First round
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#1 Andrew Luck (QB, Stanford) Confirmed. |
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#2 Robert Griffin III (QB, Baylor) Robert Griffin III has probably already started looking for property in the capital. |
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#3 Matt Kalil (OT, USC) Minnesota want what the Rams got from Washington, and they’re trying, but ultimately they’ll stay here and take Kalil. |
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#4 Trent Richardson (RB, Alabama) The Browns have to find someone to build around. Richardson is a future superstar. |
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#5 Morris Claiborne (CB, LSU) The biggest spenders in free agency, Tampa Bay could still use a stud cornerback. |
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#6 Justin Blackmon (WR, Oklahoma State) The Rams need to find an X-factor on offense. |
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#7 Stephon Gilmore (CB, South Carolina) Who knows what the Jaguars are going to do? Will Gene Smith or Shahid Khan make the choice? |
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#8 Ryan Tannehill (QB, Texas A&M) Don’t be surprised after a month of hype if Miami does something else and Tannehill falls a bit. |
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#9 Fletcher Cox (DT, Mississippi State) Carolina could go in many different (defensive) directions. |
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#10 Mark Barron (S, Alabama) The Bills need a left tackle, but can they justify taking one here? |
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#11 Luke Kuechly (LB, Boston College) Scott Pioli loves guys like this – blue collar, high work ethic. He’ll make him fit into the 3-4. |
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#12 Courtney Upshaw (DE, Alabama) It’s all about the pass rush. |
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#13 David DeCastro (OG, Stanford) Arizona needs to make a solid commitment to the offensive line. |
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#14 Dontari Poe (DT, Memphis) If Barron falls here he could be the choice. Otherwise, I suspect Brockers or Poe. |
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#15 Chandler Jones (DE, Syracuse) The fastest riser going into the draft. |
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#16 Riley Reiff (OT, Iowa) New York wants to run the ball and dominate up front. |
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#17 Dre Kirkpatrick (CB, Alabama) Better in run support than coverage, but I suspect Cincy will try and add a corner in round one. |
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#18 Melvin Ingram (DE, South Carolina) If he starts to drop, where does he leave the board? San Diego would have alternatives here. |
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#19 Quinton Coples (DE, North Carolina) He could fall further if you believe the talk. |
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#20 Michael Floyd (WR, Notre Dame) Tough to read this guy’s stock. Tape not as great as the numbers/measurables. Off-field concerns. But talented. |
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#21 Peter Konz (OG/C, Wisconsin) Underrated. |
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#22 Rueben Randle (WR, LSU) After taking Richardson to star on the ground, they go for Randle. |
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#23 Jonathan Martin (OT, Stanford) Concerns about existing lineman could force Detroit to address the offensive line. |
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#24 Dont’a Hightower (LB, Alabama) This guy was made to play in the AFC North. |
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#25 Michael Brockers (DT, LSU) This is arguably Denver’s biggest need. |
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#26 Stephen Hill (WR, Georgia Tech) Would they consider Coby Fleener as an alternative? |
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#27 Shea McClellin (OLB, Boise State) Mike Vrabel is often the comparison for this guy. |
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#28 Whitney Mercilus (DE, Illinois) Green Bay’s priority has to be finding another pass rusher. |
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#29 Kevin Zeitler (OG, Wisconsin) There could be a late rush on offensive lineman. |
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#30 Amini Silatolu (OG, Midwestern State) The Niners may well take a guard and Silatolu is raw – just like Mike Iupati. |
