Some names to consider in rounds 4-7…

Ryquell Armstead (RB, Temple)
Tough, physical and finishes runs. One anonymous scout said this about Armstead: “Three or four years from now I think people will say, ‘Gosh, I can’t believe they got him in the fourth round.” He’s in Seattle’s size range at 5-11 and 220lbs and he ran a 4.45. He has a running style similar to Alex Collins (minus the fumbles).

Dru Samia (G, Oklahoma)
Terrific run blocker who squares everything up. He excelled against Alabama and wants to fight everyone. The fact he played on the right could be a turn-off because the Seahawks seem to want size at that spot now. However — if they want to continue to set the tone, Samia could further add to that.

D’Andre Walker (EDGE, Georgia)
The Seahawks have only added one defensive lineman so far. Walker might be too much of a tweener for them. I thought he did a good job at about 250lbs playing the run so that’s a plus and he has length (34 3/8 inch arms). They need more pass rush and in round four isn’t he worth a shot? There aren’t many pass rushers left.

Rodney Anderson (RB, Oklahoma)
Highly explosive, physical, ideally sized running back who has had consistent injury issues. He would’ve been a first round pick on talent alone. He dominated Georgia in the playoffs a year ago. Anderson presents an opportunity to get a true star. It’s all down to whether you trust he can stay healthy.

Trevon Wesco (TE/FB, West Virginia)
Considered the best full back prospect by some, Wesco could be used in a variety of ways. He’ll never be a dynamic pass-catcher but he has 34 3/4 inch arms on a 6-3, 267lbs frame. He can be a full back, a sixth lineman or a blocking tight end. He ran a surprisingly quick 4.38 short shuttle. He’s a terrific blocker and plays with aggression and intensity.

Derrek Thomas (CB, Baylor)
He looked like a Seahawks corner at the combine. Superb frame — 6-3, 189lbs, 33 3/4 inch arms, 39.5 inch vertical. He’s a project but he took an official-30 visit to Seattle. The type of guy they’ve worked with.

Isaiah Johnson (CB, Houston)
He’s 6-2 and 208lbs with 33-inch arms. He has a 79 1/8 inch wingspan. Johnson ran a 4.40 forty, a 6.81 three cone and a 4.06 short shuttle. Those are great times for a corner with his size. He also acted as a serviceable gunner on special teams.

Daniel Wise (DT, Kansas)
A team captain at Kansas with NFL bloodlines, Wise recorded 16 TFL’s and seven sacks as a junior before adding 12.5 TFL’s and five more sacks in 2018. He recorded 35 pressures in 2018. Only one of Wise’s workout numbers stood out but it’s the most important one — the short shuttle. He ran a 4.37 which is highly impressive at 6-3 and 281lbs. He also has 33-inch arms.

Kingsley Keke (DE, Texas Tech)
Keke’s tape is a bit disappointing but he was one of the more impressive performers at the Senior Bowl. He ran a 4.95 forty at 6-3 and 288lbs and added a solid 4.46 short shuttle and a 31.5 inch vertical. He only had 31 pressures in 2018 and that backs up the average tape. However, he did lose 20lbs to switch from tackle to end and with time could develop into an effective inside/out rusher.

John Cominsky (DE, Charleston)
A small-school prospect and former quarterback, Cominsky put on a show at the combine. He ran a 1.62 10-yard split at 6-5 and 286lbs. Considering anything in the 1.5’s is elite for a smaller EDGE or LEO — that’s a fantastic time. He has 33.5 inch arms and also ran a 4.69 forty, a 7.03 three cone and a 4.38 short shuttle. He added explosive power with a 33.5 inch vertical.

Renell Wren (DT, Arizona State)
He’s built like the Hulk and importantly for Seattle — at 6-5 and 318lbs (with 33 7/8 inch arms) — he ran a 4.53 short shuttle. His play was incredibly inconsistent. He’d destroy the center on one snap, then play out of control the next. Gap discipline is important in Seattle. Wren has amazing potential but he’ll need work to play within this scheme.

Armon Watts (DT, Arkansas)
A strong, physical defensive lineman capable of plugging gaps in the run game but still offering some pass rush ability. He’s 6-5 and 300lbs with 33 3/8 inch arms and could act as a solid anchor next to Jarran Reed.

Greg Gaines (DT, Washington)
Partnered Vita Vea superbly before Vea turned pro and had a knack of making at least a few splash plays every week. Gaines lacks traits but plays with a terrific motor. He needs to do a better job with his hands and too often he tries to barge his way through blockers. A 31-inch vertical hinted at some power and explosion though and at the very least he could develop into a disciplined run defender.

Albert Huggins (DT, Clemson)
Basically the unspectacular anchor of the Clemson D-line. Christian Wilkins, Dexter Lawrence and Clelin Ferrell provided the star quality. Huggins quietly was an effective block-absorber. He’s not quick, he’s not athletic and he’s not particularly explosive. However — his upper body is tremendously powerful and he has a good frame at 6-3, 305lbs and 33.5 inch arms. Huggins could be a top run defender.

Gary Jennings (WR, West Virginia)
Had a terrific combine, running a 4.42 and jumping a 37-inch vertical. He’s 6-1 and 214lbs. Jennings had a 75% catch rate in 2018 and showed he a very capable deep receiver who can operate in the slot too. He clocked a top speed of 21.03mph at the Senior Bowl.

Johnnie Dixon (WR, Ohio State)
Like all the Ohio State receivers, he was lost within the scheme. Dixon ran a 4.41 at 5-10 and 201lbs and managed a 37.5 inch vertical. His eight touchdowns in 2018 averaged 32 YPC. He has the suddenness the Seahawks like.

Darius West (S, Kentucky)
On a defense loaded with talent, West was considered the established tone-setter and leader. According to Lance Zierlein: “When he speaks, teammates listen.” A true alpha. He has a history of injuries and that could be a problem. If teams clear his medical he’s a 5-11, 208lbs blaster with 4.39 speed.

Stephen Denmark (CB, Valdosta State)
Incredible physical profile. He’s 6-3 and 220lbs with 33 3/8 inch arms. Denmark ran a 4.46 forty, 1.48 10-yard split, jumped a 43.5 inch vertical and a 10-10 broad. There isn’t another cornerback in this draft with this level of physical upside. He’s also a converted receiver. He’s a major project but keep an eye on him.

Jamal Peters (CB, Mississippi State)
Converted safety who didn’t test well at the combine but has the size and length Seattle likes. Tony Pauline linked Seattle with interest in Peters during the season. He didn’t force many turnovers at Mississippi State but he was tough and physical. He’s 6-2 and 218lbs with 32 3/8 inch arms but he ran a 4.63.

Michael Jackson (CB, Miami)
He ran a solid 4.45 at 6-1 and 210lbs. His 40.5 inch vertical and 4.12 short shuttle were also impressive. He had 3.5 TFL’s, 2.5 sacks and six PBU’s in 2018 but failed to record an interception. He has 32.5 inch arms and looked the part at the combine.

Saivion Smith (CB, Alabama)
Measured bigger than expected (6-1, 199lbs, 33 1/4 inch arms). He didn’t run at the combine and the rest of his testing was average (eg. 4.37 short shuttle). He’s a press-corner who mixes it up and had three picks in 2018.

Foster Moreau (TE, LSU)
He wore the fabled #18 jersey at LSU — awarded to the player who best exemplifies character and leadership. He’s a terrific run-blocker with untapped potential in the passing game. Moreau ran a 4.66 forty, jumped a 36.5 inch vertical, a 7.16 three cone and a 4.11 short shuttle.

Devine Ozigbo (RB, Nebraska)
Wasn’t invited to the combine surprisingly. Ozigbo reportedly ran a 4.53 at 233lbs at his pro-day while adding a 37-inch vertical and a 10-4 broad jump. He has the explosive power and running style to warrant interest as a later round pick who can last in the league for a few years.

Darwin Thompson (RB, Utah State)
He took an official-30 visit to Seattle. He’s smaller than they usually like at 5-8 and 200lbs but he’s a tough, physical runner and we know the Seahawks like that. He recorded 16 touchdowns on just 176 touches in 2018. Could be an UDFA target.

Alec Ingold (FB, Wisconsin)
He’s a classic full back. Most teams won’t consider him because they don’t use these types of players any more. It’ll be interesting to see if the Seahawks take him. They’ve needed a quality full back for a while. Ingold inspired Jon Gruden to march onto the Senior Bowl field for a high-five after one punishing block.

Michael Jordan (G/C, Ohio State)
Huge frame (6-6, 312lbs) and although he played center for the Buckeye’s he might be better suited to guard. He has 34 1/4 inch arms. He looked the part at the combine and he could develop into a really solid starter over time.

Isaiah Prince (T, Ohio State)
If they gave out grades for body-building, Prince would be near the top. He looked in superb shape at the combine. He’s 6-6 and 305lbs with 35.5 inch arms. He has the ideal frame for a NFL left tackle. His kick-slide is good and so is his pass-pro. Prince is worth taking a shot on to develop.

Oli Udoh (T, Elon)
Absolutely massive right tackle prospect with 6-5, 323lbs size and 35 3/8 inch arms. His frame is already big and intimidating but he could add even more muscle. He ran a 5.05 forty. Udoh looks like a Seahawks right tackle.

Kaden Smith (TE, Stanford)
Once considered a possible top-40 pick, Smith didn’t run well at the combine (4.92). However, he did manage a 7.08 three cone which might put him on Seattle’s radar. He also managed a 4.47 short shuttle and a 32-inch vertical.

Christian Miller (EDGE, Alabama)
Miller picked up an injury (in the College Football Playoffs vs Oklahoma) and hasn’t been able to do a proper testing session. He didn’t look 100% doing drills at the combine although he did manage a superb 38.5 inch vertical. On tape his ability to bend the arc is incredible and he has the size/length to be an effective LEO or EDGE (6-3, 247lbs, 35 1/8 inch arms). Miller could also be switched to linebacker full time.

Maxx Crosby (EDGE, Eastern Michigan)
An athletic, explosive pass rusher. Crosby ran a 4.66 forty, a 1.60 10-yard split, a 6.89 three cone and a 4.13 short shuttle. Those are all impressive numbers at 6-5 and 255lbs. He has talent but there’s a feeling he’s yet to fully develop physically and could become even stronger and quicker.

Anthony Nelson (DE, Iowa)
He had the joint-second best pressure percentage (23.5%) along with 53 pressures in 2018. Nelson’s tape is a bit underwhelming at times but there’s no doubting his upside. He ran a 4.82 forty, a 1.65 10-yard split, a 6.95 three cone and a 4.23 short shuttle at 6-7 and 271lbs. Those are elite times for a player with his size. He also has 34 7/8 inch arms.

Charles Omenihu (DE, Texas)
Possesses a terrific combination of size (6-5, 280lbs), length (36 inch arms), agility (4.36 short shuttle) and explosive power (36.5 inch vertical). There are flashes on tape where Omenihu really looks the part. Sadly, he wasn’t consistent enough and never truly realised his potential in college. He recorded only 39 pressures in 2018. Reportedly he divides opinion within the league with some loving him and some not rating him at all.

Joe Jackson (DE, Miami)
He didn’t work out at the combine and his pro-day testing numbers were not good. However, Jackson is 6-4 and 275lbs with 34 1/8 inch arms. He had 54 pressures in 2018 at 21.7% (level with Chase Winovich for fifth best).

Penny Hart (WR, Georgia State)
There may be some concern about his hands but his speed is unbelievable. He was so sudden at the Senior Bowl and embarrassed several top defensive backs. He’ll need coaching up but you can teach speed and he has it big time.

Jazz Ferguson (WR, Northwestern State)
I’m not sure they’ll go after another big target but Ferguson is 6-5, 227lbs, runs a 4.45 and jumped a 37-inch vertical. He’s a former four-star recruit who began at LSU. He lacks refinement but the talent and profile is there.

Reggie White Jr (WR, Monmouth)
The Seahawks met with White Jr during the draft process. He’s 6-3 and 210lbs. His father played in the NFL though he’s not the late Hall of Fame pass rusher. He ran a 1.50 10-yard split at his pro-day.

Lamont Gaillard (C, Georgia)
He was recruited as a defensive lineman before converting to offense. He’s an alpha, a team captain and a big-time leader. An anonymous NFC O-line coach says: “You want leadership, toughness and intelligence from that position (center) if you can get it and I think he’s going to be good in those areas.”

Austin Bryant (EDGE, Clemson)
He’s the forgotten man of this draft class. He played a role at Clemson and he showed off size and length during measurements (6-4, 271lbs, 34 5/8 inch arms). He might be worth taking a chance on with the pass rush options diminishing.

Justin Hollins (EDGE, Oregon)
Another terrific athlete who leaves you wanting so much more on tape. Hollins only had 41 pressures in 2018 and his pressure percentage is 16.8%. He’s 6-5 and 248lbs with 33 3/8 inch arms. He ran a 4.50 forty but his short shuttle time of 4.40 is only decent for his size. He did manage a 36.5 inch vertical. Seattle coaches were spotted working him out during the pre-draft process. He dips in and out of games too often but there’s potential to be coached up.

