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Peter Skoronski will be a high pick in the draft
For years we’ve been calculating explosive traits among offensive linemen using a formula called ‘TEF’. Tom Cable and Mike Solari utilised big, explosive testers. The formula allowed us to predict with a decent degree of accuracy which draft prospects the Seahawks might be interested in.
Since they switched blocking schemes, explosive traits are seemingly not as coveted as they once were. However, there’s clear evidence the league still values these traits extremely highly. After all, most of the top offensive linemen in the league are explosive testers, as I detailed in this article.
So this breakdown is going to be a little different this year. There’s little to glean from a Seahawks perspective but the chances are several of the top explosive testers boosted their draft grade.
Here’s the TEF formula explained…
Tom Cable stated in 2015 that an O-line prospect would ideally achieve a 31-inch vertical, a 9-foot broad jump and 27 reps in the bench press. TEF uses these numbers to create an overall score for each individual offensive lineman:
1. Vertical ÷ 31
2. Broad ÷ 9, then cube the result
3. Bench ÷ 27
4. Results added together = TEF
Here’s what the ideal (31 — 9 — 27) would look like using this formula:
1. Vertical: 31 ÷ 31 = 1
2. Broad: 9 ÷ 9 = 1, cubed = 1
3. Bench: 27 ÷ 27 = 1
4. Overall score = 3.00
A prospect achieving the exact Cable ideal (31 — 9 — 27) will score a 3.00 in TEF.
Confirmed TEF scores 2023
These results include the linemen who tested in the vertical, broad and bench at the combine — allowing us to create a confirmed TEF score.
Peter Skoronski — 3.37
Andrew Vorhees — 3.26
Anthony Bradford — 3.17
Jovaughan Gwyn — 3.17
Olu Oluwatimi — 3.07
Luke Wypler — 3.00
Nick Saldiveri — 2.97
Juice Scruggs — 2.95
Connor Galvin — 2.95
John Michael Schmitz — 2.81
John Ojukwu — 2.78
Steve Avila — 2.74
Jarrett Patterson — 2.71
McClendon Curtis — 2.70
Dalton Wagner — 2.52
O’Cyrus Torrence — 2.43
Alex Forsyth — 2.42
Mark Evans — 2.38
What does this tell us?
Peter Skoronski is a certain top-20 pick. The angle on Skoronski has always been his lack of length will kick him inside to guard — so how will he test to project upside and potential at the next level? You don’t typically draft a guard that early so you need a reason to do it. Technically he is competent, so what does the testing say?
We now know he’s the sixth most explosive lineman to enter the league since 2016. He is marginally more explosive than Zion Johnson (3.33) and Kolton Miller (3.31) and he’s a notch below Cole Strange (3.42) and Tristan Wirfs (3.47).
Johnson (17th), Miller (15th) and Wirfs (13th) were all top-20 picks. Strange, a late riser through the Senior Bowl and combine, was a surprising pick in round one by the Patriots (29th).
The best case scenario with Skoronski seemed to be he could turn into a Zack Martin level interior lineman — yet the reality is he’s a far more explosive athlete than Martin.
In a year lacking blue-chip players — especially on the offensive line — I think teams are going to seriously consider Skoronski between the #6 and #10 picks. There will likely be a feeling that with so few appealing options in that part of the draft, taking the most technically sound, explosive lineman available is something you can live with. It’ll be a safe pick.
As it happens, Detroit, Las Vegas, Atlanta and Philadelphia are in the market for a guard.
Elsewhere, there were fears Olu Oluwatimi would last deeper into the draft due to a lack of physical quality. As an explosive tester, Oluwatimi should safely see himself called in the middle rounds. His tape was good and now we know he is not limited as an athlete.
Luke Wypler’s stock will be enhanced by the fact he’s an explosive tester. Combined with an excellent 4.53 short shuttle — he’s quite the athlete. This could mean he not only interests the zone blocking teams like Seattle and Minnesota — he could also appeal to GM’s like Joe Douglas with the Jets who seem to prioritise explosive traits.
O’Cyrus Torrence’s TEF score is extremely poor. He has consistently been one of the most overrated players in this draft. He isn’t explosive in the slightest, as his 2.43 score suggests. Not only that, he ran a 4.81 short shuttle. This is the profile of a mid-rounder, not the first rounder many have suggested.
Projected TEF scores for 2023
For the players who didn’t complete a full set of tests (vertical, broad, bench) — we fill in the gaps using the ‘average’ of the class. For example, a lot of the linemen simply didn’t do the bench press. Therefore, I took the average number of reps per player at the combine (28) and used it to project a TEF score that can be adjusted if the player completes a full set of testing at his pro-day.