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#31 Doug Martin (RB, Boise State) For whatever reason, I can just picture this guy as a Patriot. |
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#32 Cordy Glenn (OT, Georgia) He looks a bit sloppy and his stock is all over the place. Even so, he could go higher. |
Round two
#33 St. Louis – Jerel Worthy (DT, Michigan State)
#34 Indianapolis – Alameda Ta’amu (DT, Washington)
#35 Minnesota – Alshon Jeffery (WR, South Carolina)
#36 Tampa Bay – Lamar Miller (RB, Miami)
#37 Cleveland – Coby Fleener (TE, Stanford)
#38 Jacksonville – Kendall Wright (WR, Baylor)
#39 St. Louis – Bobby Wagner (LB, Utah State)
#40 Carolina – Josh Robinson (CB, UCF)
#41 Buffalo – Mitchell Schwartz (OT, California)
#42 Miami – Vinny Curry (DE, Marshall)
#43 Seattle – Zach Brown (LB, North Carolina)
#44 Kansas City – Kirk Cousins (QB, Michigan State)
#45 Dallas – Jared Crick (DE, Nebraska)
#46 Philadelphia – Devon Still (DT, Penn State)
#47 New York Jets – Andre Branch (DE, Clemson)
#48 New England – Casey Heyward (CB, Vanderbilt)
#49 San Diego – Bobby Massie (OT, Ole Miss)
#50 Chicago – Jayron Hosley (CB, Virginia Tech)
#51 Philadelphia – Lavonte David (LB, Nebraska)
#52 Tennessee – Kendall Reyes (DT, Connecticut)
#53 Cincinnati – Mychal Kendricks (LB, California)
#54 Detroit – Nick Perry (DE, USC)
#55 Atlanta – Michael Egnew (TE, Missouri)
#56 Pittsburgh – Kelechi Osemele (OG, Iowa State)
#57 Denver – David Wilson (RB, Virginia Tech)
#58 Houston – Mohamed Sanu (WR, Rutgers)
#59 New Orleans – VOID
#60 Green Bay – Brandon Weeden (QB, Oklahoma State)
#61 Baltimore – Harrison Smith (S, Notre Dame)
#62 San Francisco – Bruce Irvin, (DE, West Virginia)
#63 New York Giants – Brandon Boykin (CB, Georgia)
#64 New England – Keyshawn Martin (WR, Michigan State)
Seahawks beyond rounds 1-2
If the Seahawks go DE & LB with their first two picks, running back is likely to be high on the agenda in round three. Chris Polk and Robert Turbin could be options given they’re more likely to be able to carry the load if Marshawn Lynch misses time. That is the key here. It may put off the Seahawks looking at an Isaiah Pead or LaMichael James. If the value just isn’t there at running back, there are some nice options at tight end such as Dwayne Allen and Orson Charles. At receiver, Seattle worked out Brian Quick and if you get Dwight Jones at any point in this draft, I think you’re getting a steal.
Expect Seattle to look at the quarterback market in rounds 4-6, although round three is a possibility depending on how things shake out. Brock Osweiler, Kirk Cousins and Russell Wilson could be on the radar as ‘early’ options, with Chandler Harnish a possible later round choice. Keep an eye on any cornerback over 5-11. There’s solid depth in this class all the way to round four, so Seattle may be able to address several key needs.
With Chandler Jones rising so fast, do you see him as a possibility at 12? His body type seems to fit what this FO values.
I wouldn’t rule it out. He’s a pass rusher. And Seattle is drafting a pass rusher.
I notice the name Austin Davis doesn’t get thrown around as much as it used to…
Shame to miss out on Vinny Curry, in this scenario, by one slot in the 2nd. He’d be a tremendous value at 43 even after going Upshaw at 12.
Doubt NE goes RB in the 1st after drafting 2 RBs high last year.
Rob, your mock is always the most interesting and thoughtful to read. Thanks for all your good work making this “off-season” the “can’t-wait-till-next-year-season.” You are being a little bit mean to Nick Perry, so I will tap him:
1. Dont’a Hightower (as a pass rusher/elephant/mike, per Nick Saban)
2. Nick Perry (will thrive as Pete’s Leo…Monte Kiffin kept him in too tight as LDE)
3. Chris Polk (all downhill, all the time, hope he likes skittles too)
4. Josh Kaddu (another will/leo hybrid super-athlete)
Don’t like the Zach Brown pick at all. Aaron Curry part 2 or Daryl Blackstock from a few years ago. I’ve been seeing Chandler Brown’s name associated with the Hawks lately.
Dig it Rob, congrats on a great year to you and Kip! If it weren’t for this site, I’d be less informed and clueless like the rest of the nation that only listen to Mel Kiper and Todd McShay. I’ve only been visiting your site for the past two years but each year gets better and better, and I only look forward for more breakdowns and analysis by you and Mr. Kip in the years to come.
Great work guys and looking forward to 2013 mock draft…
I know you are going with info you have heard but personally I will be disappointed if we grab Brown and pass on David. David brings quality coverage skills, maybe not on the level of Brown but still solid, and is much more well rounded. He is my dream pick in RD2.