Emanuel Hall (WR, Missouri)
He ran a 4.39 at 6-2 and 201lbs. He also has exceptional length for a receiver (33 1/4 inch arms) and nearly 10-inch hands. He’s a go-route specialist and it’s a surprise he’s lasted into day three. If the Seahawks want another receiver he could be a target.

Dexter Williams (RB, Notre Dame)
He’s been an ascending talent during the draft season. He’s 5-11 and 212lbs and explosive (36 inch vertical) with great agility (4.16 short shuttle). He’s shown he can carry the load and he could provide some great value in rounds 4-5.

A year ago the Seahawks re-committed to their identity. They’d lost their way. The running game had completely collapsed. They were no longer bigger, faster stronger. They were older, disjointed and drifting.

Last year’s re-set was necessary to get things back on track.

This latest draft takes things to a whole new level.

The Seahawks aren’t just committing to their identity again with this class. They’re making a huge statement. They’re going after tough, physical, bullying players. There’s absolutely no finesse in this group.

If last year was about getting the offensive identity back and becoming a younger, hungrier team — this is about establishing an even greater edge to the defense.

L.J. Collier — a Michael Bennett-style pass rusher with heavy hands and attitude who describes playing the game as being in a war

Marquise Blair — the biggest hitter in the draft

D.K. Metcalf — a 6-3, 228lbs receiver who runs a 4.33

Cody Barton — an athletic linebacker described as a “wild horse rider” who will “knock the (bleep) out of you”

There’s a theme here — physical toughness. The Seahawks want to be the bullies again. They’re loading up their defense with players who set a tone. Players who leave a mark and combine athletic qualities with an edge that will force opponents to compete at every level.

Before the draft I tweeted the following:

For the #Seahawks in this draft… they regained their identity a year ago. Now time to build up the defense. It’s a defensive draft class with some good tight ends. Stick to the plan.

— Rob Staton (@robstaton) April 26, 2019

This is basically what they’ve done. They got their identity back and now they’re building up their defense with BAMF’s.

The 2019 draft is an even bigger commitment to their vision than last years class.

I’ll have more on the players in a moment but let’s just recap what happened on an eventful day two…

The headlines

— The Seahawks trade down from #37 to #47 with the Panthers
— As compensation they gained another valuable round three pick (#77)
— They select Marquise Blair (S, Utah) with the #47 pick
— The Seahawks trade up from #77 to #64 with the Patriots giving up #118
— They select D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss) with the #64 pick
— Adam Schefter reports Doug Baldwin might be set to retire
— The Seahawks trade up again from #92 to #88 giving up #209
— They select Cody Barton (LB, Utah) with the #88 pick

The key to a good draft this year was to try and accumulate picks on day two. Seattle was able to turn #21 and #29 into #29, #47, #64 and #88. That’s a big win.

People will question some of the value simply because the players they took weren’t conventional names selected in a range where the media were predicting. I personally had Collier as a top-40 pick and Marquise Blair in round two. It shouldn’t be a big shock they landed in that range.

Many believed D.K. Metcalf was a first round pick. They got him at #64.

Seattle’s board

#29 (R1) L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
#47 (R2) Marquise Blair (S, Utah)
#64 (R2) D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss)
#88 (R3) Cody Barton (LB, Utah)
#114 (R4)
#124 (R4)
#132 (R4)
#142 (R5)
#209 (R6)

There’s so much talent still available and the Seahawks have three great picks coming up in round four. Whether they take any of the following falling players remains to be seen. However, look at the names still available:

Chauncey Gardner-Johnson (CB/S, Florida)
D’Andre Walker (EDGE, Georgia)
Christian Miller (EDGE, Alabama)
Charles Omenihu (DE, Texas)
Anthony Johnson (DE, Iowa)
Keke Kingsley (DE, Texas Tech)
Marvell Tell (S, USC)
Amani Hooker (S, Iowa)
Emmanuel Hall (WR, Missouri)
Dru Samia (G, Oklahoma)
Hakeem Butler (WR, Iowa State)
Rodney Anderson (RB, Oklahoma)
Isaiah Johnson (CB, Houston)

They could easily get some impact players in round four who can come in and compete right away.

Day three is also the kind of range where the following could be considered:

Ryquell Armstead (RB, Temple)
Trevon Wesco (FB/TE, West Virginia)
Justin Hollins (EDGE, Oregon)
Riley Ridley (WR, Georgia)
Daniel Wise (DT, Kentucky)
Renell Wren (DT, Arizona State)
Albert Huggins (DT, Clemson)
Gary Jennings (WR, West Virginia)
Greg Gaines (DT, Washington)
Armon Watts (DT, Arkansas)
Jamal Peters (CB, Mississippi State)
Saivion Smith (CB, Alabama)
Maxx Crosby (EDGE, Eastern Michigan)
Austin Bryant (EDGE, Clemson)
Lamont Gaillard (C, Georgia)
Joe Jackson (DE, Miami)
Gerald Willis III (DT, Miami)
Kaden Smith (TE, Stanford)
Penny Hart (WR, Georgia State)
Dexter Williams (RB, Notre Dame)
Darius West (S, Kentucky)
Michael Jackson (CB, Miami)
Blessuan Austin (CB, Rutgers)
Derrek Thomas (CB, Baylor)

Notes on the three players drafted today

By taking Marquise Blair in round two, that’s the earliest pick the Seahawks have spent on a defensive back since Earl Thomas in 2010.

Here’s what I wrote about Blair in our big draft preview:

Hits like a hammer and will strike fear into any receiver running across the middle of the field. Could be a flag-machine if his technique is off. Decent but not great size (6-1, 195lbs). He ran a 4.48 forty which was faster than expected.

I’d mocked him in round two several times and listed him as a second round prospect in my March tiers, noting:

Utah’s Marquise Blair has the athleticism and quickness to excel at nickel and packs a punch as a tackler/hitter. He too might go a bit earlier than the consensus is predicting.

Here’s the view of one anonymous scout on Blair (courtesy of Bob McGinn):

“He’s the most aggressive head-hunter… I think he’s had four targeting calls. He’s got range. He’s got everything you want. Just really undisciplined. Will probably be off a few boards. He’s had some anger issues. Never been in trouble but he’s just been hard to manage. One of the more fun guys to watch.”

And here’s a slightly different view from another scout:

“He got three targeting penalties on purpose. If he wasn’t crazy I’d take him in the second round.”

That’s the quote of the 2019 draft right there.

I never believed D.K. Metcalf was likely to go as early as some were projecting. His neck injury from 2018 almost ended his career. He’s a one-dimensional receiver currently, running go-routes to exploit his 4.33 speed.

The good thing is that’s the one thing Seattle loves to do — go deep. Pete Carroll has craved a dynamic big receiver like this for years. If Metcalf can make strides as an intermediate and red zone target to pair with his ability to separate downfield he could be an X-factor in the NFL.

Here’s what I wrote about Metcalf in our big draft preview:

There are reasons to think Metcalf won’t appeal to the Seahawks. He had too many concentration drops in college, he had a serious neck injury during the 2018 season, his short/intermediate routes are laboured and he’s pretty much a one-trick pony at the moment (he runs a superb go-route at 6-3 and 228lbs). The thing is — the one thing he does very well is pretty rare. He ran a 4.33 at the combine and the fastest 10-yard split of any player at any position (1.48). There aren’t many humans on the planet who can run that fast at his size. For that reason alone — and considering Seattle’s desire to get the ball downfield — Metcalf has to be included here.

I’d highly recommend checking out this great tape breakdown by Brett Kollman:

Metcalf was listed as the #1 receiver in Bob McGinn’s draft preview. Here are some of the anonymous scout quotes he provided:

“DK’s a freak… You line him up at X and he’s taking the lid off coverage. That’s what he’s doing. He’s a slot receiver. Smart kid. Loves football. He’s better than Stephen Hill coming out, more productive than Josh Gordon coming out. But he’s kind of more in their light than Julio (Jones). Julio has better flexibility, hips, routes.”

“He’s a workout phenom. He can’t catch and he can’t run routes and he doesn’t separate well. Everybody talks about how great he looks but what great receiver is just big? Julio, but Julio wasn’t even that big. The top receivers aren’t these monsters. Odell (Beckham), Antonio Brown. A.J. Green is slender. Being that big doesn’t make you a good wide receiver. In fact, it’s the opposite.”

His interview with the Seahawks at the combine led to this memorable moment:

Just gonna leave this one here……@PeteCarroll @dkmetcalf14 pic.twitter.com/TKMWJJ0IQK

— Seattle Seahawks (@Seahawks) April 27, 2019

Most people expected the Seahawks to target D-line, receiver and defensive back with their first three picks and so it proved.

Drafting Metcalf could be especially important given this tweet from Adam Schefter during the draft:

At the age of 30, Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin might be unable to play again due to the cumulative effect of multiple injuries, per sources. There is a real chance that Baldwin, one of the Seahawks’ best and most popular players, has played his last NFL down, a source said Friday.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) April 27, 2019

This seems to be trending one way at the moment. There’s too much smoke. Let’s hope Doug Baldwin can play in 2019 but it’s looking ominous at the moment.

Cody Barton wasn’t on my radar coming into the draft because I assumed re-signing K.J. Wright and Mychal Kendricks meant they would avoid the linebacker position. That was a mistake for one big reason — they’ve been waiting for a linebacker like Barton for years.

The Seahawks want special athletic qualities at LB. Amazing speed, explosive traits, length, quickness. There’s been a dearth of players like that available over the last few years. College football has not been pumping Seahawks linebackers into the NFL.

Barton is 6-2 and 237lbs but he ran a 4.03 short shuttle and a 6.90 three-cone. Those are special times. That’s pretty much the same shuttle time as Marvell Tell at 198lbs.

That’s what Seattle is looking for. I noted in this piece (click here) two years ago about the importance of the short shuttle to the Seahawks when looking for linebackers.

Here’s Bob McGinn’s write-up on Barton (including anonymous scouting sources):

“Little bit of a wild horse rider,” said one scout. “Not a bad kid. Will knock the (bleep) out of you. Super fast. Big-time downhill player.” Described by one scout as a classic overachiever. “Man, that (bleep) is a football player,” said another scout. Finished with 235 tackles (24 ½ for loss), nine sacks and five takeaways. “He’s all over the field,” said a third scout. “A really strong, aggressive guy at the point of attack and a really consistent finisher. He’s really good in coverage and a good pass rusher. He does everything pretty well. Nothing excellent.” Recorded the fastest LB clocking in the short shuttle (4.03). Wonderlic of 27.

It also feels like special teams is a big consideration here too. Blair and Barton will likely be expected to be big factors there in year one.

The Seahawks are building real momentum with this draft class. If you want to try and work out who’s next — look for the players with physical toughness left on the board.

They still need more pass rush. Currently they’ve only added L.J. Collier to the defensive line. While they’ll almost certainly add some veterans after the draft — it won’t be a big shock if they target the EDGE and defensive tackle position early. They also need some depth and competition at cornerback and might consider adding a tight end, receiver or running back.

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And remember — no tipping picks please in the comments section.

Headlines

— The Seahawks trade down from #37 to #47 with the Panthers
— As compensation they gained another valuable round three pick (#77)
— They select Marquise Blair (S, Utah) with the #47 pick
— The Seahawks trade up from #77 to #64 with the Patriots giving up #118
— They select D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss) with the #64 pick
— Adam Schefter reports Doug Baldwin might be set to retire
— The Seahawks trade up again from #92 to #88 giving up #209
— They select Cody Barton (LB, Utah) with the #88 pick

Seattle’s board

#29 (R1) L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
#47 (R2) Marquise Blair (S, Utah)
#64 (R2) D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss)
#88 (R3) Cody Barton (LB, Utah)
#114 (R4)
#124 (R4)
#132 (R4)
#142 (R5)
#159 (R5)

Second round

#33 Arizona — Byron Murphy (CB, Washington)
The best cornerback in the draft goes to Arizona. He goes back home and he’ll be excited about that. Considering they already have Budda Baker he’ll likely play outside corner. At his size and speed, I’ll take that matchup in the NFC West (even if I really like him as a player).

#34 Indianapolis — Rock Ya Sin (CB, Temple)
He’s tough and competitive. He’s a little bit undersized even if he has +32 inch arms. He’s been a big riser. The run on cornerbacks is on with DeAndre Baker, Byron Murphy and Rock Ya Sin going between #30-34.

#35 Jacksonville (via Oakland) — Jawaan Taylor (T, Florida)
The Jaguars trade up from #38. There were concerns about a knee issue with Taylor, leading to this fall. Many people mocked him to Jacksonville at #7. Taylor’s a bit overrated for me. Didn’t play his best until his last year and I’m not sure he’s as tough as some people are suggesting.

#36 San Francisco — Deebo Samuel (WR, South Carolina)
Samuel showed at the Senior Bowl that he knows how to get open. He has special teams value as a returner. He didn’t show much as a downfield threat but he competes. He’s stocky and explosive — a bit like a running back.

