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Happy New Year — here’s some thoughts on how the 2026 draft is shaping up

Typically on the final day of the year I publish a mock draft. Regulars will know I’ve been avoiding doing so this time.

It’s such a preposterous draft class. Typically for a mock there are players you want to highlight who deserve to go early, beyond the obvious cast of blue-chippers. This year there’s just such a dearth of those types.

If I was doing a full mock today, I’d be putting players with third round grades in the first frame. There’s a total lack of excellent left tackle prospects, edge rushers or quarterbacks. We might see receivers pushed into round one based mostly on the fact they cost so much on the veteran market. We might see interior linemen and tackle converts over-drafted because of rampant league-wide needs.

We have massively overrated players, such as Miami’s Reuben Bain Jr, who spent most of the college football season being touted as a possible #1 overall pick — yet he might not even go in the first round.

And then we have the likely red-hot trade market come March. Maxx Crosby might have double-digit teams chasing him. AJ Brown could be on the block. There’s talk Trent McDuffie might be available. The Dolphins might continue to sell-off assets. We could see multiple quarterback trades for players like Mac Jones. There could be a few surprises too — just as we saw with Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams a few weeks ago.

We’ll likely see the top ranked quarterback go first overall again but as with a year ago, many teams might not even have a true first round grade on Fernando Mendoza. I think we might see linemen prioritised early, followed by a run on the best available receivers and cornerbacks.

Here’s what I think a top-10 could look like:

#1 Las Vegas — Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana)
#2 NY Giants — Arvell Reese (LB, Ohio State)
#3 NY Jets — Caleb Downs (S, Ohio State)
#4 Tennessee — Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame)
#5 Arizona — Spencer Fano (T/G, Utah)
#6 Cleveland — Francis Mauigoa (T/G, Miami)
#7 Washington — Peter Woods (DT, Clemson)
#8 New Orleans — Kayden McDonald (DT, Ohio State)
#9 Kansas City — Caleb Banks (DT, Florida)
#10 Cincinnati — Keldric Faulk (DE, Auburn)

Arvell Reese, Caleb Downs, Jeremiyah Love and Spencer Fano are the best four players eligible for the draft. I don’t think Francis Mauigoa is that far behind, although I think he has to kick inside to guard. I’m not sure any would’ve been sure-fire top-10 picks in previous years.

Peter Woods has had a very disappointing season at Clemson but teams will need to take someone in the top-10. If he runs a 4.8 at +300lbs as has been reported, combined with his better 2024 tape, some team is going to roll the dice on 2025 being merely a down year. This is where we’re at though. A player who would’ve sunk down the board typically after a majorly disappointing season is probably going to retain a place in the top-10.

Kayden McDonald reminds me of Derrick Brown and he’s the best run defender in the draft, with room for further growth. I think in this draft he will go earlier than people are currently projecting.

Caleb Banks — despite his injury — has highly impressive size and length and shows consistent disruptive ability on tape when available. Again, you’ll have to get comfortable with the medical checks. In a class with limited options, he probably still goes earlier than many think because the tools are there.

Keldrick Faulk also has great size, length and potential. He’s in the same boat as Woods and Banks. High upside, not much in the way of 2025 results. But in a draft where you ‘have’ to select someone, that’s a shot you probably take.

After that — I think it could be anyone’s guess. My early thought is the receivers and cornerbacks start coming off the board. Typically Makai Lemon and Carnell Tate would go in the 20’s or 30’s but probably go earlier in this class. KC Concepcion, Jordyn Tyson, Chris Brazell II and Denzel Boston are all day-two players for me. Would it be a shock if all are gone by pick #25? Nope.

The hopelessly expensive market at receiver, the ability to provide early impact and the number of teams picking in the second half of round one who need weapons will likely lead to some kind of rush on the position.