The only surprise I see is Jared Crick in the middle of the 2nd round? I have yet to see him slotted that high in the roughly 7000 mock drafts I’ve read in the last week.
And for a team that seems to prize toughness and versatility I do not understand the Zach Brown pick. He is the anti-Upshaw in every possible way. I can’t imagine the same front office drafting both of those players. Too schizophrenic.
Hey Rob what do you think of Pete Carroll tweeting Seahawks Draft Clues on Twitter? His first tweet saying “Look at all this floor space” and second tweet saying “Did I catch a niner in there?”. I think I have solved the riddle as it is referring to a pash rusher (who can catch/tackle a 49er) who has a high floor (a safe pick). This screams Courtney Upshaw to me, and I hope i’m right!
Drew – I noticed the hints and although admittedly they’re too cryptic to work out, it does seem to suggest ‘pass rusher’.
A little off topic but relevant. The broadcast on ESPN starts at 5 PM, but does anyone know(guess) when the “clock” starts for the first pick? Then it’s 15 min. for each pick, right? Work timing thing, so if I get to the TV by ??? I can catch the 3rd-4th pick. Help!
Trade down to the late teens, still get Upshaw as well as filling needs with an extra second or third round pick. If I say it enough it will come true. Thanks for all your work this year. I have been consistently impressed with your work ethic. Your daily updates make this my favorite draft sight to visit. You and Kip have made this draft season fun and insightful. Can’t wait for tomorrow and to hear your take on Seattle’s picks…. whoever they may be.
Can’t wait for tomorrow, I have a splitting headache with all the scenarios I’ve run thru my head. I think I learned a little more about coachs preception of the draft watching Bill Parcels draft confidential on ESPN2 the other night. What i learned is the draft can change and not even the 32 teams FO knows how it will unfold but they prepare for these situations. With that said I don’t even trust my own mock draft.
12 Dont’a Hightower
43 David Wilson
75 George Illoka
106 Donnie Fletcher
181 Darius Fleming
225 Jeff Fuller
In the first 2 rounds i grab 2 needs as far as I can see. The latter rounds i’m grabing depth for my defense and special teams which is getting older and most special teams use backup linebackers and safeties. I didn’t do any trades because i just don’t have any info to do them. I sure Seattle will be doing a couple but I have no idea with whom or where they would take place so in essense my mock draft is wrong already but it was fun to dream about it. I’ve been reading everyones stuff and nothing seems to be to outrageous that i can’t see it happening and because of that I’d like to thx Rob and Kip for the website and the commentary.
If Aaron Curry was drafted in the second round of 2009, would we still consider him a BUST at the draft spot? You cannot label any 2nd round Lb we draft as Aaron Curry 2.0 because we are not drafting him 4th overall. This is the huge misconception getting thrown around abotu Zach Brown
Curry has averaged 64 tackles and 1.5 sacks per season so far.
You expect that out of a 2-5 round draft pick IMO.
Dont be fooled into thinking Curry is complete garbage. Im not going to lie, he makes 2-3 good plays a game but makes about 3-4 WTF plays. He is a complacent Starter in the NFL
I’m sold on the recent Chandler Jones buzz at 12. It makes sense to me. A 6′ 5″ 265lb athletic DE with a high motor and 35.5″ arms? That screams PC. And if he said (or maybe it was JS) it was down to 2 players, it would have to be someone they felt comfortable would likely be on the board at 12. Jones or Coples?
I think he takes Raheem Brock’s snaps on 3rd down for Big Red and maybe even slips inside with newly signed Jason Jones on 3rd and long with a speed rush guy like a Bruce Irvin (3rd round?) playing LDE in that scenario.
Sorry Rob but maybe we get Upshaw at 43 😉
Great work Rob!
Q: Michael Egnew in the 2nd? That’s surprising. I love Eggo, but why the rise?
I sure would be disapointed if we chose Zach Brown with Mychal Kendricks and Lavonte David still on the board. Why not take the equaly fast guys with better instinct and much better ferocity? So sub in Lavonte in this situation and get Polk in the third O-line and corner depth in the 4th. Pick up Chandler Harnish in the 6th and take a wild shot in the dark on athleticism in the 7th, that would be my ideal draft senario tomorrow.