#37 Carolina (via Seattle) — Greg Little (T, Ole Miss)
The Panthers trade up from #47 so the Seahawks drop down ten spots and collect another third round pick (#77). Greg Little to me is best moving inside to guard. He’s a former big-time five-star recruit but his body type looks better suited to working inside. He had a poor 2018 season, a poor combine and he dropped well out of first round contention.

#38 Buffalo (via Oakland) — Cody Ford (T, Oklahoma)
The Raiders trade down for the second time in round two. Ford is great value here. Ian Rapoport suggested he fell because he thought he was better than he is. He has great feet for a guy with his size, he’s very stocky and powerful. Could be a big mauling guard yet his drop and kick-slide could keep him at tackle.

Meanwhile…

I'm told the Jets were targeting either pick 34 (Colts) or 37 (Seahawks) in an attempt to move into round two but did not have enough ammunition to get the deal done.

— Tony Pauline (@TonyPauline) April 26, 2019

#39 Tampa Bay — Sean Bunting (CB, Central Michigan)
Bunting competes. Watch his game against Michigan State and you’ll see that. He had 31 3/4 inch arms but ran a great forty and is explosive. He’s been a big riser during the off-season and he ends up going before some of the bigger names.

#40 Oakland — Trayvon Mullen (CB, Clemson)
Mullen is a typical Clemson player. By that I mean during interviews he goes into great detail on scheme and concepts. They’re all so well coached and they recruit students of the game. He’s not big and long but he fits Oakland’s desire for accountable individuals.

#41 Denver — Dalton Risner (T, Kansas State)
In the first game I watched Risner during the college season, he was dumped flat on his back by a defensive lineman. That moment kind of stuck with me throughout the process. But he’s a great guy so hopefully he has a great career in Denver.

#42 Denver (via Cincinnati) — Drew Lock (QB, Missouri)
The Broncos move up ten spots (they gained an extra second rounder after trading down from #10 to #20 last night). They end up with back-to-back picks in round two. All the talk early in the process was John Elway loved Drew Lock. He dropped into round two and this is worth a flier here. It’s no gamble.

#43 Detroit — Jahlani Tavai (LB, Hawaii)
Tavai isn’t someone I spent much time on but I saw enough to think he’d be a great fit for the Patriots. Thus, it’s no surprise he’s ended up in Detroit with Matt Patricia.

#44 Green Bay — Elgton Jenkins (C, Mississippi State)
He had a good year in 2018 and then a good Senior Bowl. He looks the part. The only negative was his game against Quinnen Williams where he was destroyed. He was announced as a guard so clearly the Packers intend to shift his position. He can handle that. He’s got the frame for it.

#45 New England (via LA Rams) — Joejuan Williams (CB, Vanderbilt)
The Pats move up from #56 and the Rams have now dropped from #31 to #56 and are yet to make a pick. They’ve acquired two third rounders to move down. This is a good match. Williams is incredibly intelligent and tough. He’s battled adversity. He’s a 4.64 runner but Bill Belichick will put him in a role to succeed.

#46 Cleveland (via Indianapolis) — Greedy Williams (CB, LSU)
The Browns traded up three spots to move above the Seahawks. Was that deliberate? I can’t imagine the Seahawks were going to draft a corner with sub-32 inch arms who won’t tackle. This was probably just a deal the Browns wanted to make and in fairness — for their team it’s a value pick here. Browns fans will be excited.

#47 Seattle — Marquise Blair (S, Utah)
This guy is a Seahawks safety. He hits like an absolute hammer. He takes no prisoners. I’d been mocking him in round two practically throughout the process. He’s a 4.48 runner, not the biggest guy but he’ll bring competition at safety and he can play big nickel. If you like hitting you’ll like Blair.

#48 New Orleans (via Miami) — Erik McCoy (C, Texas A&M)
I love this pick. McCoy was the only center I saw in 2018 who battled Quinnen Williams and had some wins. He squares up and finishes. They lost Max Unger and the replacement could be one of the steals of day two.

#49 Indianapolis — Ben Banogu (EDGE, TCU)
Banogu’s a great athlete and has everything you want physically. The problem? He can’t rush the passer. He’s going to need coaching from scratch. I’d move him to linebacker because his best quality is read/react in space and closing speed.

#50 Minnesota — Irv Smith Jr (TE, Alabama)
The Vikings were said to be keying on the tight ends. Smith Jr is a big slot receiver. He’s not going to be a big blocker. He’s a guy who’s very fluid in finding the soft spot in a defense and making plays. He’s not that big or fast but he’s a natural receiver.

#51 Tennessee — A.J. Brown (WR, Ole Miss)
I’m not sure the Titans needed another medium-sized, lumbering receiver. They took one in the top-10 a couple of years ago. For me he’s a big slot who does his best work in the short range. It’s not bad value for what he is but Brown isn’t sudden or quick and that’s what seems to win these days (just look at the statistical top receivers).

#52 Cincinnati — Drew Sample (TE, Washington)
I need to go and find that guy who said in the comments section that Sample wouldn’t go as high as round three. Teams loved Sample. He was a boss at the Senior Bowl — whipping all the big name safety’s. He blocks, he’s athletic. He can be Zach Miller.

#53 Philadelphia — Miles Sanders (RB, Penn State)
I’m a big fan of Sanders’. He’s fast and explosive. He’s elusive. He finishes runs. When you put on the tape he just screams successful NFL runner. Philly loves to use multiple backs but I wouldn’t be shocked if he gets the bulk of the carries in 2019.

#54 Houston — Lonnie Johnson (CB, Kentucky)
Love Lonnie Johnson. He could be the top outside corner in this class. He’s big and long and looked like an ideal Seahawks corner. If only he’d lasted until the middle rounds. This was a big need for the Houston.

#55 Houston — Max Scharping (T, Northern Illinois)
There are people who said during the season that he was better than Eric Fisher. Clearly that didn’t prove true in terms of draft stock. The Texans needed tackle help and they take two small school guys. I hope they’re ready.

#56 Kansas City (via LA Rams) — Mecole Hardman (WR, Georgia)
The Rams trade down yet again. They’ve moved from #31 to #60 and are still yet to make a pick. The Chiefs moved up to get Mecole Hardman who’s a physical comp to Tyreek Hill. Clearly they just tried to replace Hill. Hardman has raw hands and catching technique but you can’t coach his speed.

#57 Philadelphia — J.J. Arcega-Whiteside (WR, Stanford)
Arcega-Whiteside can box-out and win contested catches. He shows strong hands in those situations and he’ll be a major red zone threat. Do they need Arcega-Whiteside and Alshon Jeffery? I like the fit but they do already have a similar player.

#58 Dallas — Trysten Hill (DT, UCF)
This is a great pick for the Cowboys (their first of the night). Nobody performed better in drills at the combine. He’s highly athletic and active. He was an explosive tester with great quickness. Love the pick for Dallas.

#59 Indianapolis — Parris Campbell (WR, Ohio State)
This is why the strength of the draft is day two. Getting Campbell at #59 is great value for the Colts, fresh after Trysten Hill coming off the board. Indy took Rock Ya Sin, Ben Banogu and Campbell with their three picks in round two. He’s a 4.31 runner and plays like a bigger Percy Harvin.

#60 LA Chargers — Nasir Adderley (S, Delaware)
I thought he was overhyped when he was getting first round talk. His highlight reel is great but the full tape was littered with inconsistencies. He didn’t run at the combine and didn’t make much of an impact in the Senior Bowl.

#61 LA Rams — Taylor Rapp (S, Washington)
Finally the Rams make a pick after trading down 30 spots. And it’s a familiar face. They take Taylor Rapp to play in the secondary. Rapp’s a good player and he’s never been a speed guy. His sub-4.00 short shuttle is top-level and that’s what he is — agile and tough.

#62 Arizona (via Miami) — Andy Isabella (WR, UMass)
The Dolphins have traded for Josh Rosen. The Cardinals drafted him at #10 a year ago. Now they’re giving him away for a late second round pick. There was talk a few weeks ago that the Cardinals loved Isabella. For me he needs to get into his release. He dances around too much. He has speed though.

#63 Kansas City — Juan Thornhill (S, Virginia)
He was announced as a DB and that’s because he’s a hybrid and will be used as such. I didn’t really like the top-40 talk. His tape was average. You can’t argue with his athletic profile though or his six interceptions in 2018.

#64 Seattle (via New England) — D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Mis)
The Seahawks trade up from #77 to get the final pick in round two and make a splash. Pete Carroll has wanted a big target since forever. Now they have a 6-3, 228lbs beast who runs a 4.33. He’s one dimensional. He’s a go-route specialist. The good news? That’s what Seattle wants. Deep shots. This is an exciting pick this late in the day. They gave up pick #118 (round four) to move up 13 spots.

Third round

#65 Arizona — Zach Allen (DE, Boston College)
Allen took over games in 2018 and had a great season. His short shuttle of 4.36 is fantastic for a player with his size. He had a disappointing Senior Bowl where he barely had an impact at all.

#66 Pittsburgh — Diontae Johnson (WR, Toledo)
Some people love Diontae Johnson. I personally didn’t spend much time watching him but the Steelers have done a terrific job in recent years finding big-time talent at receiver. He has a similar physical profile to Antonio Brown.

#67 San Francisco — Jalen Hurd (WR, Baylor)
I’m not a huge fan of Hurd’s. He’s mixed around, switched positions. He had that one play where he had the ball punched out on the goal line because he was sauntering in for a touchdown. I know a lot of other people like his upside though.

#68 New York Jets — Jachai Polite (EDGE, Florida)
Polite had a disaster of an off-season. He gained bad weight, ran poorly and complained about injuries. His stock collapsed from top-20 to round three. The Jets needed a pass rusher and take a chance here.

#69 Jacksonville — Josh Oliver (TE, San Jose State)
Some people in the league thought he was the best tight end in the draft. Oliver loves football. He was popular with team mates. He didn’t block and basically acted as a big slot. The Jaguars have been trying to solve their tight end problem for a while.

#70 LA Rams (via Tampa Bay) — Darrell Henderson (RB, Memphis)
The Rams trade up to go and land a running back. They clearly need some insurance for Todd Gurley based on what happened at the end of last season. He’s only 5-8 and 208lbs but he leaves a mark when he runs. He finishes runs.

#71 Denver — Dre’Mont Jones (DT, Ohio State)
He had a big impact in 2018. Every time you watched Ohio State he was making plays. The problem is he’s built like a specialist rusher. Can he play end and kick inside? Debatable. That likely limited his stock and it’s why he’s here in round three.

#72 Cincinnati — Germaine Pratt (LB, NC State)
They needed to add a linebacker. Pratt has extreme highs and lows on tape. He blows up screens like very few linebackers entering the league in recent memory. However, there are also snaps where he doesn’t read the play, gets hammered by a blocker and ends up flat on his back.

#73 Chicago (via New England) — David Montgomery (RB, Iowa State)
This is a shame for Mike Davis. Does he want to come back to Seattle? Montgomery got a lot of publicity during the season. I thought he looked ok. Nothing overly spectacular. He didn’t have a good combine at all.

#74 Buffalo — Devin Singletary (RB, Florida Atlantic)
Round three provides a run on running backs. Like Montgomery, I thought Singletary was pretty average. He also didn’t test well. Damien Harris is a better player for me. It’s a bit surprising he’s going after some of these other runners.

#75 Green Bay — Jace Sternberger (TE, Texas A&M)
I like this fit for Green Bay. Sternberger contorts his body to make difficult catches. He’s a reliable target. He’s very much a move-TE and not a Y-tight end. Aaron Rodgers should be able to take advantage of his ability to slip into soft zones and find space. He has a shot to be a high-target receiver.

This is not good news…

At the age of 30, Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin might be unable to play again due to the cumulative effect of multiple injuries, per sources. There is a real chance that Baldwin, one of the Seahawks’ best and most popular players, has played his last NFL down, a source said Friday.

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) April 27, 2019

#76 Washington — Terry McLaurin (WR, Ohio State)
And just as I post that Schefter tweet above, McLaurin goes off the board. I thought McLaurin could be a potential Baldwin replacement in Seattle. He’s just a fantastic receiver — great speed, tenacity, willingness to do whatever it takes to win. This is a quality pick for the Redskins. He gets to catch passes from Dwayne Haskins again.

#77 New England — Chase Winovich (EDGE, Michigan)
This was so predictable. Winovich is a perfect fit for the way New England loves to operate on defense. You could see this coming a mile away. One of the New England coaches or Belichick was going to get him. He’s fast, agile and passionate but he lacked explosion and might need to play in space. He’ll be a great player for the Pats. Book it. It’s not just the hair that’s like Clay Matthews. His profile is very similar.

#78 Miami — Michael Deiter (G, Wisconsin)
The Dolphins had a need at guard and chose Deiter. His 2018 tape is good. He plays tough, had some great snaps in the running game and he looked like a day two pick. Then at the Senior Bowl he was awful. Which was weird. I’m surprised Dru Samia is still available.

#79 LA Rams — David Long (CB, Michigan)
The Rams had a need in the secondary and David Long is a bully despite his relatively small frame. This is a solid pick for the Rams. He doesn’t fit every scheme but he’s the type of player you’d rather not see playing in the NFC West.