Cornerbacks always tend to get pushed up. Testing could move Mississippi State’s Kelley Jones right up boards and into contention to be CB1. Jermod McCoy, who didn’t play a down for Tennessee due to injury, is going to go in the top-20 anyway. I enjoy watching Mansoor Delane and he’s a savvy, intelligent player who can be sticky at the college level. I’m not sure he has the deep or recovery speed to be great at the next level — but I’m going to sound like a stuck record by saying he’s another player who should go on day two but probably goes way earlier.

Brandon Cisse will also have a very good shot to go in the top-32 as teams like to draft for this position early.

The player who probably intrigues me the most at cornerback is Avieon Terrell. I think he’s got a lot of potential, has a versatile skill-set allowing him to play deep, cover running across the field, execute scheme-specific requirements coming off coverage and play better against the run than expected. With good coaching he might be able to develop into a player as good as his brother.

To me it feels like a very overrated EDGE class — with a bunch of prospects who lack length, ideal size, twitch or upside. It just looks like a bunch of round 3-5 picks who might end up going earlier. Nothing about the R Mason Thomas, David Bailey, TJ Parker types feel like round one picks. Cashius Howell can potentially act as a specialist rusher but lacks any kind of length and good luck leaving him on the field for running plays in the NFL.

I’d rather roll the dice on Romello Height on day two than draft these guys to be impact first round rushers.

The Matayo Uiagalelei, Rueben Bain Jr and LT Overton types always get overrated in the media. Bigger rushers without ideal traits. They struggle to make much of an impression at the next level and become average at best players.

Kenyatta Jackson is someone who has the necessary size, length and burst and it feels like the Ohio State EDGE is only scratching the surface of his potential. It won’t be a surprise if he jumps many of the names listed above. Ditto Dani Dennis-Sutton if he tests well.

I do think we’ll see a bunch of offensive linemen pushed up because the need is so enormous. There’s a decent collection of zone-blockers but they might be gone by the time Seattle picks, depending on how the next few weeks go. Brian Parker, Emmanuel Pregnon, Gennings Dunker and Kadyn Proctor are all good in the zone system. You do have to balance out how much greater these players are compared to say Iowa’s Beau Stephens who will go later but equally excels in the system.

I genuinely believe the Seahawks will aggressively pursue the trade market, as I’ve repeated many times over the last few weeks. I think the big target will be Maxx Crosby but they’ll probably have backup plans too because he’s the kind of player many teams will be desperate to acquire (and I think it’ll take two high picks to get him, one in 2026 and one in 2027 — a price I’d be willing to pay).

There are some players I would keep an eye on with the idea of finding value. Arkansas quarterback Taylen Green had some ugly turnovers this year but I just can’t help but shake the thought that he has a lot of the things needed to be a very useful project with future starting potential. If you want to keep taking shots at QB — and I would do — he’s someone I’d look at. I feel the same way about Garrett Nussmeier, particularly in this offense.

Gracen Halton the Oklahoma defensive tackle just plays his arse off every week and has some pass-rush productivity. He’s not the biggest but he’s someone who kept catching my eye. Running backs Emmett Johnson and Mike Washington Jr caught my attention — and the Seahawks might be in the market given Ken Walker’s contract situation (although I’d like to find a way to add top-end speed and suddenness at the position).

I like the idea of working out how Dillon Thieneman could be used in Mike Macdonald’s defense, even with Nick Emmanwori on the roster already.

And while many talk-up the linebacker position — I think there are overrated bigger names who won’t go as early as some think (Anthony Hill Jr, Dontae Lawson). I do not think Sonny Styles is a first round pick but maybe his testing will mean someone takes a shot on his athleticism. I’ve been on a bit of a journey with Georgia’s CJ Allen and he’s growing on me.

Bryce Boettcher, Jake Golday and Cade Uluave could provide value at the position later.

Happy New Year to you all. Here’s to, hopefully, a great 2026 for the Seahawks.