Rob, I have enjoyed all of your columns and input on the draft this year. As well as the extra patience and understanding you have, to provide a forum that all can participate in. Without fear of being ostracized for having a different point of view. I think we all need to remind ourselves that you and Kip provide the foundation and knowledgeable support of and about these players, but that it is also a passion for you as well.
Thanks Rob and Kip
My hoped for result.
1. Upshaw after trade down and get a #2 and #5 or Ingram
2a Mychael Kendricks
2b Brock Osweiler
3. Chris Polk
4 Tony Bergstrom or George Iloka
5 BPA, TE or Greg Childs
6 Vontaze Burfict even with his drug failure dammit! I still believe Pete and Ken Norton want a chance to turn him into the true successful blue and silver beast that they believe and we would love to see him become.
7 BPA tall CB
I hope they can bring in Sammy Brown LB Houston but he will probably be drafted
@Saxon:
I hear you re: Brown as the anti-Upshaw, but consider this. Seattle let David Hawthorne just walk away when they could have a) got him cheap, and b) had little depth.
Think of Brown as a bigger Malcolm Smith.
As far as the cryptic tweets Chandler Jone was #99 with the Syracuse. Or Coples #90 perceived with a low floor
Just had a thought, with all your loyal followers, have you considered a printable 3 column cheat sheet? You could have your choices on the left, a column in the middle for us other mocksters and a 3rd column for the actual results. Maybe the 1st round and a 2nd and 3rd round after. Might get crazy with trades and shit but would be so cool. Just a thought
What do you think Rob?
12. Chandler Jones
43.Bruce Irvin
75.George Iiloka
106.Josh Kaddu
181.Terrance Gannaway
225.Adrian Robinson
I’m going to guess:
1st: Jones
2nd: Brown
3rd: Polk
4,6,7: Names I haven’t heard before
I have deciphered one of PC’s clues! The Blades of Glory reference.
Train of thought.
1) He quotes a line from the song “Niggas In Paris”
2) The symbol of Paris is the Eiffel Tower.
3) The Eiffel Tower is a high tower…
It’s Hightower!!!!!!!! 😛
Great job Rob and Kip! Your hard work is greatly appreciated.
I hate to say but Chandler Jones will be drafted within Top 10. (Jags or Panthers). I even get the feeling that Patriots or another team with lots of picks will trade up for him. He is truly one of those wild cards. Hawks will try to trade back for more picks, but may end up regretting on passing other pass rushers Ingram, Upshaw, Mercelius. I really see this scenario occurring.
Thanks Rob for all the research, hard work…..everything. It was a pleasure day in, day out to see what ideas you had in store. Regarding your mock, Im just wondering why you went with ZB when you had previously picked Kendricks in the 2nd? Looking forward to tomorrow.
The cryptic message thing is cool. Im guessing the floor space means a lot of room below them in the first and the niner thing means there moving close to them, probably with Baltimore.
Im thinking trade with Baltimore to be more specific
I just hope the hawks don’t draft Coples. Really looks like a bust written all over him.
Quinton Coples=ala Jamarcus Russell (nfl version) on defense
Rob and Kip,
A big thank you for your tireless efforts. Your passion and dedication have made this past year informative and entertaining and I am very appreciative. Sit back and have fun watching the draft tomorrow, you both deserve it!
If it’s all about the pass rush then why choose Upshaw? I like the guy, I really do but not that early and not as a pass rusher in the NFL. He did pretty good in college but I think he’ll struggle getting to the QB vs NFL talent.
I’d like to see someone tall, long-armed and fast.
I want to thank you Rob for the hours, weeks, months and years that you have put in this site. It is one of the better draft sites out there. And it is the best Seahawks site. Kudos to you and Kearly for making it what it is. And thanks for responding to all the posts, both negative and positive. I respect your opinion, even though I don’t always agree with it.
I prefer David over Brown. Plus that way I could get a David jersey.
Hard to believe we are at the final mock. I won’t have my final first round mock available until Friday, but I promise it will be worth the wait.
Thanks Rob, and Kip for all of the hard work but also the community as well for such a great draft environment… truly great to log on every day and read all this great analysis.
I have mentioned thanks to Kip and Rob already, but I wanted to take another opportunity here. The work you have done is amazing.
Great year Rob and Kip. Thanks a million.
Rob and Kip=awesome draft coverage!