#80 Cleveland — Sione Takitaki (LB, BYU)
Takitaki had mixed reviews. He was considered a big riser during draft season and many people in the media were talking up his rise. Plenty of people saw him as a priority UDFA though. He ran a decent 4.28 short shuttle and a 4.63 forty.

#81 Detroit (via Minnesota) — Will Harris (S, Boston College)
The Lions traded up here to get a player who was considered a big leader and an alpha. He had a really good combine. The one thing he doesn’t really do though is turn the ball over. It’s interesting that he’s gone before players like Chauncey Gardner-Johnson.

#82 Tennessee — Nate Davis (G, Charlotte)
Here’s another small school guy who, over the last few weeks, has been gaining some serious traction. He’s big and moves people in the running game. It’s hard to project these guys to the next level but what limited stuff I saw with Davis I liked.

#83 Pittsburgh — Justin Layne (CB, Michigan State)
There are so many good players still on the board and here’s one of them. He’s a converted receiver who sticks in coverage. He needs to do a better job playing the ball but he’s a classic Seahawks-style cornerback and this is good value for the Steelers.

#84 Kansas City — Khalen Saunders (DT, Western Illinois)
One of the stars at the Senior Bowl where he was just excellent in practise and then made big splash plays in the game. He’s a big defensive tackle who can do back flips. On tape he tired in games so you need to spell him initially but he has talent and upside.

#85 Baltimore — Jaylon Ferguson (DE, Louisiana Tech)
He’s incredibly raw but he got after the quarterback at LA Tech. He recorded 45 sacks in college and had a pressure percentage of 23.4% in 2018. His pro-day was a let down and he wasn’t permitted to work out at the combine. This is good value.

#86 Houston — Kahale Warring (TE, San Diego State)
Surprisingly we’ve not see a consistent run on tight ends. They’ve trickled out so far. I liked Warring on tape. He gets into his routes with smooth fluidity and made some big catches in key situations. He has a ton of potential. This is good value at a big position of need.

#87 New England — Damien Harris (RB, Alabama)
The draft doesn’t have to be difficult. The Pats get Chase Winovich and Damien Harris for great value. Both are ideal fits. This is why they win every year. Harris is explosive and an exceptional pass protector.

#88 Seattle (via Minnesota) — Cody Barton (LB, Utah)
The Seahawks have traded up for a second time, moving from #92 to #88 giving up pick #209 (sixth rounder). They select a linebacker Cody Barton. Why did they take him? Simple. He ran a 4.03 short shuttle and a 6.90 three-cone. They love those times at this position. He’s a converted safety and continues the theme of toughness.

#89 Indianapolis — Bobby Okereke (LB, Stanford)
Makes you wonder if the Seahawks jumped above the Colts to get Barton, considering they both took linebackers. Okereke has good length and his tape was pretty good. I thought he could’ve gone in the back-end of round two.

#90 Dallas — Connor McGovern (G, Penn State)
McGovern might have his issues in pass protection but as a run blocker he’s one of the best in this class. He’ll be Zeke Elliott’s best friend if he can win a starting role. He’s the antithesis of Connor Williams (they should’ve traded that pick last year for Earl Thomas).

#91 LA Chargers — Trey Pipkins (Sioux Falls)
I can’t tell you anything about Trey Pipkins other than Daniel Jeremiah says he had a good Shrine Game.

#92 New York Jets (via Minnesota) — Chuma Edoga (T, USC)
I like the Jets taking a chance on Edoga here. He was superb at the Senior Bowl. He dominated at left tackle and made a big impression. He’s been accused of pulling himself out of games at SoCal. With limited draft stock and a need at tackle, this is worth a flier by New York.

#93 Baltimore — Miles Boykin (WR, Notre Dame)
His combine was unexpectedly outstanding. He’s a complete athlete in terms of size, speed and explosive traits. However, his tape was pretty average. Part of that is the quarterback play. He has the physical tools.

#94 Tampa Bay — Jamel Dean (CB, Auburn)
He ran a 4.30 forty and jumped a 41-inch vertical. He has the physical profile but he’s suffered several knee injuries and that impacted his stock. I thought he’d last into day three but you can’t coach his speed.

#95 New York Giants — Oshane Ximines (EDGE, Old Dominion)
He’s high character and loves the game. His pressure percentage of 23.5% was second only to Josh Allen in college football last season. This is about the range he was expected to go.

#96 Buffalo — Dawson Knox (TE, Ole Miss)
I was hoping Knox might drop to Seattle in round four. He’s tough and loves to block. There’s no complaining about a lack of targets. He ran a sub-7.00 three cone. He can block. The tight end options are thinning out.

#97 LA Rams — Bobby Evans (T, Oklahoma)
I have to say this is a good pick for the Rams. Evans isn’t a flashy athlete but he just gets the job done. My guess is by second contract time, Evans has established himself enough to get a good deal.

#98 Quincy Williams (LB, Murray State)
Here’s another small school player that I haven’t studied. I’m not alone. Even Daniel Jeremiah says he hasn’t done a report on him on the NFL Network. Apparently he’s Quinnen Williams’ brother.

#99 Tampa Bay — Mike Edwards (S, Kentucky)
It’ll be interesting to see how he’s used — nickel or safety. He didn’t do any testing at the combine.

#100 Carolina — Will Grier (QB, West Virginia)
There were reports doing the rounds that the Panthers were looking at quarterbacks. Grier is very talented. He has mechanical issues that impact his arm strength at times but he’s an excellent downfield thrower and he plays with grit. It won’t be a shock if he ends up starting for Carolina down the line with Cam Newton’s injury concerns.

#101 New England — Yodny Cajuste (T, West Virginia)
I thought the Seahawks might consider him as depth and competition. He’s said to be an amazing athlete but he couldn’t test at the combine due to injury. He has major upside and this could end up being yet another wise, value pick for the Pats.

#102 Minnesota — Alexander Mattison (RB, Boise State)
I love Mattison’s running style. He’s so physical and finishes runs. He reminded me of Alex Collins without all the fumbles. I thought the Seahawks might look at him on day three.

That’s it for day two. The Seahawks will be busy tomorrow with three fourth round picks and two fifth rounders. Stay tuned to the blog I’ll have my day review posted in a few moments.

Why did Pete and John look so fed up?

Social media has been blowing up with people trying to work out why Pete Carroll and John Schneider looked so dejected during their first round press conference.

Too often people overreact to these things but here’s my theory.

I don’t think it’s anything to do with missing out on anyone. I don’t think they were targeting Jerry Tillery in round one. Montez Sweat possibly wasn’t even on their board given the concerns about his enlarged heart.

If they even were dejected, here’s my best guess as to why — it’s all about draft strategy.

I think they were quite keen to move down and accumulate day two picks. That’s the strength of the draft this year. They only managed to trade down into the top of round two and didn’t add any new stock.

They used up all 20 minutes of their allotted time at #29 and #30. They made one deal — with the Giants — to drop from #30 to #37. I suspect they were negotiating hard to deal #29 too. Otherwise why not just make the pick after the initial ten minutes?

They selected L.J. Collier.

Almost immediately after picks #29 and #30 were announced, what happened? The Falcons traded up from #45 and made a deal with the Rams for #31. The compensation? A third round pick (#79).

Los Angeles, within the division, dropped down 14 spots and got a precious third round pick in this class. The Seahawks traded down from #21 to #37 and collected fourth round picks.

That had to be frustrating and possibly could be a reason why they looked relatively frustrated afterwards. If the aim was to turn #21 and #29 into multiple day two picks, they only have two.

So it might not be about the players they missed out on in round one. Instead, it might be about the players they know they’re going to miss out on today because they don’t have the stock.

Another possibility is they were torn on whether to take N’Keal Harry at #30 or trade down and then the Patriots took him at #32. I’m not convinced by this. If they loved him so much, they would’ve drafted him. They didn’t exactly get a haul from the Giants to move down to #37. There was plenty of buzz about Arizona wanting Harry at #33. They knew what they were doing.

And that’s what you’ve got to remember here. They chose to trade down. They do it every year. Do you honestly think if there was a player they ‘had to have’ they’d be moving back for round four picks then sulking in the press conference?

No — I think there was some mild dejection that their aims for trading down didn’t pay off. They have fourth round picks and wanted third round picks.

Will they trade up in round three?

In 2015 they gave up fourth, fifth and sixth round picks to move up from #95 to #69 to select Tyler Lockett.

Could the same happen again this year? Very possible.

It all depends on who’s available of course. Yet with 12 picks in 2020 and now nine in total this year, they have the ammunition to be aggressive if a ‘must have’ player rests at the top of round three.

A statement on the rest of this draft for Seattle

They’ve got their Michael Bennett. Now it’s time to find Cliff Avril.

Avril famously ran a 1.50 10-yard split. Of the remaining players in the draft, Ben Banogu (1.56), Chase Winovich (1.57) and Jamal Davis (1.58) ran 1.5 splits. D’Andre Walker and Christian Miller didn’t run. Maxx Crosby ran a 1.60.

Here are the pressure percentages for some of the remaining players:

Anthony Nelson — 23.5%
Oshane Ximines — 23.5%
Jaylon Ferguson — 23.4%
Joe Jackson — 21.7%
Chase Winovich — 21.7%
Jachai Polite — 18.4%
Sutton Smith — 17.6%
Zach Allen — 17.1%
Justin Hollins — 16.8%
Ben Banogu — 15.5%
Jalen Jelks — 12.3%
Greg Gaines — 12.2%
Dre’Mont Jones — 11.4%

Reviewing the tier list

I was very happy with the structure of the three tier target list posted before round one. I wanted to streamline the groups and zone in on specific prospects.

Let’s review what happened…

Tier one

Possible targets at #21 if they remain:

Rashan Gary (DE, Michigan) — drafted by Green Bay at #12
Brian Burns (EDGE, Florida State) — drafted by Carolina at #16
Montez Sweat (EDGE, Mississippi State) — drafted by Washington at #26

Gary and Burns didn’t last into range and while Sweat did — clearly teams were spooked by the medical concerns regarding his enlarged heart. It’s possible he wasn’t even on Seattle’s board as a consequence.

Tier two

Possible targets at #29:

N’Keal Harry (WR, Arizona State) — drafted by New England at #32
Terry McLaurin (WR, Ohio State)
Parris Campbell (WR, Ohio State)
Darnell Savage (S, Maryland) — drafted by Green Bay at #21
Jaylon Ferguson (DE, Louisiana Tech)
L.J. Collier (DE, TCU) — drafted by Seattle at #29
Byron Murphy (CB, Washington) — reportedly set to be taken by Arizona at #33

The Seahawks drafted one of the players we considered at the end of round one (L.J. Collier) while Savage and Harry also left the board between Seattle’s pick at #21 and the end of day one. The two remaining receivers are strong options at #37. Jaylon Ferguson might be too similar to Collier to consider but we’ll see. His pressure percentage (23.4%) was fantastic and he was a sack machine at Louisiana Tech.

Players remaining from tier three

Possible targets if they trade down into round two:

Ben Banogu (EDGE, TCU)
Trysten Hill (DT, UCF)
Jerry Tillery (DT, Notre Dame) — drafted by LA Chargers at #28
Chase Winovich (EDGE, Michigan)
Juan Thornhill (S, Virginia)
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson (S, Florida)
Lonnie Johnson (CB, Kentucky)
Sean Bunting (CB, Central Michigan)
Justin Layne (CB, Michigan State)
Isaiah Johnson (CB, Houston)
Dawson Knox (TE, Ole Miss)
Oshane Ximines (EDGE, Old Dominion)

I didn’t think the Seahawks would consider Jerry Tillery in round one. Second round? Possibly. I don’t buy into the theories that Seattle wanted Tillery at #29. The rest of the names here could have some appeal. The cornerbacks won’t last to round three so how badly do the Seahawks want to add competition to the secondary? Will they look for a dynamic nickel hybrid? Do they want to compliment L.J. Collier with some speed? Chase Winovich and Ben Banogu would provide that. Plus Trysten Hill can be a game-wrecker at defensive tackle.

Other names to consider

Cody Ford (T, Oklahoma)
It was bizarre to see Ford dropping out of round one. Is there an injury concern? He has the size and attitude to fit at left guard for Seattle. I’m not sure they want to replace Mike Iupati with a high pick but Ford has value.

D.K. Metcalf (WR, Ole Miss)
I deliberately left Metcalf about of my initial tier list. I think he’s a one-trick pony (go routes) and his neck injury has to be a concern. However, at some point someone is going to take a shot on 4.33 speed at 6-3 and 228lbs and I can’t rule out Seattle.

D’Andre Walker (EDGE, Georgia)
It’s a tantalising prospect to pair one BAMF at defensive end in Collier with another. Walker’s tough and physical and mixes things up. Let’s see how long he lasts on day two. He took a VMAC visit to Seattle.

Erik McCoy (C, Texas A&M)
This is about pure value rather than need. McCoy is the only center who had a good game against Quinnen Williams in 2018. He also performed well against Clemson’s top-20 front. I have no idea whether the Seahawks would make a left-field pick like this but for me, McCoy is destined for a long career in the NFL.