Instant reaction: Seahawks beat Panthers to move to 13-3

One more win and the Seahawks will earn the #1 seed in the NFC.

It’s been a long time since we can legitimately talk about that. Now it’s a reality. One more victory, albeit against a very good 49ers team (despite their long list of injuries) and the Seahawks will do something they’ve only done three times in franchise history. On each occasion, they followed it up with a Super Bowl appearance.

There’s still plenty to do to make any of this a reality.

This is far from a flawless team. There were further turnover issues today — a problem that threatens to be an issue down the road, even if so far it hasn’t proven to be too costly.

Sam Darnold is a question mark. There are good and bad moments it seems every game. They have lost an explosive element to their passing game too.

The play-calling was baffling at times here. On a day where running the ball and playing defense felt like the flow of the game early on, the Seahawks refused to accept this.

The slow starts are an increasingly common occurrence.

It was also confusing why it took until a five-run clinching drive from the Panthers’ 25-yard line for Zach Charbonnet to out-carry Ken Walker on a day where he was the hot-hand.

Even so — this is more or less the 2025 Seahawks. They aren’t as complete or rounded as the legendary 2013 group but we’ll likely never see a team who is. The defense can be brilliant. They do have a very talented roster. They find ways to win games in the second half. They also have shown multiple ways to win games.

Football has three aspects — offense, defense and special teams. Seattle’s combination of the three appears to be the best.

They’re the highest scoring team in franchise history (470 points). They’ve won 19 of their last 24 games (#1 in the NFL during that period) and they could’ve easily won all three of their lost games this season.

They haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in a franchise record 25 consecutive games. What a stark contrast to the end of the Carroll era where we bemoaned the embarrassing loss to the Steelers at Lumen Field as they ran down Seattle’s throat in abject humiliation.

This is what many of us wanted. This is why we called for change, despite a lot of pushback (some of it quite nasty) from fans who disagreed.

It speaks to where we are now that in a close, awkward, sloppy game in Carolina — we expect better. And despite the awkwardness and sloppiness, they still won by 17 points in the end.

Whatever happens the rest of the way, this is a team to be celebrated. They’re heading in the right direction and can be even better in the future.

It would be great to finish the regular season job next week, have a week off and look forward to the best opportunity this franchise has had for 11 years.

I so hope that happens.

Curtis Allen’s Watch Points (Week 17 vs Panthers)

This is a guest article by Curtis Allen…

With two weeks to play, the most exciting season in recent Seahawks history is coming to a crescendo.

After a thrilling, improbable, spectacular win against the Rams, all that stands in the way of the #1 seed, a bye and homefield advantage are Carolina and San Francisco.

One game at a time.  The Seahawks must travel to the east coast for an early game and dispatch the Panthers, who stand at 8-7 but have also recently beaten the Rams and Buccaneers, two teams the Seahawks have lost to this year.

Seahawks fans know what happens when you underestimate the Panthers.

Mike Macdonald does too.  I think we can have confidence that he will navigate the post-adrenaline high of beating a fierce rival and the odd schedule of coming off a Thursday game and getting the players time to spend with their families for the holiday.

A lot of the Panthers’ effectiveness has come from mistakes from the opposing offenses.  They are +5 in turnovers their last five games, mostly due to some very poor throws from Baker Mayfield, Brock Purdy and Matthew Stafford.  Generally speaking, they were not under extreme duress, they had options, and they made bad choices and executed them very poorly.

The Rams alone committed three turnovers, all within 35 yards of the end zone.  We can give the Panthers credit for a well-played game.  But the truth is, some of the ‘old Matt Stafford’ mistakes came out and absent those, the Rams score about 50 points and leave Carolina with a win and are in the pole position for the top seed.

So that might be the biggest watch point of all:  Play a clean game.  Thursday Sam Darnold had two interceptions and nearly sealed the game.  An excellent quarter by the defense and a Rashid Shaheed punt return touchdown allowed the offense to recover and get back in the game.