My dream pick=Donta Hightower+xtra pick
Realistic pick=Melvin Ingram
Can you believe it that we made it all the way to the eve of the draft? Thank you Rob and Kip again for making this site the place to be for the 12th man. If I hadnt come accross this site I may have been on the Keuchly bus or the Tannehill train. Great mocks from everyone tonite BTW.
Kip, is your mock coming tomorrow morning? Since your write up on linebackers, my dream 2nd round pick is Larry David.
NFL.com has some really stuff on their tonight, worth looking at for sure. No matter who we pick I trust PC/JS and will be rooting for our new players regardless who they are. FWIW tonight I feel like Chandler Jonew will be the pick. He looks like a bad ass doesnt he?Until tomorrow my friends.
Regarding the cryptic tweet “did I catch a niner in there?” I certainly see a niner in Chandler Jones’ jersey number.
Floyd + Kenny Britt would be vicious for the Titans. I love seeing Randle at his spot, too. After Vereen in the 2nd and Ridley in the 3rd just last year, I can’t see Martin to NE. I don’t think the Bills need a Safety, but a guy like Barron could convince them otherwise, I suppose. Fun stuff. Can’t wait ’till tomorrow.
Thanks firstly to Rob and Kip for the fantastic effort you guys put in every year and thanks also to everyone who posted their thoughts, questions, answers and arguments. You guys have made this the most downright addictive site there is. Have not missed a day and can’t wait for the picks and the “grades” that follow.
Thanks for all the articles and analysis Rob and Kip. It kept me going from end of season to the draft. Looking forward to finally getting some new guys to play on the Hawks.
A few thank you’s from me…
Kip Earlywine – for all his work again this year and for ensuring you’ve not had to just listen to my own bloated views over the last few months.
JMPasq – for providing game tape throughout the year, often at request, and helping take the blog to another level in the process.
Finally – to everyone who helps make this community, continues to visit and share your views and treats the blog in the spirit it was intended. All the support is really appreciated. We make no money out of this, the reward is purely the satisfaction in continuing to provide a place to talk draft for Seahawks fans which is still unmatched. No other team has a website like this. And the reason it’s still here is simply because people still spend a few moments visiting and contributing. It means a lot.
Rob & Kip, the fact that you make no money doing this is quite amazing, and shows your passion. It is obvious you spend a lot of time and effort on this blog. Keep it up, we appreciate it.
As for the message, a couple thoughts about the “niner.” Could it be that he is going to “catch a niner” by taking one of Harbaugh’s guys from Stanford? Could it be a reference from the movie “Tommy Boy?” Could it have something to do with the letters or initials CB? Don’t truckers use CB radios to communicate and say “niner” when talking? Maybe Carroll is having fun at our expense and it means absolutely nothing.
This blog is a nice addition to the network of Seahawks information on the Internet. I’m glad its focused on the draft. I know the run up focuses on who we’ll draft. I like the post-draft analysis probably more. It’s nice to read how our picks develop and how our FO is doing finding talent.
Thanks for the stellar work, Rob and Kip. This site has been a daily fixture for me since February. I look forward to reading your analysis of whoever we do end up picking.
Thanks for all the great work on the blog this year. This will be my 3rd draft as a reader and I’m sure the 4th will be better than ever
Just a note that a few other draft boards are swinging your way by picking Upshaw and then Polk. I’m not sure who has greater value in the second round, Polk or a LB. I would assume Upshaw could play OLB, so that might take some pressure off that position. We have to get a running back, but there are plenty left for the third round.
Do you have any links Alaska? I’d like to see which sites are now projecting Upshaw. I think RB is a very real option in R2.
Sure – I usually don’t post links because I don’t want to insult your efforts:
http://drafttek.com/CMDRound1.asp
Walter football has us either picking Floyd or Cox depending on the blog. I”ve seen a few other posts with us taking Cox.
Thanks for another great year of work, Rob and Kip. There are some other teams’ fanbases that have little to work with when it comes to team-focused draft information, and all they can do is wait for the next update from Kiper, Pro Football Talk, etc. and complain about how off the mark they are. Seahawks fans are really lucky to have you guys and the services you provide.
Ridiculously amazing effort from Rob and Kip this off-season. Awesome resource for the die-hard Hawk’s fan. Thank you, thank you, thank you! That’s all I have to say… oh, and it’s less than 3 hours ’til we have some answers!
Nervous for disappointment..