This is a pretty interesting website. It calculates a physical profile for draft prospects called ‘SLA’ (Size, Length, Athleticism).
One of the issues with SPARQ is its inability to account for height and length. Teams generally have adapted their own analytics based off SPARQ. Given Seattle’s desire for uniqueness — it wouldn’t be a total shock if they paid attention to size specific rarity.
Why should we pay attention to this? Take K.J. Wright for example. He ran a 4.75 at the 2011 combine with a 32-inch vertical. These aren’t great numbers. His size and length however were very interesting (6-3, 246lbs, 35 inch arms).
I don’t know Wright’s ‘SLA’ score — but it could’ve helped us identify his unique traits without just looking at the forty yard dash or vertical jump etc.
While the Seahawks have generally identified the best athletes available — size and length if combined with grit also seems to appeal.
So who stands out? Here’s a positional breakdown based on ‘SLA’…
Offensive line
Germain Ifedi is ranked in the 98th percentile for NFL offensive linemen based on his SLA profile. It’s not a big surprise given his size (6-6, 324lbs), length (36 inch arms) and explosive athleticism (32.5 inch vertical). He’s the #1 ranked physical freak in this draft class on the O-line.
Also included in the top ten are Missouri’s Connor McGovern (#4), Ryan Kelly (#8), Alex Lewis (#9) and Graham Glasgow (#10). McGovern also tested very highly according to SPARQ and looks like a lock to be a Seahawks draft target. He has tackle experience but is likely a guard or center in Seattle. Kelly looked terrific at the combine — a truly underrated performer. His combination of size, physicality and mobility could get him into round one.
Lewis is a mid-round tackle project while Glasgow provides size, length and intensity at guard or center. Like McGovern he could be an interior line target for the Seahawks in the round three range.
The likes of Joe Dahl and Nick Martin — while really tough football players — might not have the size or athletic profile to interest the Seahawks.
Edge rushers
Emmanuel Ogbah is ranked #1 with a fantastic SPARQ and SLA score. He’s in the 93rd percentile for the NFL and pretty much wipes the floor among his peers. His college production is also excellent and in many ways he looks like a top-20 pick. His motor runs hot and cold and teams will be keen to check that side of his game to see if it matches his elite physicality.
Highlighting the sparse edge options in this class, only three players grade above the 67th percentile (Ogbah, Alex McCallister and Dadi Nicholas). It’s safe to say that unless the Seahawks have their heart set on drafting Ogabh — they’re highly unlikely to take an edge rusher at #26.
Shaq Lawson, for example, is in the 43rd percentile for the league.
Defensive line
While it’s considered a very deep defensive tackle class — there aren’t a ton of outstanding athletes among the group. SPARQ’S favourite is Connor Wujciak from Boston College. The top four players according to ‘SLA’ are (in order) — Shawn Oakman, DeForest Buckner, Bronson Kaufusi and Joel Heath. Buckner aside — there’s very little to get excited about with that quartet.
Wujciak and Jonathan Bullard are the only two other prospects grading above the 75th percentile in the NFL.
It raises an interesting point. If SPARQ, SLA and other measures are grading Sheldon Rankins, A’Shawn Robinson and Chris Jones in the same range as Willie Henry, Javon Hargrave and Anthony Zettel — why exactly are people so keen for the Seahawks to go with a defensive lineman in round one?
This data, if anything, illustrates that the physical difference between the players going in round one and rounds 2-4 will be minimal. And there are very few ‘freaks’.
Compare that to the O-liners in this draft. The top three in SLA (Ifedi, Conklin, Spriggs) grade between the 96th and 98th percentile in the entire NFL. All three are expected to be off the board in day one.
If the Seahawks love physical freaks in round one, they’ll struggle to find a defensive lineman or edge rusher that fits the profile at #26.
Linebackers
This was fascinating. Darron Lee is ranked #1 (no shocks there) with Travis Feeney at #2. Feeney is in the 94th percentile which is outstanding. Vanderbilt’s Stephen Weatherly — who could convert to an edge rusher in the NFL — was third in the 92nd percentile. Both players could provide the Seahawks with pass-rushing/playmaking options beyond the first round.
Here’s the interesting bit though — Ohio State’s Joshua Perry is at #4 and in the 87th percentile. SPARQ also rates him generously.
There are very few guys in this draft I had more fun watching than Perry. While he doesn’t wow you on the field in the way Darron Lee does — there’s just a great physicality to his game.
The rumours tentatively linking the Seahawks to Denver’s Brandon Marshall did make me consider whether they’d possibly look at Perry (if there was anything in the reported interest). He isn’t a burner — but he’s a high-intensity, big hitting, run-and-hit type that sets a tone.
He’s 6-4, 254lbs and ran a 4.68 at the combine. He has 34 inch arms and had an outstanding 10-4 in the broad jump. He’s faster than Wright and similar in size. He might be too similar to have in the same team — but we know they think Wright is flexible enough to play the WILL and SAM. It’s food for thought.
Feeney clearly provides a fantastic option health permitting. His experience at safety, ability to make plays and rush the passer (eight sacks in 2015) — plus his personality and size/length/athleticism make him virtually an ideal candidate for the Seahawks.
Other positions
Receiver is less of a need following Jermaine Kearse’s decision to return to the Seahawks. Devon Cajuste is the #1 SLA prospect and has ties to Doug Baldwin. Marquez North is at #3 — someone we’ve talked about a lot on this blog over the years. Both players rank in the 88th-91st percentile.
Derrick Henry is in the 93rd percentile for running backs. He’s just a special athlete and it’s time people recognised that more than his size. Watching him work as a receiver at the Alabama pro-day confirmed that. He pretty much ticks every box — production, character, athleticism, uniqueness.
It’s not an attractive list of running backs aside from Henry. This might be an area where they look to add a couple of cheap veterans.
Keanu Neal is the #3 safety but projects in the 90th percentile. Few players impressed me more on the first go-through than Neal this off-season. Like Henry — he is pretty much the complete package. Size, character, athleticism, production. It’s hard to imagine he won’t be a first round pick.
If the Seahawks target a cornerback on day three, SLA suggests DeAndre Elliott and Daryl Worley could be targets.
What does the information tell us?
Basically that we aren’t far off projecting that the Seahawks could take a freak-of-nature offensive lineman in round one and possibly a linebacker in round two.
(Don’t focus too much on the players, but the positions/range)
R1 — Ifedi/Conklin/Spriggs
R2 — Feeney/Perry
With two picks in round three they can use the defensive tackle depth to their advantage and add an interior offensive lineman.
R3 — McGovern/Glasgow
R3 (comp) — Henry/Hargrave
You can play around with the variations. Defensive tackle in round two instead, linebacker in round three.
There will also be options at cornerback — as usual — on day three. Round four could also be a good spot to add a run-stuffing project such as Clemson’s D.J. Reader. The one area that is unclear is running back — but it’s safe to assume they’ll find some prospects they like (and could still look to free agency).
A lot of Seahawks fans will be concerned about Russell Okung’s pending visits to New York (Giants) and Detroit on Friday. The prospect of adding a rookie replacement will concern some. However, it’s arguably Seattle’s most likely scenario considering this data and their draft history so far.
Even if they sign Donald Penn as a short-term measure (or Okung), Ifedi, Conklin and Spriggs (the top three SLA OL’s) could all line-up at left guard (a particularly good fit for Ifedi and Conklin) before reverting to tackle in the future.