trained at a LSU camp in High School — he looked like a tight end playing tackle. He was tall, long and athletic but handled his three-star opponent with ease.
He only moved to the United States from Nigeria in 2015. After just a year of football on the junior varsity squad at Davidson Academy in Nashville, he received a scholarship offer from Lane Kiffin (who was the Alabama offensive coordinator at the time).
His story is very similar to Prince Tega Wanogho’s. He moved to America to play basketball but had the frame and athleticism suited to playing O-line.
The Athletic’s Chris Vannini profiled Eze last August:
Eze hasn’t seen his family in more than four years. It’s a sacrifice he’s had to make.
At 16 years old, he attended an open basketball camp in Nigeria, a year after picking up the sport. He impressed so much that he was invited to a closed camp for 50 players. From there, he made a team that traveled to the United States to play an AAU circuit. American interest in him blew up from that tour, with high schools in Connecticut, Florida, North Carolina and Tennessee offering scholarships.
Eze’s mother has a master’s degree in English, and the opportunity to get an education in the U.S. was something Eze’s family felt he shouldn’t pass up. He opted for Davidson Academy in Nashville and was paired with Maurice and Jennifer Fitzgerald as his guardians. He left Nigeria, uncertain of his future, unsure of when he’d see his family again. It’s too expensive for them to visit him or for him to go back right now.
“Certain sacrifices are necessary,” Eze says. “I’m glad they understand it, even though it’s hard for them and me too. We chose a path.”
The first thing that stands out on tape is his really light feet. In terms of pure agility and mobility — there aren’t many college tackles who can move like this. He drops with ease, there’s no labouring in his movement and his feet are so smooth he wouldn’t wake a baby with his kick-slide.
When he’s asked to defend a speed rush he drops with suddenness to wall off a route to the quarterback. He surprises defensive ends with his ability to mirror and often they’re forced too wide and deep — making it really hard to work back to the quarterback. He’s not troubled or fazed by speed in the slightest and that’s a good start for any prospective left tackle.
That alone makes him a really intriguing prospect with high potential. However, like most college offensive tackles, there are so many things to work on too.
For starters his frame is unrefined and a little sloppy. Duane Brown looks like a Terminator. Eze is going to need time working with a nutritionist and with a proper pro set-up in order to bulk up, get stronger and look like a NFL lineman. It shows in his play. He just can’t drop the anchor at the moment and defend from his core base. On the move he’s fine. When he needs to latch-on and drive defenders off the LOS, you don’t see it.
He’s much more comfortable dropping into space and operating with a one or two-armed shove. He’s playing to his strengths and that’s fine. What you want to see at the next level though is the ability to wall-off against speed and play inside/out but also an ability to connect with proper hand-placement, control a defender and drive him backwards. Eze does an excellent job in college keeping his frame clean but you’re playing a whole different level of opponent in the NFL. He’s going to need to win with power and battle. That means he needs to be stronger and bigger. With his frame — there’s definitely room to add another 10-15lbs. He needs to because against Penn State he was beaten by a one-armed bull rush by a lighter pass rusher.
This is the difference between a top-five pick in Andrew Thomas and more of a project. Thomas had an ideal NFL frame already and combined quick feet and balance with the ability to control.
There are also needed technical improvements. His kick slide, while impressive in terms of athleticism, is choppy and sometimes he gets ahead of himself in the drop and loses balance. He gets into awkward positions sometimes and the blocking angle means he has to contort his body. This is a sign of relying too much on the drop and not enough on being willing to get your hands on a pass rusher and control. He plays a lot of ‘defense’ as a blocker and when he’s bigger and stronger he’ll be able to go after his opponent instead.
He does a reasonable job extending his arms to keep his frame clean but again — he needs to latch-on rather than relying on his feet and shoving opponents off balance.
Shifting over to left tackle should help because his athleticism and ability to win vs speed is more suited to the blind side. If there’s a full college season in 2020 — he’s a player who could make enough of an impression to move up boards quickly. Coaches will salivate at the potential but he’s a player who, in all likelihood, will need time and maybe a redshirt season to develop his body and work on technique. The end result could be a top-level pass blocker. With the league constantly looking for those types — he has a chance to be an early pick.
Mike Norvell coached Eze at Memphis prior to taking the Florida State job. His view on his potential?
“Obinna is going to be successful no matter what he does… He can play this game for a long time. Whenever the last day of football comes, he’ll continue to have success, because of the drive he has in every aspect of his life.”
You can now support Seahawks Draft Blog via Patreon by clicking the tab below.