What better way to put a stranglehold on the top seed and gain some confidence going into Week Eighteen than to beat Carolina with a solid game that does feature any major mistakes like turnovers?

The way the Panthers defense is shaping up, that is not too tall of an order for Sam Darnold and the offense.

Let’s look at our watch points.

Attack the Prone Areas of the Defense

The Panthers defense is very middling.  They do not have a real standout identity or position group they can feature.

Joe Horn concedes as many touchdowns as he has interceptions.  Mike Jackson has mixed good moments with some confounding play.  Their Linebackers are replacement-level and their top pass rusher is Patrick Jones, who is on Injured Reserve.

The Seahawks can attack this defense in a number of ways.  Here are a couple of them they should focus on.

Attack the edges of this defense.  The last few weeks, Panthers opponents have effectively run the ball around the edges and between the tackle and the guard with regularity:

— McCaffrey could have jogged into the end zone on this play.  DJ Wonnum misreads the play and darts upfield, putting himself a mile out of position, Kyle Juszczyk easily clears Mike Jackson and poor 200lb Nick Scott has to try and handle Trent Williams with a head of steam.

— Black Corum ran seven times against them and was frequently into the second level before anyone could get to him.  The only run he had where he gained less than six yards?  A two-yard touchdown run.

— Rachaad White had a 39-yard run where he patiently waited for the Tight Ends to move their targets out of his way and bolted through the hole.

Eric Saubert, Robbie Ouzts and A.J. Barner could have very effective days leading their Running Backs to solid gains on this defense.

The second area is to take full advantage of their weak pass rush.

Derrick Brown is the only player on the roster with 10 Quarterback Hits on the season (The Seahawks have five such players and Leonard Williams has 22 alone).  Half of their sacks have come on blitzes but they are not very good at it. 

To wit — two weeks ago, they blitzed Tyler Shough thirteen times.  They sacked him five times but could only generate a 15% pressure rate for the game on 37 drop backs.  In the fourth quarter, they called off the dogs and flooded coverage.  Shough easily moved the Saints down the field, finding holes in their defense.  In the Red Zone, they brought the house on a key third down.  They did not get home and Shough made them pay by finding Chris Olave to tie the game up.  The Saints won with another drive that netted them a field goal to break the tie.

They do not blitz, they cannot get pressure and the secondary gets diced up.  They blitz and the secondary cannot consistently win in man coverage.

You feel for the defensive coaching staff.  They are trying everything they can to at least give the offense some support.

With some selective and patient play by Sam Darnold, the Seahawks should be able to move the ball effectively.  He will have the time to find his best option and if he does not get flustered, moving the offense down the field in chunks should be well within their grasp.

Defending the Panthers Offense

The Panthers have found effectiveness mixing some tough running with Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard with force-feeding rookie Tetairoa McMillan with targets to develop some chemistry with his new Quarterback.  McMillan currently has 16 explosive receptions, tied for ninth in the NFL (no shock who is #1).

Some effective running and Bryce Young making smart decisions open the door to take shots to McMillan and his scheme knowledge and confidence are growing by the day.

The best way to keep the offense in check is to limit the running game and get checkdown options like Dowdle to the ground on the first try.

Young has found a bit of a nice safety blanket when he is blitzed, finding Dowdle in the flat and letting him pick up yards because the backfield has one less defender.  In fact, the games where Young has been blitzed the most?  He has been the most effective in passing the ball.  There are some downfield shots on blitzes to be sure.  But finding his hot read and breaking to it will put much more pressure on Young to carry more of the offense himself and that is not a strength of his.

Have a look at how much his effectiveness drops the longer he is in the pocket:

If the defense can get him off of his first read and make him scan the field, there will be opportunities to take advantage.  His sack rate and interception rates skyrocket and his accuracy plummets to undrafted rookie levels.

