Good news if you want Jadeveon Clowney?
One league source informed of Jadeveon Clowney’s thinking reiterated that he remains adamant he doesn’t want to play for the Miami Dolphins regardless of the trade discussions between Texans and Dolphins
— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) August 30, 2019
Clowney met with the Dolphins last week. It was an attempt to win him around. It appears the sales pitch didn’t work.
Who can blame him really? The talk over the last 24 hours is Houston wants to package Clowney and draft picks to acquire Laremy Tunsil. Desperate for O-line help — and still reeling from the Duane Brown trade — the Texans were trying to be bold.
Clowney doesn’t fancy joining a team positioning itself to draft a quarterback. An extra first rounder helps if they need to trade up. Gaining Clowney would off-set some of the fan (and player) dissatisfaction from trading Tunsil. It’d be an attempt to say, ‘look — we aren’t really tanking’.
If you want Seattle to trade for Clowney this is good news. The longer he says ‘no’ to Miami the more likely a move to the Seahawks (or the Eagles) becomes. He might have to lose a couple of paycheque’s first and hold out into the regular season. Eventually though, Houston will cut their losses and take the best deal on the table.
The price will drop too. Duane Brown cost a second and third round pick but he was also under contract for another year. Clowney isn’t just a free-agent in 2020. Any prospective buyer can’t even negotiate with him until the end of the season. This is the ultimate rental — and the price has to represent that.
The Seahawks, Eagles and any other interested contender will continue to hold tight and wait for the situation to come to them. Clowney knows his best shot to max-out free agency next year is to join a contender and have a big season. By consistently saying ‘no’ to the Dolphins — he has Houston over a barrel. As long as he’s willing to sacrifice dollars to force a trade to his preferred destination, he has the upper hand. The only stumbling block is if Houston calls his bluff. Eventually he’ll have to return to the Texans and sign his tender if he wants this season to toll and be a free agent next year. Does Bill O’Brien want to deal with the distraction to play hardball? Unlikely.
Seattle’s pass rush issues are well advertised. If they wait this out and find a way to acquire Jadeveon Clowney for 2019 at a discounted price — it will significantly boost their chances of competing in the NFC.
Here’s what they’d be getting…
I don’t get the “motor” stuff w/Clowney; has to be a holdover from the pre-draft chatter. I see plenty of hustle on his film. pic.twitter.com/fsH7INMax8
— Michael Kist (@MichaelKistNFL) August 28, 2019
Thoughts on the roster
Since my initial 53-man projection a lot has changed. Phil Haynes appears destined for the PUP list. Joey Hunt has a high ankle sprain. Ben Burr-Kirven put in a superb performance against Oakland. Geno Smith won the backup job.
Here’s my updated best guess…
Geno Smith clearly out-performed Paxton Lynch against the Raiders. He’ll be the backup in 2019 as long as his knee’s OK.
C.J. Prosise will be the clear #3 if he isn’t traded. Travis Homer’s special teams value could be crucial. Although they haven’t used Nick Bellore as a full-back in pre-season — his contract and special teams value suggests he’s been making the team all along. J.D. McKissic could make it but I’m going to go with five running backs.
David Moore isn’t going to be out too long. Gary Jennings was quiet again on Thursday and maybe he’ll be sacrificed after all? With Moore set to miss at least week one and D.K. Metcalf’s health a question mark — they might keep Malik Turner initially. A lot of people will shout for Jazz Ferguson but I think he will make the practise squad if cut.
Ed Dickson’s injury situation and the lack of clarity on when he’ll return makes me think he won’t make it. Jacob Hollister will be on a short leash to make plays but he possibly makes it simply to bolster the numbers here.
Do they cut Joey Hunt with the intention of bringing him back when healthy? Given how much they like Hunt, do they stash him and IR him so he can return? Can they afford to roll with Marcus Martin as a backup center or guard? Phil Haynes will go on the PUP list. This group would look a lot stronger if Hunt and Jordan Simmons were available.
Initially I thought they would add a new player before the Bengals game but time has passed and nobody has arrived. Is there any player cut by another team that can give the roster a pass-rushing boost? It seems unlikely. The best bet might be to wait out the Clowney situation and see if they can get some value. Barkevious Mingo had a poor pre-season as a pass rusher but he makes it purely for his special teams value. I would expect Bryan Mone to make the practise squad and be available if needed down the line. I think it’ll come down to Earl Mitchell or Branden Jackson.
Earl Mitchell or Branden Jackson
Austin Calitro has played like a warrior in pre-season. A year ago he won a roster spot and this summer he’s again made an impression. Shaquem Griffin likely ends up on IR and Ben Burr-Kirven wins a roster spot with a dynamic performance against Oakland.
I think they’ll start the season with Ugo Amadi as the nickel, allowing them to carry an extra defensive lineman and stash BBK. They could easily add another player to compete at nickel given the incumbents were disappointing.
II think they’ll cut DeShawn Shead with the intention of signing him after week one when his contract isn’t guaranteed.
There’s no drama here with all three specialists signed to long term contracts.
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