Possible round three targets

Drew Sample (TE, Washington)
Jace Sternberger (TE, Texas A&M)
Kahale Warring (TE, San Diego State)
Josh Oliver (TE, San Diego State)
Mecole Hardman (WR, Georgia)
Emmanuel Hall (WR, Missouri)
Christian Miller (EDGE, Alabama)
Amani Hooker (S, Iowa)
Yodny Cajuste (T, West Virginia)
Dru Samia (G, Oklahoma)
Marvell Tell (S, USC)
Lamont Gaillard (OL, Georgia)

Final thoughts ahead of day two

The strongest looking positions at the top of round two appear to be receiver, cornerback and offensive line.

It’s going to be very tempting to continue drafting for defense. Trysten Hill would be the kind of interior rusher to compliment L.J. Collier working the edge. They might want to double down on EDGE rushers by taking Jaylon Ferguson or Chase Winovich (although they might be prepared to wait on this position with some athletic prospects set to last beyond round two). It seems very likely that at some point they’ll add a quicker, faster EDGE.

They might not take cornerbacks early but there are some fine options here — highlighted by Lonnie Johnson, Justin Layne, Isaiah Johnson and Sean Bunting. They could also seek to add a hybrid like Chauncey Gardner-Johnson or Juan Thornhill. The wildcard could be Dawson Knox the tight end.

Don’t rule out a situation where the Seahawks move down from #37 and then up from #92 today.

Draft board

#29 (R1) L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
#37 (R2)
#92 (R3)
#114 (R4)
#118 (R4)
#124 (R4)
#132 (R4)
#142 (R5)
#159 (R5)

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Seahawks fans should love their teams first round pick.

I suspect some won’t because he’s not a ‘big name’. People will say they could’ve had Montez Sweat at #21.

Here’s a statistic to pay attention to….

2018 pressure percentages:

Montez Sweat — 20.2%
Brian Burns — 19.7%
L.J. Collier — 19.2%

Granted, Collier doesn’t have the extreme length and speed of Sweat or Burns. What he does have is a complete pass rush repertoire, extreme power and an ability to win in multiple ways.

Now let’s compare overall pressures:

Josh Allen — 57
Clelin Ferrell — 56
L.J. Collier — 54
Chase Winovich — 53
Montez Sweat — 48

Clearly the numbers prove he was right up there with the best pass rushers in this draft based on production.

How does he win? He’s highly explosive — scoring a 3.20 in TEF. He has a +82 inch wingspan and 34-inch arms. His technique is on point. He can bull rush, crash the edge, stunt inside, engage and then use his heavy hands to push/pull and he can bend the arc and straighten to the QB.

Hand-usage is so vital in the NFL for pass rushers. You’re going to need to engage linemen, not simply sprint past them like a lot of these college speed rushers are allowed to do. You need to win 1v1 battles. Collier does that.

Don’t believe me? Here’s Brian Baldinger:

.@TCUFootball @ljcollier91 plays far better than he tested in Indy. He has as much power off the edge as any rusher in this draft. Keep the analytics professors away from this player. #BaldysBreakdowns pic.twitter.com/ajZVRkZtFk

— Brian Baldinger (@BaldyNFL) April 22, 2019

Earlier today I posted my tier lists for the early picks and listed L.J. Collier among the top targets. Here’s what I wrote in the blurb:

L.J. Collier is one of my favourite players in the draft. I wish he tested better but here’s the facts — he’s a bad ass who wins with power, hand-use, speed, stunts and setting up blockers.

Collier dominated at the Senior Bowl and really emerged on our radar after Mobile. Here’s an article I wrote about him in March.

He’s also had to fight and work to get to this point in his career. Collier had one recruiting offer in High School — Texas Tech — and it was pulled. He eventually landed at TCU. He’s turned himself into a force.

For so long people complained about the Seahawks ‘overthinking’ and relying on athleticism for their picks. In Collier, they’ve taken someone who didn’t have an amazing combine. He just worked his tail off to be a success, is incredibly tough and physical and has excellent production.

Would he have been available later? He was always a top-50 pick. I had him going to Jacksonville at #38 in my second round projection. They needed a defensive end and they got their guy at #29.

For me this is an attempt to replace Michael Bennett. I’ve seen some suggesting it’s a replacement pick for Rasheem Green. They’re very different players — in terms of profile and size. Collier will demand attention at one end, will play stout against the run and get after the quarterback. The key now is to provide a quicker compliment on the other side.

This was a great start to Seattle’s 2019 draft. Here’s a recap on the headlines:

— The Seahawks trade down with the Packers, moving from #21 to #30
— They acquired two fourth round picks from Green Bay (#114, #118)
— They spent the #29 pick on TCU defensive end L.J. Collier
— Pick #30 was traded to the New York Giants for #132 & #142
— They now possess nine total picks

They now own nine picks in total:

#29 (R1) L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
#37 (R2)
#92 (R3)
#114 (R4)
#118 (R4)
#124 (R4)
#132 (R4)
#142 (R5)
#159 (R5)

The Seahawks control rounds four and five. The #37 pick is in a good range. With this deep defensive draft and some decent options at receiver and tight end — they have some great options for Friday and Saturday.

What will they do next? A run on receivers could start now that N’Keal Harry has been taken with the #32 pick. Seattle could consider Terry McLaurin or Parris Campbell. Do they look at D.K. Metcalf too? Tight end is an alternative (Dawson Knox) and there are good offensive linemen still on the board (Cody Ford).

The big strength remains on defense though. Only one of the cornerbacks went in round one. Is this the year for the Seahawks to consider a Lonnie Johnson, Justin Layne, Isaiah Johnson or Sean Bunting in round two? Do they focus on the nickel/safety hybrids like Juan Thornhill and Chauncey Gardner-Johnson? Byron Murphy is still available as is Jaylon Ferguson, Chase Winovich and Trysten Hill.

A new podcast will be available shortly. Join us again tomorrow for another live blog, more reaction and I’ll update the tier list before the start of round two.

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Headlines

— The Seahawks trade down with the Packers, moving from #21 to #30
— They acquired two fourth round picks from Green Bay (#114, #118)
— They spent the #29 pick on TCU defensive end L.J. Collier
— Pick #30 was traded to the New York Giants for #132 & #142
— They now possess nine total picks

Welcome to the live blog, I’ll be posting thoughts on every pick as they come in. After the first round I’ll write a review and we’ll be recording a podcast.

Join in via the comments section but please — no tipping picks.

#1 Arizona — Kyler Murray (QB, Oklahoma)
On January 3rd I wrote an article saying the Cardinals should take Kyler Murray first overall. He’s the most talented player in the draft. He has the same magic as Patrick Mahomes. The Cardinals needed to make the most of this pick and I believe they did. Now they need to try and get value for Josh Rosen.

#2 San Francisco — Nick Bosa (DE, Ohio State)
What makes Nick Bosa ‘special’? Simple. He’s 266lbs and ran a 4.14 short shuttle. That’s incredible agility to work the edge and it shows. Some players just look better than everyone else in college. Nick Bosa fits that category. He’s a complete defensive end and the NFC West just got a lot better with Bosa and Kyler Murray.

#3 New York Jets — Quinnen Williams (DT, Alabama)
It feels like a long time ago now but Williams absolutely destroyed the SEC in 2018. He was a one-man show some weeks. He was an absolute terror against LSU — a game where it’s often difficult to stand out with both teams grinding through running plays. He battered Elgton Jenkins at Mississippi State.

#4 Oakland — Clelin Ferrell (DE, Clemson)
Well, I had the Raiders trading up to get Ferrell in my mock. I didn’t anticipate they’d make this call here. However — here are some things to remember. Going into the year a lot of people, myself included, considered Ferrell a possible top-five pick. They want tone-setters and leaders. That’s Ferrell. He’s an alpha.

#5 Tampa Bay — Devin White (LB, LSU)
He was recruited to be the next Leonard Fournette at running back. He ended up at linebacker and there are three key points to his game. First — he’s a natural leader. Second — he runs a 4.42. Third — he sets a tone and is highly physical.

#6 New York Giants — Daniel Jones (QB, Duke)
Like most other people I mocked Daniel Jones to the Giants albeit at #17. If you identify a quarterback and have the conviction that he’s great — take the guy. Jones is athletic and has functional skills. Is anything outstanding about his game? Not yet.

#7 Jacksonville — Josh Allen (EDGE, Kentucky)
There are things to really like about Allen. His pressure percentage of 29.1% was by far the best in college football in 2018 (the next best mark was 23.5%). He’s an intelligent pass rusher who sets up blockers. He also had some rough games where he was targeted in the run game or handled by tight ends.

#8 Detroit — T.J. Hockenson (TE, Iowa)
This is an outstanding pick. Hockenson’s going to play a long time in the league. He’s a sensational blocker, he makes big plays in the passing game and he dominates against safety’s and linebackers at the second level. This was a no-brainer for Detroit. Exceptional choice.

#9 Buffalo — Ed Oliver (DT, Houston)
He’s fast, explosive and he plays with great effort. Here’s the issue. He has 31 3/4 inch arms and he’s 6-2 and 287lbs. Where do you play him? He could get smothered inside. He lacks the length for DE and the Bills are an orthodox 4-3 so he’s not a five-technique. Love the quickness but this carries some risk. He only had a pressure percentage of 9.6%.

#10 Pittsburgh (via Denver) — Devin Bush (LB, Michigan)
The Steelers trade up from #20 to #10, giving up a second round pick (#52) and a 2020 third rounder. I had the Broncos trading down to #23 in my mock. Bush runs and hits with incredible intensity. This is a classic AFC North pick. He runs a 4.43 and will replace Ryan Shazier who they miss so much.

#11 Cincinnati — Jonah Williams (T, Alabama)
I think he’s overrated. He’s a marginal athlete and his best position might be center (they took a center in round one a year ago). Williams has a fantastic attitude, approach and he’s A-star in terms of character. It’s tough playing O-line at the next level though if you lack power, length and agility. He ran an 8.01 short shuttle and a 4.79 short shuttle.

#12 Green Bay — Rashan Gary (DE, Michigan)
So much for Gary lasting to the Seahawks at #21. There’s been far too much negativity about him recently. It’s funny how some guys just get targeted like that. Jim Harbaugh loved him. He has Jadeveon Clowney-level athleticism. He’s a superb fit at DE in Green Bay’s scheme. He ran a 4.58 at 277lbs.

#13 Miami — Christian Wilkins (DT, Clemson)
This is a quality pick for the Dolphins. They are rebuilding in the trenches. They need to shift the culture in Miami. They need new leaders, people who set a tone. That’s Wilkins. High character, infectious and he plays his tail off. Impact player.

#14 Atlanta — Chris Lindstrom (G, Boston College)
This was rumoured earlier in the day. It had been reported that some teams ended up grading Lindstrom in the top-20. Clearly Atlanta was one of them. He’s very athletic and ran a good forty (4.91) and short shuttle (4.54). He might need to get stronger though to maul and grind at guard.

#15 Washington — Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State)
This was gathering steam this week. The Redskins can’t cut Alex Smith this season or next. They’re tied to his enormous contract. Therefore they were handcuffed to go and acquire a cheap quarterback. Drafting one was inevitable. I’m wary of Haskins. He’s a one year wonder playing in an offense that is always kind to quarterbacks.

#16 Carolina — Brian Burns (EDGE, Florida State)
There are extreme positives and negatives with Burns. He has fantastic athleticism, speed and quickness. He has great length. He had a pressure percentage of 19.7% in 2018. However, he played at about 228lbs last year. Can he keep weight on? Can he play the run? Can he convert speed-to-power or is he just a speed guy?

#17 New York Giants — Dexter Lawrence (DT, Clemson)
Lawrence, like Rashan Gary, got a lot of unnecessary criticism. Maybe it’s because they were the #1 and #2 national recruits and expectations went overboard? He had 33 pressures in 2018 — one fewer than Jeffery Simmons and seven more than Ed Oliver. He can rush, he’s an incredible athlete for his size and he’s stout. Great pick.

#18 Minnesota — Garrett Bradbury (C, NC State)
Pat Elflein was a weak link last year. Bradbury has incredible hips and he can twist his body to make reach blocks like very few interior O-liners. This stood out so much at the combine — I don’t think I’ve ever seen a lineman with hips like Bradbury showed that day. It’s a solid pick and makes sense based on their needs.

#19 Tennessee — Jeffery Simmons (DT, Mississippi State)
Some believe Simmons was the best player in the draft and it’s a compelling argument. He has a frame similar to Ndamukong Suh. He’s all muscle at +300lbs. He handles double teams with ease and flashed great pass rushing ability against Iowa in the Bowl game. He dropped because he tore his ACL during combine training.

#20 Denver (via Pittsburgh) — Noah Fant (TE, Iowa)
The Broncos were after a tight end. They traded down ten spots and get the second one off the board. Will Denver move back into the first round to get Drew Lock later on? If so, #29 could be an option for them. The Seahawks dealt with the Broncos on the Paxton Lynch trade. Fant is big, fast and highly athletic.