This bodes well for the Seahawks who are renowned for getting pressure without blitzing.  The quick outlet passes Young likes to rely on?  There will not be as much room in the defense to break off a big play because that fifth man is in the backfield and not trying to fight his way through guards and tackles.

In fact, I can see Young getting some pressure and bailing out on a pass to the flat and one of our quick defenders stepping in front of it for a pick-six.  Call it a gut feeling.

Maxx Crosby situation takes a twist as chances of an off-season trade increase

This feels like it’s trending a certain way, doesn’t it?

Against Maxx Crosby’s wishes, the Raiders are shutting him down for the season. A cynic might say it’s partly to give them the best chance to secure the #1 overall pick with two games to go. An even bigger cynic might suggest it’s to keep Crosby healthy ahead of a rebuilding period for the franchise.

Jay Glazer isn’t daft. His sentence at the end of his tweet above, “this could lead to questions on his future”, should be noted.

It’s something we’ve been talking about for weeks. As a disastrous 2025 season unfolds, it feels inevitable that the Raiders are going to experience another period of upheaval. Crosby is an asset they can deal as they prepare to embrace a longer-term plan.

His new contract, signed in March, is easy to deal. It looks like it was set-up with the idea he could be moved in the near future. A trade in the coming months would only cost the Raiders $5m in dead money. Compare that to Myles Garrett’s new contract in Cleveland, signed days after Crosby’s deal. It’d cost the Browns $40.8m in dead money to trade Garrett.

I’m convinced the Seahawks are going to be keeping a very close eye on this situation.

They made a move to try and acquire him last off-season. There’s a feeling that interest might’ve reignited prior to the trade deadline.

As we’ve been discussing over the last few months, this is a bad draft class. The worst I’ve covered since starting this blog in 2008.

There’s a good chance players with third round grades will be taken in the top-45. It’s going to be virtually impossible to match grade to value, especially if you’re picking towards the end of each round.

The trade market could be electric when the new league year begins, with contending teams feeling they’re better off using their key draft assets to acquire impact players rather than draft day-two prospects in round one.

John Schneider has shown in the past he’ll take this approach. For the covid-impacted draft of 2021, where there was hardly any 2020 college tape to study and a massively restricted pre-draft process, he was willing to deal his 2021 first round pick for a veteran.

That move, for Jamal Adams, didn’t work out. However, the problem wasn’t the concept of the trade. It was the compensation for a player who wasn’t worth it.

That isn’t a hindsight thought, I hated that trade from day one. Here’s what I wrote at the time:

There is simply no precedent whatsoever for the cost of this trade. Nobody can dispute Adams’ talent. We’ve also talked several times on this blog about the benefit of trading away 2021 picks. The college football season is in flux this year and the 2021 class appears to be top heavy. Dealing your first rounder for a proven veteran who can improve a mediocre defense made sense.

Yet this is the kind of outlay you can really only justify for a quarterback or a truly elite pass rusher or left tackle.

Now the Seahawks face a similar situation. It’s nothing to do with a global pandemic this time — but instead a bad draft.

In the case of Crosby, he isn’t a box safety. He’s a top-level pass-rusher. In this instance, you can justify the big outlay. Particularly in the circumstances.

I keep pitching it like this. The Seahawks could end up having to draft someone with a similar grade to Christian Haynes with their top pick next year. That doesn’t mean the pick would end up with the same result — but it’s far more of a possibility than, say, the times when you’ve felt like you’re getting genuine round one value (Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Byron Murphy etc).

Now compare that to swapping the pick for someone like Crosby.

Whether the Seahawks win the Super Bowl this season or not, the off-season will be about finding ways to improve the team to reach an even higher level.

It is going to be extremely difficult to improve the roster through the draft in 2026.

It’ll also be difficult, perhaps even impossible, to make significant free agent moves. Teams do not have an endless amount of cash to put in escrow for guaranteed contracts. If the Seahawks aim to extend the deals of Smith-Njigba, Devon Witherspoon and possibly Charles Cross in the off-season, that will limit how much they have to throw around on the open market.

