Updated draft order – 21/12

Here’s the updated 2011 NFL Draft order. I’ve posted the strength of schedule tie breaker next to each team’s record – this is determined by opponents’ win/loss record.

When the percentage is the same, division and conference records determined order. If they are also equal then a coin toss takes place.

#1 Carolina (2-12) .571
#2 Denver (3-11) .518
#3 Cincinnati (3-11) .585
#4 Arizona (4-10) .460
#5 Detroit (4-10) .545
#6 Buffalo (4-10) .580
#7 San Francisco (5-9) .487
#8 Dallas (5-9) .518
#9 Washington (5-9) .518
#10 Houston (5-9) .536
#11 Minnesota (5-9) .536
#12 Cleveland (5-9) .571
#13 Seattle (6-8) .482
#14 Tennessee (6-8) .513
#15 New England via Oakland (7-7) .469
#16 Miami (7-7) .536
#17 San Diego (8-6) .451
#18 Jacksonville (8-6) .460
#19 Tampa Bay (8-6) .473
#20 Green Bay (8-6) .522
#21 St. Louis (6-8) .438
#22 Indianapolis (8-6) .487
#23 Kansas City (9-5) .415
#24 New York Giants (9-5) .455
#25 New Orleans (10-4) .460
#26 Chicago (10-4) .464
#27 New York Jets (10-4) .487
#28 Baltimore (10-4) .487
#29 Philadelphia (10-4) .487
#30 Pittsburgh (10-4) .487
#31 Atlanta (12-2) .478
#32 New England (12-2) .504

6 Comments

  1. Matt Q.

    if the seahawks finished 6-10, or 7-9 (Didnt win the division) what would they be picking around, i know its hard to predict all of the other teams

    • Matt

      Hopefully high enough to make a trade up to get a QB realistic and not detrimental to future drafts.

  2. Charlie

    I notice you’re giving the NFL West championship to the Rams, although they’re currently tied with the Seahawks and would lose the strength-of-schedule tiebreaker.

    I think you’re probably right that the Rams will win it, but that’s a prediction based on something more than the data you’ve presented here.

    • Rob

      The Rams are currently picking #21 because they have a victory over Seattle which puts them top of the NFC West as things stand today. The draft order is based on that rather than what will happen in the last two games. I think there’s almost an even chance that St. Louis, San Francisco or Seattle wins the division.

  3. Frankfrog

    Hate the idea of hoping to lose, this team has so much more heart than the last couple of seasons.
    So we played a tougher schedule so if we beat the Rams week 17 do we make the playoffs? Or do they have to lose to the 49ers as well. How odd jockeying for the playoffs or a top ten pick both with two weeks in the season.

    • Rob

      If the Seahawks and Rams finish on an equal record… and if Seattle wins the game in week 17… then the Seahawks make the playoffs. If Seattle and St. Louis both end on 7-9 but the Rams win the week 17 game, it’s they who qualify through the fact they have head-to-head 2-0 advantage over the ‘Hawks. If Seattle lose to the Buccs and beat St. Louis… but the 49ers win both their final games… then San Francisco qualify because of a better divisional record.

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