#21 Green Bay (via Seattle) — Darnell Savage (S, Maryland)
For the second year in a row, the Seahawks trade down with the Packers. Seattle moves from #21 to #30 — so they now own back-to-back picks at the end of the first. In return they get two fourth round picks (#114 & #118). They now have seven picks. The Packers are spending all their high draft stock on defense under their new GM. I really hope Seattle mimics that approach give the current state of the roster. Savage ran a 4.36 and you can’t teach speed.

#22 Philadelphia (via Baltimore) — Andre Dillard (T, Washington State)
The Eagles trade up from #25 and give the Ravens a fourth and sixth round pick. Andre Dillard ran an absurd 4.40 short shuttle at 315lbs and ran a 4.96. He’s the best pass-protecting lineman in the draft. The Eagles secure their tackle position for the long haul with Jason Peters now aged 37. This is good value for Dillard.

#23 Houston — Tytus Howard (T, Alabama State)
A lot of people liked Howard. Tony Pauline raved about him at the Senior Bowl. He did have that one rep against Montez Sweat that didn’t go well. The Texans needed to draft an offensive tackle. Bob McGinn noted in his mock draft that Jawaan Taylor has a knee issue.

#24 Oakland — Josh Jacobs (RB, Alabama)
Marshawn Lynch retired this week and set the stall for this pick here. Undoubtedly Jacobs emerged in 2018 and had some really fun plays. However — he didn’t have a great pro-day and you have to question his upside. He had 120 carries last season and that was by far his biggest tally.

#25 Baltimore (via Philadelphia) — Marquise Brown (WR, Oklahoma)
Antonio Brown’s cousin lands in the AFC North. The Ravens needed a receiver or an offensive lineman. Brown had a fantastic season in 2018. Yes he benefited from playing with the #1 pick on a loaded roster but he just gets open and makes big catches. Lamar Jackson can get it downfield.

#26 Washington (via Indianapolis) — Montez Sweat (EDGE, Miss. State)
The Redskins took Dwayne Haskins and then gave up their second round pick in 2020 to move up from #46. Chris Ballard now has three second round picks. He gets it. There were concerns about a heart condition. His 4.41 forty at 260lbs was incredible and he has 35 3/4 inch arms.

#27 Oakland — Johnathan Abram (S, Mississippi State)
Oakland’s draft was all about setting a tone, finding intense alpha males and that’s what they’ve added. Three physical players with leadership quality. They’re trying to build a tough group. The worst thing a team can do is not have a clear plan. The Raiders have that in this draft.

#28 Los Angeles Chargers — Jerry Tillery (DT, Notre Dame)
Recruited as a left tackle, Tillery’s physical profile is highly impressive. He’s 6-6 and 295lbs but still ran a 4.44 short shuttle. He had a weird game against USC where he kicked one player in the head and stamped on another’s ankle as both lay on the turf. Had a pressure percentage of 12.2%.

#29 Seattle — L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
The Seahawks trolled the first round by using their back-to-back picks to essentially create a 20-minute on-the-clock window. They used pick #29 and traded pick #30. L.J. Collier is a beast. As I wrote earlier today, he wins with speed, speed-to-power, bull-rush, engage/disengage. He’s one of my favourite players in the draft and it’s a great pick. His pressure percentage was a high 19.2% in 2018.

#30 New York Giants (via Seattle) — De’Andre Baker (CB, Georgia)
The Seahawks traded down from #30 to #37 and gained a fourth (#132) and fifth (#142) round pick. Baker had a weird off-season and reportedly didn’t take combine training seriously. The Seahawks have done what we expected and traded down aggressively.

#31 Atlanta (via LA Rams) — Kaleb McGary (T, Washington)
The Falcons double down with the O-line and pair Chris Lindstrom with Kaleb McGary in round one. McGary is a tough physical, punishing tackle. He’ll give up some pressures but he’s very athletic and you’ve got to admire the commitment to the O-line.

#32 New England — N’Keal Harry (WR, Arizona State)
Harry believed he wouldn’t get by pick #33 and that proved to be correct. He’s a smart, intelligent personality with great YAC ability. Many believed he would be on Seattle’s radar.

That’s it for round one. Thoughts on the way shortly. I’m also just about to record a podcast with Brandon Schulze so stay tuned.

#29 (R1) L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
#30 (R1)
#92 (R3)
#114 (R4)
#118 (R4)
#124 (R4)
#132 (R4)
#142 (R5)
#159 (R5)

A prediction on what will happen over the next three days

The Seahawks will trade down multiple times. They might trade both #21 and #29. The key to a successful draft this year is to get what you can in rounds 2-3. That’s the strong area of this class with the best value. Can they pick 4-5 times on day two? That’s the way to control this draft.

The Seahawks should get some good offers

Baltimore at #22 need O-line and receiver help. So do many of the teams in the 20’s and 30’s. The Packers at #30 need weapons and have been linked to the quarterbacks. Other teams will want to secure the fifth year option at the end of round one. The Seahawks couldn’t be better placed to receive trade interest.

They will get their guys

They always do. Last year they had their pick of the running backs and took a player at #27 who most expected to be solidly in round two. Forget the consensus. Focus on what they look for in players and individuals. Don’t be surprised if, after the first two days of the draft, Seattle ignores the big names, moves around and then takes players who simply ‘fit’.

What do I want to happen?

Defense, defense, defense.

I can live without a high pick at receiver and the eternal complaining that will happen when he doesn’t get enough targets. In 2018 they re-established their identity. They ran the ball, used play-action and wanted to keep things tight.

They also need to play great defense for this work. So build up the unit. Get more speed. Defend the run better. Rush the passer. Get some playmakers. This is a strong defensive draft so focus on the defense.

Will the Seahawks take a defensive back early?

Practically every mock I’ve read in the last 24 hours has the Seahawks taking a DB with one of their first two picks. See for yourself:

Lonnie Johnson at #29
Greedy Williams at #21
Byron Murphy at #29
Johnathan Abram at #29
Justin Layne at #29

We’ve seen this in the past and often it’s people outside of the Seahawks bubble not really understanding that Carroll and Schneider prefer to draft defensive backs later.

That said, there have been a few whispers that the Seahawks might buck a trend. Brock Huard mused a few weeks ago that this ‘could’ be the year they think about a cornerback early. Meanwhile, Eric Galko connected the Seahawks to interest in Byron Murphy not so long ago and he continued to make that link in his final mock draft.

The tier list

I’ve been really strict with this. I didn’t want to just list half the draft and not provide any real value.

Tier one

These are the players I think they might consider at #21 if they last that far.

Rashan Gary (DE, Michigan)
Montez Sweat (EDGE, Mississippi State)
Brian Burns (EDGE, Florida State)

I’ve only listed three names. I just don’t see many options that would dissuade them from moving back. Christian Wilkins and Dexter Lawrence will be long gone. I’m still not sold on them spending a first round pick on an injury redshirt like Jeffery Simmons. Supposedly there are some medical concerns about Clelin Ferrell. If these three names are off the board at #21 — it’s probably time to move down.

Why these three? Gary is a complete base-end with a sensational physical profile. Sweat’s 4.41 doesn’t get enough attention and his size/length is off the charts. Burns will always be a concern vs the run and his size is a question mark but his speed and pass rush percentage could be intriguing.

Tier two

These are the players I think they might consider at #29 or after trading back into the early second round.

N’Keal Harry (WR, Arizona State)
Terry McLaurin (WR, Ohio State)
Parris Campbell (WR, Ohio State)
Darnell Savage (S, Maryland)
Jaylon Ferguson (DE, Louisiana Tech)
L.J. Collier (DE, TCU)
Byron Murphy (CB, Washington)

These three receivers all fit based on athletic profile, maturity and a lack of ego. The Seahawks offense isn’t a high-target offense. It’s about maxing out your opportunities, being willing to block and function as a unit. These three are capable of doing that.

Darnell Savage is listed because 4.36 speed is 4.36 speed. You can’t coach that. It also helps he jumped a 39.5 inch vertical. That’s a special athletic profile that Carroll might want to get his hands on.

Jaylon Ferguson could be a base-end alternative to Rashan Gary. A lot has been said about Ferguson’s pro-day. Here’s a reminder that not everyone thought it was a disaster. L.J. Collier is one of my favourite players in the draft. I wish he tested better but here’s the facts — he’s a bad ass who wins with power, hand-use, speed, stunts and setting up blockers. Both he and Ferguson excelled in pressure percentage.

I added Byron Murphy because I think it should at least be a consideration that the Seahawks might want the best cornerback in the draft to play as a nickel hybrid.

Tier three

In my mock yesterday I had the Seahawks moving from #29 to #41 in a trade with the Broncos. Here are some of the prospects I think they might consider in that range or later.

Ben Banogu (EDGE, TCU)
Trysten Hill (DT, UCF)
Jerry Tillery (DT, Notre Dame)
Chase Winovich (EDGE, Michigan)
Juan Thornhill (S, Virginia)
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson (S, Florida)
Lonnie Johnson (CB, Kentucky)
Sean Bunting (CB, Central Michigan)
Justin Layne (CB, Michigan State)
Isaiah Johnson (CB, Houston)
Dawson Knox (TE, Ole Miss)
Oshane Ximines (EDGE, Old Dominion)

Ben Banogu is more athlete than football player and he’ll need major work to develop into an effective NFL pass rusher. However, he has the kind of profile they want and they’ve never been afraid to coach up traits. Trysten Hill and Jerry Tillery are both excellent athletes.

Juan Thornhill is a bit overrated to me. You’ve got to love the six interceptions and his fantastic combine. His tape was still a bit underwhelming. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson plays with a spark. He had 9.5 TFL’s from the nickel position in 2018 and he competes to shed blocks and make plays.

Chase Winovich is one of the hardest players to project this year. His passion for the game is unmatched. He ran an incredible short shuttle of 4.11, ran an elite 1.5 10-yard split and a 4.59 forty. His pressure percentage is excellent. Yet he had a mediocre broad jump and he lacks ideal length. For all of these reasons I think he’s best suited to a pure 3-4 scheme playing in space.

I’m intrigued by the sheer numbers of ‘Seahawks style’ cornerbacks in this draft. The four names listed here are all expected to go in rounds 2-3. They’re all long, physical and explosive. Anyone who’s spent any time following the Carroll Seahawks knows they don’t draft cornerbacks early. However — we’re talking about four quality corners here. They won’t last. It needs to be seen to be believed but I’m putting their names on the list just in case.

Dawson Knox has been steadily rising this off-season. Why is he a fit for the Seahawks? He blocks, he never complained about a lack of targets at Ole Miss and he ran a sub-7.10 three cone (which seemingly matters in Seattle).

Oshane Ximines had the second best pass rush percentage in college football (24.5%) in 2018. He’s a high character, passionate football player who could take a physical step forward in a pro-setup. If they don’t get an EDGE early and others leave the board quickly, he could be an alternative.

Tomorrow I’ll publish a new tier list based on the prospects still available looking at day two possibilities.

We’re planning to record a podcast after the first round but if this doesn’t happen — I’ll seriously consider hosting a Google Hangout to offer some further thoughts.

I’ll also be live blogging throughout the first round and I hope you’ll join in with your comments.

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This is my final 2019 mock draft to send to the Huddle Report for scoring. Here’s a few quick thoughts before getting into it…

There’s absolutely no doubt what the Seahawks have to do in this draft. They need more picks (five isn’t enough) and they need defensive linemen. We can sit here and discuss receivers just in case Doug Baldwin calls it a day or the defensive backs who can play nickel and maybe push Delano Hill out of a warranted starting gig. The simple fact is — Seattle’s starting D-line, now minus Frank Clark, is inadequate.

Cassius Marsh, Nate Orchard and Jacob Martin are your edge rushers. They haven’t replaced Shamar Stephen or Dion Jordan. Now they need to replace Clark too. They can sign a few veterans after the draft, sure. But none are long-term solutions.

When this team was at it’s best they had the Legion of Boom and Russell Wilson. They also had Michael Bennett, Cliff Avril and Chris Clemons rushing the passer, ably supported by Bruce Irvin. Eventually Clark replaced Clemons.

Now what have they got?

This is a defensive line draft. If there was ever a year to load up on the D-line, this is it. Swapping out Clark for a cheap rookie and hoping Jacob Martin and Rasheem Green take a step forward isn’t enough to progress in 2019.

So while receiver and defensive back are both needs — they both pale into insignificance compared to the defensive line.

Pass rush, run defense, depth, quality.

This historic D-line class provides an opportunity to emulate the impact additions of Avril and Bennett in 2013.