There are no such issues with acquiring Crosby. His contract is already locked-in to 2029. You wouldn’t need to begin talks over a new deal, or pay him new money up front to get him to join.

He is also a perfect fit for the personality of this team. I’d go as far to say I can’t think of a more Mike Macdonald-type player. His relentless commitment to his craft, passion for the game, lead-by-example presence and 100mph playing style are tailor-made for Seattle’s defense.

It isn’t a surprise they’ve tried to get him before.

Crosby is currently ESPN’s #1 ranked player for run-stop win-rate. We know the Seahawks really value run-defense for their EDGE players. He’s just had another 10-sack season playing basically as a one-man-band for a struggling Raiders defense. Imagine what he could do lined up next to Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy, with Nick Emmanwori lurking on the blitz.

I can well imagine Crosby seeing the Seahawks as an attractive destination too. The team personality, contending status and Head Coach would appeal to him.

There would likely be heavy interest in him. The Dallas Cowboys badly need a top pass rusher and they have surplus draft stock to bargain with. The Detroit Lions face a critical off-season after missing the playoffs this year. Crosby is from Michigan and played college football for Eastern Michigan.

It’s also possible the two other NFC West contenders show interest.

However, there are a few things to consider here. The Cowboys are currently $60m in the red for effective cap space for 2026. The Lions are $10.5m in the red. The Seahawks, meanwhile, are $60m in the black. They’re in a much stronger place to make a big trade.

I’d argue the Rams are unlikely to look at adding a big-name pass-rusher in the off-season. They have two of the better, younger pass rushers already in Jared Verse and Byron Young. They’re both among PFF’s top-15 edge rushers for 2025. They have far more pressing needs — including a future beyond Matthew Stafford, cornerback, skill players and O-line.

The 49ers also feel like an unlikely fit if you’ve been tracking their recent moves. They made a conscious effort to get younger starting this year. They’re already paying big contracts to several players, including their quarterback.

The Seahawks seem uniquely suited to Crosby in terms of fit, opportunity, cap-space and a means to take the next step.

I think it’s absolutely clear it’d be the best use of Seattle’s 2026 first round pick. If it isn’t possible for whatever reason, I suspect they might have an extended list of alternative trade targets.

Crosby’s the one who feels like the best option though. The only question is how much they’d have to pay to get it done. Personally, I would be willing to dip into 2027 stock to make it happen. Considering he turns 29 next August, I think throwing in your 2027 second rounder on top of a 2026 first round pick might be a fair price.

If they get it done — this could be the move to make Seattle’s defense truly elite. They lack the quick wins off the edge Crosby will produce with his elite agility (4.13 shuttle at 255lbs) combined with top-end explosive traits.

Why we could see some creative trades in the 2026 NFL off-season

The 2026 NFL off-season is going to be different. A very weak draft class is going to shift a lot of attention to the trade market. There’s a good chance a decent chunk of teams will use their main off-season asset (first round pick) to acquire veteran talent, because the value will be so poor in the draft.

Yet the question I’ve kept coming back to is — how easy will it be to make deals if the selling teams also know they’re acquiring stock in a bad draft?

That’s why asking prices might include 2027 stock, as we saw in the Quinnen Williams trade. The Jets took Dallas’ second round pick in 2026 but one of their first round selections in 2027.

We might see other deals like this in the coming months. There’s also another reason why teams might acquire 2026 stock — in order to make deals themselves.

Here’s an example for you. There’s a growing weirdness surrounding the Baltimore Ravens. There’s developing chatter that maybe Lamar Jackson might want/need a fresh start — and that perhaps the Ravens would be right to embrace that too.

A Ravens beat reporter called Mike Preston recently wrote about the relationship between team and quarterback and it wasn’t complimentary. At all.

Within the piece he speculated that Jackson might be open-minded about a trade to Miami or Las Vegas. The Dolphins have a major financial stumbling block in their way in the form of Tua Tagovailoa’s contract, in relation to acquiring another expensive veteran QB. They’re already $32m in the red for cap space next year before cutting Tagovailoa — which would come, if designated as a post-June 1st cut, with an extra $11m cap-hit given the tens of millions it’d cost in dead money.

There’s no such issue for the Raiders. They have the second most cap space available per Over The Cap’s projection.

If the Ravens were open to trading Jackson, it would be a costly deal. Russell Wilson-esque. The Raiders are the kind of franchise that is inclined to go big-name hunting rather than rebuild over the time. Some fans would argue they’ve been “rebuilding” for years. Adding a player of Jackson’s reputation might be seen as the shot in the arm the franchise needs, especially in their division.

Increasingly I think the Raiders will finally be open to trading Maxx Crosby in the off-season and I would fully expect the Seahawks to be one of the teams near the front of the queue. He’s a perfect fit schematically, in terms of playing style and his mentality. They’ve tried to trade for him before and I think they’ll try again.

If the Raiders dealt him they would save another $30m in cap space. They would have extra stock to dangle in the face of the Ravens. They’d have the money to bring in Jackson’s salary (his base salary is $51.25m for the next two seasons) and then add some other free agents around him.

There’s a lot of moving parts here, I appreciate that. But I think there’s a good chance Crosby is dealt. There’s a growing chance Jackson will be too. And the fit of the Raiders adding stock and then using it to get Jackson feels plausible.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the Seahawks were very much involved in the Crosby sweepstakes.

And if it isn’t him, I also wouldn’t be surprised if they have a list of trade targets, rather than tackle the poor value they’d get picking at the end of each round in this upcoming draft.

The one thing to remember is — any player they add is unlikely going to be someone coming in and immediately getting a big new contract. That’s not how the Seahawks go about things for starters. Secondly, there’s only so much ‘cash’ to go around on big signings. The chances are they will give big extensions to Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Devon Witherspoon next year, plus also Charles Cross. They’ll also want to keep Rashid Shaheed.

That’s why Crosby makes sense — because he signed a very tradable contract earlier this year, he’s locked up until 2029. The fact it’ll only cost Vegas $5m in dead money suggests the deal was set up with a ‘play-it-by-ear’ approach.

I do think there’s a very realistic chance Crosby will be a key future target for the Seahawks.

On that note, I want to wish you all a very Merry Christmas and say thank you for your continued support of this blog and the work I do elsewhere. It’s now 17 years since I started SDB and it’s become such a big part of my life, thanks to those of you who stick with it and keep things ticking along. Have a great day tomorrow and see you on the other side.

Some thoughts on the Charles Cross debate after Josh Jones played against the Rams

On Wednesday I wrote a piece explaining why I was intrigued to see the Seahawks play without Charles Cross.

The point I was making is — I don’t think Charles Cross is as good as some people think. I don’t think he’s developed much in four years in Seattle and I’m hesitant to make him a $30m left tackle (which I assume is the price-range he will want if contract talks happen in the off-season).

There’s supporting evidence to this theory as I highlighted in the article. He wasn’t included in ESPN’s top-10 pre-season offensive tackles, per polling of league execs, scouts and coaches. He wasn’t even in the six subsequent honourable mentions.

I don’t think his play has improved much since that poll, if at all. He’s only graded as PFF’s 26th best tackle for 2025.

I haven’t been arguing that he should be replaced. I just don’t think enough of a conversation is had about his play and his worthiness for a big extension next off-season (especially with two years of club control remaining in Seattle’s back pocket).

I’m surprised nobody else seems to talk about it. There’s a conventional wisdom, locally and nationally, that Cross is an excellent player. Albert Breer, for example, has repeatedly called Cross a ‘franchise left tackle’ this week. Nearly all the talk going into the game was about the loss of Cross being a massive blow.