And on that note — here’s my projection…

Final 2019 mock draft

#1 Arizona — Kyler Murray (QB, Oklahoma)

#2 San Francisco — Nick Bosa (DE, Ohio State)
#3 New York Jets — Ed Oliver (DT, Houston)
#4 Oakland — Quinnen Williams (DT, Alabama)
#5 Tampa Bay — Devin White (LB, LSU)

#6 New York Giants — Josh Allen (EDGE, Kentucky)

#7 Jacksonville — T.J. Hockenson (TE, Iowa)
#8 Atlanta (via DET) — Christian Wilkins (DT, Clemson)
#9 Buffalo — Jonah Williams (T, Alabama)
#10 Houston (via DEN) — Andre Dillard (T, Washington State)
#11 Cincinnati — Devin Bush (LB, Michigan)
#12 Green Bay — Jawaan Taylor (T, Florida)
#13 Miami — Dexter Lawrence (DT, Clemson)
#14 Detroit (via ATL) — Cody Ford (T, Oklahoma)
#15 Washington — Dwayne Haskins (QB, Ohio State)
#16 Carolina — Brian Burns (EDGE, Florida State)
#17 New York Giants — Daniel Jones (QB, Duke)
#18 Oakland (via MIN) — Clelin Ferrell (DE, Clemson)
#19 Tennessee — Noah Fant (TE, Iowa)
#20 Pittsburgh — Greedy Williams (CB, LSU)
#21 Seattle — Rashan Gary (DE, Michigan)
#22 Baltimore — Garrett Bradbury (C, NC State)
#23 Denver (via HOU) — Drew Lock (QB, Missouri)
#24 Minnesota (via OAK) — Chris Lindstrom (G, Boston College)
#25 Philadelphia — Jeffery Simmons (DT, Mississippi State)
#26 Indianapolis — Montez Sweat (EDGE, Mississippi State)
#27 Oakland (via DAL) — Byron Murphy (CB, Washington)
#28 LA Chargers — Rock Ya-Sin (CB, Temple)
#29 Denver (via SEA) — Irv Smith JR (TE, Alabama)
#30 Green Bay — Marquise Brown (WR, Oklahoma)
#31 LA Rams — Erik McCoy (C, Texas A&M)
#32 New England — Kaleb McGary (T, Washington)

The trades explained

Atlanta trades #14, #80 & #118 to Detroit for #8
The Falcons want to get an impact defensive lineman and sit behind too many teams with a similar need (Buffalo, Green Bay, Miami). With four and fifth round comp picks padding out their draft, they give up a third and fourth round pick to move up eight spots to get Christian Wilkins. The Lions are reportedly keen to trade down from #8.

Houston trades #23, #54 & #87 to Denver for #10 & #125
The Texans will never be able to function properly unless they can protect Deshaun Watson. An early run on offensive linemen is expected. Houston has two second round picks so they give up one here to trade up and select Andre Dillard to play left tackle. The Broncos also get Houston’s third rounder and the Texans receive Denver’s fourth rounder.

Oakland trades #24, #107 & a 2020 third rounder to Minnesota for #18
The Raiders are trying to change their culture and bring in leaders. I almost gave them Devin White at #4 to illustrate that. They also need a defensive end badly. Here they trade up to get an alpha who will set the tone for the rest of the defense. The Raiders go up and get Clelin Ferrell.

Denver trades #42, #87 & #183 to Seattle for #29
The Seahawks and Broncos have been trade partners in the past. Denver needs a tight end and they leapfrog Green Bay here to make sure they get one. Having traded down from #10 to #23 originally the Broncos have some stock to spend. In return the Seahawks collect another third round pick and a sixth round pick to fill out their board and take their total to seven.

Options for the Seahawks in round two

If they drop down from #29 to #41 it’s possible they’ll miss the run on receivers. It’s also likely at least one of Darnell Savage and Juan Thornhill will be off the board (keep an eye on San Francisco). If N’Keal Harry, Terry McLaurin, Parris Campbell, Savage or Thornhill are available they could all be options.

#41 would also be a range where you maybe consider outside corner with Lonnie Johnson, Sean Bunting and Justin Layne unlikely to be available after round two. If the Seahawks see a potential star among that group they could consider drafting a corner earlier than they ever have done before.

However, as discussed in the intro, one defensive line pick early isn’t enough for the Seahawks. They need to improve their pass rush and D-line depth. If they’re lucky enough to get Rashan Gary with their first pick they have their base-end. Now they need someone to replace Clark’s pass rushing ability.

If we look at pressure percentages, Jaylon Ferguson could be an option. I’m still sceptical Chase Winovich is a fit in Seattle but he too would also qualify. Tony Pauline has connected the Seahawks with second round interest in the ultra-raw Ben Banogu. Trysten Hill is an incredible athlete at defensive tackle and is expected to go in the top-60.

The Seahawks have a lot of options. If a player drops to #21 they now have the freedom to make a pick. If nobody drops — there’s a good chance they’ll trade down at that spot. They could trade down from both #21 and #29. The only unlikely scenario, in my opinion, is they use both #21 and #29. That would require a unique opportunity presenting itself — an opportunity I can’t really imagine. You could say Rashan Gary and Jeffery Simmons maybe. That might be too much of a health risk. Brock Huard said on 710 ESPN he didn’t think Simmons will be on Seattle’s board.

Seahawks seven round projection

R1 #21 Rashan Gary (DE, Michigan)
Incredible athlete, traits, #1 national recruit. Pete Carroll loves all of that.

R2 #41 Jaylon Ferguson (DE, Louisiana Tech)
A sack machine in college with one of the best pressure percentage scores.

R3 #87 Drew Sample (TE, Washington)
Compared to Zach Miller. Sample and Will Dissly are Seattle-style tight ends.

R3 #93 Marvell Tell (S, USC)
Try him at outside corner, nickel or safety. Tell has a fascinating physical profile.

R4 #125 Gary Jennings (WR, West Virginia)
If they don’t take a receiver early Jennings is an alternative.

R5 #160 Armon Watts (DT, Arkansas)
Tough, physical run-stopper with some pass-rush upside.

R6 #183 Derrek Thomas (CB, Baylor)
He looked like a Seahawks corner while running at the combine.

Final general draft thoughts

— I still think this will be one of the more unpredictable first rounds we’ve seen in a long time. With very few ‘legit’ first round picks and a puzzling quarterback class — a lot of different scenarios could play out. About 10-15 players are going to be drafted in round one with similar grades to the players being drafted in the second round. There’s always uncertainty and the unexpected but there could be far more this year.

— Adding to this is the complete mystery surrounding Rashan Gary, Montez Sweat and Jeffery Simmons. All three are highly talented but with very different health concerns. Where do they end up going?

— It’s also very important to think 12 months on. The next draft is expected to be particularly strong at wide receiver but weak on the offensive line. Teams will plan ahead. It could mean a large number of O-liners go in the first frame and the receivers are pushed into round two.

I’ll have some further thoughts before the draft tomorrow and will publish a tiered list of Seahawks targets for each section of the draft.

If you want to post your own mocks in the comments section feel free.

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#Seahawks Some names to consider following the Frank Clark trade:

Rashan Gary, Montez Sweat, Jeffery Simmons (depending on health)
Brian Burns, Jaylon Feguson, Chase Winovich (pressure %)
N’Keal Harry, Terry McLaurin, Parris Campbell (WR)
Juan Thornhill, Darnell Savage (DB)

— Rob Staton (@robstaton) April 23, 2019

1. Why did the Seahawks trade Frank Clark?

Because they clearly weren’t willing to make him the third highest paid defensive player in the league (behind Aaron Donald & Khalil Mack) and they received a great trade offer (a first and second round pick). Whether you agree with the deal or not — it’s hard to argue with their logic.

2. What kind of pass rusher will they try and draft?

Pete Carroll highlighted the importance of ‘pressure percentages’ recently. I couldn’t find data for the entire 2019 draft class but here’s what we were able to discover:

Josh Allen — 29.1%
Anthony Nelson — 23.5%
Oshane Ximines — 23.5%
Jaylon Ferguson — 23.4%
Joe Jackson — 21.7%
Chase Winovich — 21.7%
Montez Sweat — 20.2%
Brian Burns — 19.7%
L.J. Collier — 19.2%
Clelin Ferrell — 18.5%
Jachai Polite — 18.4%
Sutton Smith — 17.6%
Zach Allen — 17.1%
Justin Hollins — 16.8%
Quinnen Williams — 16.7%
Rashan Gary — 15.8%
Ben Banogu — 15.5%
Christian Wilkins — 14.0%
Jalen Jelks — 12.3%
Greg Gaines — 12.2%
Jerry Tillery — 12.2%
Dre’Mont Jones — 11.4%
Ed Oliver — 9.6%

If the Seahawks really are focused on pressure percentages, this is a list to study. While nobody is talking about Jaylon Ferguson much these days, his pressure percentage score would suggest he’s a possible target. The likes of Chase Winovich, Montez Sweat, Brian Burner, L.J. Collier and Clelin Ferrell scored well here too.

It’s also important to remember how much the Seahawks value traits and athleticism. They’ve drafted four defensive linemen in the first two rounds during the Carroll era — Bruce Irvin, Malik McDowell, Jarran Reed and Frank Clark.

Bruce Irvin
The best pass rusher in college football for two years, he ran a 1.55 10-yard split, a 6.70 three cone and a 4.03 short shuttle at 245lbs and was described as the ‘ideal LEO’.

Malik McDowell
He ran a 1.69 10-yard split, a 4.53 short shuttle and a 4.85 forty at 295lbs. McDowell was unique — capable of rushing the edge with speed/power one snap and then handling two blocks at nose tackle on the next.

Frank Clark
Clark ran an incredible 4.05 short shuttle at 271lbs. That’s the kind of time you’d expect from a small defensive back. He also jumped a 38.5 inch vertical. He’s a phenomenal athlete.

Reed is the only one of the quartet with unspectacular testing numbers. However, his ability to anchor vs the run was among the best we’ve seen from any defensive tackle entering the draft in recent history. They clearly saw some value in that.

Whichever defensive lineman they draft early, he’ll probably be a great athlete. That’s why I think Rashan Gary (if available) is a strong contender. He ran a 4.58 at 277lbs, jumped a 38-inch vertical and ran a 4.29 short shuttle. The Seahawks will always back themselves to bring out elite potential.

Gary isn’t the only one with a sensational athletic profile though and Montez Sweat and Jeffery Simmons both have a top-level of athleticism (although clearly that’s only a projection with Simmons given his injury has prevented him from working out). Brian Burns is also incredibly dynamic.

3. What type of defensive linemen do the Seahawks need?

I think ideally they come away with someone who can act as a base-end and play any down/distance plus someone with great athleticism and quickness to be more of a specialist rusher.

Adding a defensive tackle at some point would also be appealing.

They now have to replace three 2018 projected starters — Shamar Stephen, Frank Clark and Dion Jordan. They will sign some veteran free agents after the draft having protected their 2020 comp picks. The Seahawks could be major players at that stage because trading Clark just freed up $17m in cap space for 2019.

There are lots of combinations you could run through. Rashan Gary early then maybe one of Chase Winovich, Ben Banogu or Justin Hollins later. That would be your base-end and your high-upside type. If they took Montez Sweat early maybe you look at L.J. Collier, Anthony Nelson, Charles Omenihu or Keke Kinglsey later.

Or, as suggested earlier, you go for a draft steal reminiscent of the Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril free agency heist by drafting Rashan Gary and Jeffery Simmons.

There’s a lot of work to do on the D-line and it’ll take more than one high pick and a couple of veterans to fill the holes.

4. Trading down is still likely

The Seahawks still only have five picks. That’s not enough. It’s a nice thought to imagine landing two big-name players at #21 and #29. The bigger picture demands you collect more picks and fill out your roster. They need depth and competition.

The Clark trade simply opens up the possibility of using #21 if the right player is available. It’s still fairly possible the right player won’t be available and that the Seahawks will trade down. Even if they use #21 — that would simply put #29 in play for a trade back into round two.

A lot of fans won’t like this thought but the value of this draft class is day two. Turning #21 and #29 into multiple day-two picks could be the target and could be Seattle’s way of controlling the meaty area of the 2019 draft.

5. The Seahawks are well placed to trade down

Make no mistake — teams will want to get ahead of Baltimore at #22 and Green Bay at #30. The Ravens have big needs at receiver and the offensive line (as do several other teams in the 20’s and 30’s). The Packers are expected to try and draft a weapon for Aaron Rodgers and some believe they may even target a quarterback late in the first. There will almost certainly be offers for Seattle’s two first round picks.

6. Get your pass rushers early

In his pre-draft press conference yesterday, John Schneider commented that while it’s a great draft for defensive linemen, he expects a drop-off after round three.

Here’s something else to consider — according to Bob McGinn’s scouting sources, next years draft will be ‘the year of the receiver’.

Every draft is a puzzle. You’re trying to find positional value points. Do they decide it’s better to target (for example) Gary Jennings in round four at receiver and focus on the D-line early? Can they get a defensive back in round three (Marvell Tell, Amani Hooker)?

7. Could they trade for a veteran?

The Seahawks are currently projected to own 12 picks in 2020 including five in the first three rounds. The Chiefs traded Dee Ford to San Francisco for a 2020 second rounder. I can’t imagine who they might be interested in but would the Seahawks make a similar move? Would they trade a 2020 pick for an unwanted veteran elsewhere?

8. What are the other positions to consider early?

A run on receivers is going to start in the 20’s or 30’s. Last year the Seahawks kicked off a run on running backs by taking Rashaad Penny at #27. Will history repeat at a different position?

N’Keal Harry, Terry McLaurin and Parris Campbell all ‘fit’ the Seahawks. They value a combination of quickness, athleticism, grit and character.

You can’t play in Seattle’s offense if you expect 10 targets a game and to be the focal point of the offense. They need guys who understand the situation — you’ll not get monster stats. Tyler Lockett and Doug Baldwin are rare individuals. Either would be much more productive playing for other teams. You never ever hear them complain about it though.

Harry, McLaurin and Campbell fit that personality mould.

It also helps that Harry is productive as a downfield playmaker (22% scoring rate on deep passes), McLaurin loves to block, play special teams and he ran a 4.35 and Campbell ran a 4.31 and looks like a sturdier Percy Harvin.

Whether it’s at #29 or after a small trade down — acquiring an extra pick has put the Seahawks in a great position to land a receiver they really want.

They could also focus on the secondary. With Carroll having so much success coaching defensive backs they’re less inclined to spend high picks on this unit. However, there are a couple of sensational athletes in this class who could be of interest — Juan Thornhill and Darnell Savage. It helps both players collected turnovers in 2018.

They’re also very versatile and capable of playing nickel, ‘big nickel’ and safety.

There are other defensive backs you could mention. Byron Murphy is a class act but is he athletic enough? They met with Justin Layne and Sean Bunting but it’d be a turn up for the books if Seattle drafted an outside corner early.

One of the early picks will almost certainly go on a defensive lineman. Unless they double-dip, the strong money is on receiver and defensive back being their next two priorities.

9. Scouting quotes

Courtesy of Bob McGinn. Each quote is from a separate anonymous scout.

Montez Sweat

“I think it will be a pure judgment call for every medical staff… We’re meeting on it this week.”

“(Josh) Allen and Sweat are very similar guys… One-year big production guys. Long and lanky. Look the part. Are they Pro Bowl-caliber players? I don’t think so. They’re going to get drafted where Pro Bowl-caliber players get drafted. I like him, but he’s not Von Miller.”

“He’s a gangly athlete. He gets beat up at the point of attack. As a rusher, he’s not a fluid-moving guy. He wins with his length. Just kind of a one-trick pony. He’s scary. He does play hard. But his workout numbers and what you see on the field are two different things.”

“Inside stab. Inside move and he gets his arms under. He’s got such great arm length. I don’t like his person, but with that length and that speed he can develop if he’ll take coaching.”

Clelin Ferrell

“He’s one of my favorite players… His production is unbelievable. He knows how to play. He’s not an elite athlete but he maximizes everything he has.”

“He’s kind of that tweener pass rusher, those guys that look the part physically but just don’t have the twitch and the traits that make you a really good one… I don’t see where he wins consistently. He’s not going to win with his strength or power on the inside or bull rush and he’s not fast enough to consistently win on the outside. In college, they had those two first-round D-tackles that were taking up three interior (blockers) so he was blocked one-on-one a lot on the outside. I like him. He just doesn’t have that twitch.”

Brian Burns

“He’s got a basketball body… Has a legitimate chance to be one of those up-down guys. A rusher on third down and play as an off-the-ball linebacker. He can drop and cover. Ran like a scalded dog

“He’s better coming out as a pass rusher than Leonard Floyd… More productive. Got a more natural knack for it. You’re checking the pass-rush box with him. Somebody will probably take a chance. It might be late 1.”

“The weight obviously was manufactured for the combine… I think he plays in the 235 range. He’s just not that big of a guy. You’re going to get bounced around a lot if he’s 235, 240. He’s very nimble as a pass rusher. He’s got some bend to him. He’s got a nice spin move inside. He can work the edge. He’s a six, seven, eight sack guy.”

“Not very tough or physical… Weak against the run. He’s got to win with his get-off. After that he doesn’t have moves and isn’t strong. Doesn’t have finish. He’s an athlete, not a football player.”

Jaylon Ferguson

“He had 44 sacks, which is pretty impressive… You can’t have 44 sacks without having some skill. He’s fluid. He has a feel for it. If a guy’s overplaying him he comes underneath. A lot of them were when the quarterback was running around and he cleaned up and got him. He will have to work to be more of a complete player. At this point you’d look at him as a designated pass rusher. If you teach him to play the run better you might have a heck of a find.”

“Sacks translate… He doesn’t have the twitch to be a true DPR. He will have to be a guy that wins with power. He played LSU and Mississippi State this year and had like three, 3 ½ sacks in those games. He steps up when the competition steps up.”

Oshane Ximines

“I got a little bit intoxicated with his person… I think he’s going to will himself to win. He’s going to be a situational pass rusher. Not a good kid. Great kid.”

“He’s a yoked-up guy… He’s got some body armor. He has better play strength than weight-room strength even though he looks like he hasn’t missed a day in the weight room. I know he doesn’t have elite long speed but he has short-area quickness, agility and contact balance. At the Senior Bowl he looked great. He’s got a great motor. His sack production looks like it can translate because he has the tools to build a repertoire of moves and make them all work.”

Chase Winovich

“What a (bleep) wild horse rider guy he is. He is going to play 10 years in the NFL. I don’t give a (bleep) what anybody says. He must be in the huddle when they call the plays because he gets to the ball. Some 3-4 team might try him as a linebacker but I don’t see that in him. Forget all that height-weight-speed (bleep). Put on the film and see who makes the plays.”

“He’s kind of a big-time millennial guy… He really started to feel himself in the branding. Some of that stuff bothers me. But then he is a good football player. All the Michigan tape was Chase Winovich making plays.”

“He plays his butt off. He’s a complete player. He refuses not to be. He’s one of those guys that has the heart of a lion. His intensity is infectious.”

“He’s like a big, dumb puppy… He wants attention all the time. He could polarize teammates that way. The older guys will roll their eyes at him and the younger guys think he’s the man … he’s not super-gifted but he’s not a stiff, either. At pro day he did outside linebacker drills and looked really good. I think a 3-4 team will pick him higher than a 4-3 team.”

Rashan Gary

“He plays along the line on his feet, he’s explosive, he’s got twitch, he’s got a great get-off and lean… His skill level is in the top 5 to 10%. His production is in the top 40%. We see him as a 5-technique but he could be a 3-technique. With that speed he can play on the right side.”

“His whole life he has been the biggest, fastest person… With that you don’t have to strain and do the extras. I think that’s what happened to him. Everything was just so easy for him that he hasn’t incorporated that internal high motor to match his physical gifts. The production is not there… You see him anchor and toss people. You see him bull rush and stab guys. Then you don’t see it. He and Ed Oliver have a chance to bust. He’s just always been so much better than everyone else that he never had to try to kick your ass.”

“I wish I had him… When he’s visible, he’s visible.”

Jeffery Simmons

“He’s kind of a combination of (Dexter) Lawrence and (Christian) Wilkins… I have them Wilkins, Simmons and Lawrence. He has better athletic ability than Lawrence. He can play anywhere from 0- to 3-technique. He might even be a 5-technique. I don’t see him as a great anchor on the inside. Where Lawrence is more of a pure anchor I think Simmons is a good anchor that has better pass-rush ability.”

“He’s a pretty complete player if he can get back to healthy… He’s a tremendous kid. He had that one incident.”

N’Keal Harry

“He ran a lot better than he played… He’s got really good hands. He has a chance to be a No. 1 (WR). He’s not one to take the top off, and that’s what all the coaches want. They want a speed guy to run as deep as you can. He goes over the middle and runs slants. He’ll be a good player.”

“He’s a good possession receiver… He’ll be one of those 60 catch a year guys. Not a big red-zone threat. Not a big-time difference-maker. You’re still going to be looking for better.”

Terry McLaurin

“It’s hard to find receivers that play good on special teams. This guy does.”

“He is like the anti-wide receiver… Zero diva. He understands special teams, and that’s how you get on the field. It’s just his whole mindset. Some guys say that and it’s bull—-. This kid really gets it.”

“He’s sharp. He’s at a different level. He’s so far above most college players when it comes to how he presents himself. There’s no way you miss on this guy. I don’t know if he’ll ever be a Pro Bowler (at wide receiver) but he’s going to be a really dependable player for a long time. There’s no downside.”

Parris Campbell

“He is electric with the ball in his hands… He’s really fast, and he plays every bit of that when he’s got the ball. His hands are the least natural of the (top receivers) but he’s worked pretty hard to improve them. High character. Played the same position that Curtis Samuel played and Percy Harvin played for Urban (Meyer) in Florida. Kind of a hybrid receiver-running back. He’s going to need some work with routes to play a conventional wide receiver position but the guy’s a big-time playmaker. Golden Tate is a lot like him.”

“You’ve seen the run after the catch that you know will easily transfer to the league… At least you know he can do that really well. The way the game is played now with all this quick stuff, he fits right in.”

10. Predict some scenarios

The conservative prediction
#21 Rashan Gary (DE) or Montez Sweat (EDGE)
#29 Trade down and select a receiver or defensive back

The dominate day two prediction
#21 Trade down and select BPA at DL, WR or DB
#29 Trade down and select BPA at DL, WR or DB

The Hail Mary
#21 Rashan Gary (DE)
#29 Jeffery Simmons (DT)

Maize and Blue
#21 Rashan Gary
#29 Trade down and select Chase Winovich

Pressure percentages
#21 Montez Sweat (EDGE) or Brian Burns (EDGE)
#29 Trade down and select Jaylon Ferguson (DE)

Tomorrow I’ll be posting my final mock draft to be sent for Huddle Report scoring. I’ll consider doing some kind of video too — maybe a live Google Hangout.

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The Seahawks have agreed to trade Frank Clark to the Kansas City Chiefs. They’ve acquired the #29 pick and a 2020 second round pick. The two teams will also swap third round picks (#85 for #93).

Clark will now be the third highest paid defender in the league.

So what does this mean for Seattle?

1. They have to add pass rushers

The Seahawks just traded away one of the best young pass rushers in the league. He had 35 sacks in four years despite minimal playing time as a rookie. Clark doesn’t even turn 26 until June 14th.

Seattle’s pass rush in 2018 relied on Clark — even with better-than-expected production from Jarran Reed and rookie Jacob Martin.

They’ve gone from one extreme to another. They used to be able to rotate Clark with Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril. Now what are they left with?

Before this trade their #1 draft need was more pass rush. Now it’s an even greater need.

At least one of their high picks will be spent on a defensive lineman — and likely one that can contribute straight away.

Clearly the Seahawks didn’t want to pay Clark (or couldn’t afford to). The trade is understandable and they’ve done well to get the compensation they did. They’ve also created a big hole on the roster.

2. How does it change their draft strategy?

For starters they can consider using pick #21. Before this trade they had to trade down. They couldn’t pick only four times in this draft. Their only chance to generate stock was to move down from #21.

It’s still very likely they will trade down at some point. They now have five picks instead of four — that’s not enough (especially when you need to replace one of your best players). But if a top player drops to #21 (for example, Rashan Gary) they can make the pick knowing they can trade down from #29.

Alternatively they could trade down from both #21 or #29 and truly fill out their board. The strength of this draft is in rounds 2-3. They currently only have one pick in that range — #93. Generating multiple picks in rounds 2-3 could be a target rather than spending their two first round picks.

Whatever they decide, they have more options now. It’s just a shame they couldn’t convince the Chiefs to give up their 2019 second rounder to truly fill out their board.

3. Could they make a franchise-changing move?

In 2013 the Seahawks pulled off a heist by signing Michael Bennett and Cliff Avril to cheap free agent contracts.

Is there a draft equivalent this year?

Rashan Gary and Jeffery Simmons were once regarded as top-10 locks. Now there are questions about whether Gary needs shoulder surgery after the 2019 season and Simmons is recovering from a torn ACL. Adding both would carry an element of risk. It would be a rare opportunity, however, to add two exceptional talents (and at a cost-effective price).

It might be too much of a risk to take but it could, potentially, provide the building blocks for an elite defensive unit.

If they want a top defensive lineman they’ll have to consider taking a chance. There’s a reason why the Chiefs are giving up a haul and paying Frank Clark mega money. Clearly they didn’t believe there was a defensive lineman worth taking at #29 (or worth trading up a few spots for).

John Schneider yesterday said he felt there was a talent drop-off on the defensive line after round three. If the Seahawks want to add impact D-liners, they might have to do it early.

It doesn’t necessarily have to be Gary or Simmons either. Brian Burns could last to #21. Montez Sweat is expected to fall after it was revealed he has a heart condition. Clelin Ferrell could reach the 20’s. There are alternatives.

4. Having two high picks enables them to cover two big needs

At least one high pick will go on a defensive lineman. The two other big needs are receiver and defensive back. Realistically they can now add a pass rusher or defensive tackle then target N’Keal Harry, Terry McLaurin or Parris Campbell at receiver — or one of the many defensive backs they’ve met with recently (Juan Thornhill, Darnell Savage, Justin Layne, Sean Bunting etc).

5. They now have 12 picks in 2020

This is still a re-set for the Seahawks. While they intend to be competitive in 2019 (especially after paying Russell Wilson) — it’s still a process. With two high picks this year they can add impact or control day two via trades. Next year, with 12 picks including five in the first three rounds, that could be the draft to push the Seahawks closer to the top of the tree.

I will have some further thoughts on this subject later — possibly via Google Hangout, possibly via podcast or via a mock. So stay tuned.

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