I thought this game was a great test of the two theories.

If Josh Jones performed very poorly in relief, it would highlight that even if Cross isn’t necessarily an elite player at his position, he was still markedly better than the next player on the depth chart. That could arguably warrant a significant investment because left tackle isn’t a position to take lightly.

If Jones basically played at the same level as Cross, or better, what then? Does it perhaps suggest we should have a bigger conversation about Cross? Spend more time analysing the player we see in 2025, compared to the one who entered the league in 2022? Should it really be such an assumption he gets a big new contract in 2026? Especially when many assumed he would’ve already been rewarded this year?

Jones gave up zero sacks, two pressures and two hurries against the Rams. Cross has only given up two sacks in 14 games this season. He’s averaged 1.3 hurries per game and 1.7 pressures. So it’s somewhat similar.

Jones’ PFF grade for the game was a 75.9. Cross hasn’t had a grade that high since week one against the 49ers.

His run-blocking grade was a 70.4 — four of Cross’ 14 games have had a higher grade this season and his overall run-blocking grade for the year is a 66.7.

Regulars know I detest PFF grades and I think for good reason — they are clearly nonsense in many cases, such as Byron Murphy getting a 48.8 grade against the Colts only for Mike Macdonald to say in the aftermath that he single-handedly won Seattle the game.

However, I think this is slightly different — because I’m comparing two players graded in the same system. So even if by and large PFF grades are ridiculous and untrustworthy, I can still look at how they’re assessing these two players.

Based on the data here, not just the grading, there was no big drop-off.

This is just one game. For the purpose of this subject, I’m eager to see more from Jones. Not because I want to see him replace Cross permanently — and not because I want to get rid of Cross or make some point about him being no good. I don’t think any of those things.

I’m just surprised at the lack of discussion around his development, which I think has been underwhelming. I believe we’re still waiting for him to show he’s taken a step forward as a player. I think there’s an assumption on his performance level which is inaccurate. It’s one reason, I think, why he wasn’t extended in 2025 yet I think it’s fairly certain Jaxon Smith-Njigba will get a new deal next summer.

If Jones plays as well against the Panthers and possibly 49ers, to provide a three-game example, it might suggest Cross is closer to his talent level than say Andrew Thomas of the Giants. I remain unconvinced that he’s as good as many others do after watching his replacement basically produce the same performance.

Instant reaction: Seahawks win the game of the season against the Rams

On the 18th January, 2015, the Seahawks played a game of football. They were losing, badly, in a let-down performance. All hope was lost going into the fourth quarter. There was no chance, it was done. The quarterback was turning the ball over and nothing was working.

Then weird stuff started happening, including a flukey, miracle two-point conversion and some special teams magic. Fans went from resignation that their team were going to lose, to suddenly thinking they had half a chance.

The game went into overtime. The quarterback, who’d had a bad day, had a shot at redemption. Big plays, including one to finish it off. A walk-off score. The Seahawks beat the Green Bay Packers and went to the Super Bowl.

This game against the Rams was very different in a number of ways but so similar at the same time. The hopelessness when Sam Darnold threw his second interception. The fourth-quarter magic, including the crazy two-pointer (Zach Charbonnet) and the big special teams play (Rasheed Shahid). The game going into overtime. The quarterback, Darnold, having a redemption moment.

Plus the feeling you’ve just watched something you’ll never see again.

Don’t get me wrong — there are plenty of question marks to come out of this game. The defense was diced up and gave up 581 yards. The offense has its own issues — including the quarterback’s play, the O-line and the play-calling.

Today though, we can afford to push all of that to one side. Somehow the Seahawks pulled off the improbable. How did they win this game? Through sheer grit and determination. A will to win that should fill any fan with pride.

Against the odds, they control their own destiny for the #1 seed in the NFC.

Incredible.

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