Blake Freeland — 3.60
Jon Gaines — 3.26
Jaelyn Duncan — 3.20
Ricky Stromberg — 3.17
Darnell Wright — 3.15
Sidy Sow — 3.13
Earl Bostick — 3.12
Tyler Steen — 3.11
Paris Johnson Jr — 3.07
Braeden Daniels — 3.05
Wanya Morris — 3.04
Cody Mauch — 3.01
Broderick Jones — 3.00
TJ Bass — 2.98
Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu — 2.90
Anton Harrison — 2.88
Ryan Hayes — 2.87
Matthew Bergeron — 2.84
Tashawn Manning — 2.77
Henry Bainivalu — 2.76
Jake Andrews — 2.72
If these scores hold up after the pro-days, this will be by far the most explosive O-line class we’ve seen in years. Compare this to previous combines:
2016 — 6
2017 — 3
2018 — 7
2019 — 8
2020 — 8
2021 — No combine
2022 — 9 (projection)
2023 – 19 (projection
I’ve never calculated and had double-figure numbers for explosive testers at a combine. To have potentially 19 explosive linemen this year is quite remarkable.
It might not mean much for the Seahawks and their scheme specifically but the NFL is likely to be ecstatic with the depth of this O-line class.
We also created a second calculation to account for the fact that jumping a vertical at 320lbs is considerably more challenging than jumping a vertical at 295lbs. Thus, we created a formula (weighted TEF or wTEF) to account for weight:
Weight x TEF x 0.1
We can give each player a score that sufficiently emphasises their unique size. For example:
Germain Ifedi — 324 x 2.97 x 0.1 = 96.1
Confirmed wTEF scores for 2023
Peter Skoronski — 105.5
Anthony Bradford — 105.2
Andrew Vorhees — 101.1
Jovaughan Gwyn — 97.3
Olu Oluwatimi — 94.9
Nick Saldiveri — 94.4
Steve Avila — 91.0
Luke Wypler — 90.9
Juice Scruggs — 88.8
McClendon Curtis — 87.5
Connor Galvin — 86.4
John Ojukwu — 85.9
John Michael Schmitz — 84.6
Jarrett Patterson — 82.9
Dalton Wagner — 80.6
O’Cyrus Torrence — 80.2
Alex Forsyth — 73.3
Mark Evans — 72.1
Anthony Bradford really caught my eye during on-field drills and a weighted TEF score of 105.2 confirms he has outstanding physical potential. He is certainly one to watch and could be a fantastic mid-round option at guard.
Andrew Vorhees’ ACL tear suffered at the combine is a horrible setback. With his testing numbers he likely would’ve been a day-two pick. I suspect, with his physical profile, someone will be prepared to take a chance on him a little bit later on and use a redshirt season.
This is another hugely disappointing score for O’Cyrus Torrence. Even a bad TEF tester will get a bump if they’re 330lbs. It really speaks to how poorly he performed that he’s still the third weakest tester despite his size. There’s no bump to account for his weight.
Projected weighted TEF for 2023
Blake Freeland — 108.7
Darnell Wright — 104.9
Sidy Sow — 101.1
Tyler Steen — 99.8
Jon Gaines — 98.8
Jaelyn Duncan — 97.9
Ricky Stromberg — 97.0
Earl Bostick — 96.4
Paris Johnson Jr — 96.1
TJ Bass — 94.5
Wanya Morris — 93.3
Broderick Jones — 93.3
Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu — 91.9
Cody Mauch — 90.9
Anton Harrison — 90.7
Tashawn Manning — 90.6
Matthew Bergeron — 90.3
Braeden Daniels — 89.7
Ryan Hayes — 85.5
Henry Bainivalu — 84.4
Jake Andrews — 83.0
If these numbers are confirmed, Darnell Wright is showing off why he’s a top-20 lock in this class. He had an outstanding on-field performance at the combine to go with his testing. He is one of the best players in the draft.
Several of the potential tackle-to-guard converts are showing they have a nice combination of power and size in this group. Sidy Sow is worth some tape study moving forward and players like Tyler Steen performed better than expected.
If you’re wondering about Dawand Jones — he didn’t do anything other than run a forty and on-field drills. I can’t project him a score at this time.
So there we go. It might not be as useful for Seahawks fans to know this information these days — but it’s still interesting that this is such an explosive O-line class. It might lack top-end stars but there’s plenty of depth.
Who might the Seahawks be interested in then?
They’ve clearly identified a type at center — Pete Carroll has talked about leverage (shorter height) being important. The signing of Austin Blythe was indicative of a switch to the Rams approach.
My ‘not so bold’ take is that one of Luke Wypler or John Michael Schmitz will be drafted, unless they address the position in free agency. They are clear scheme and profile hits — they have the size, the wrestling background and the agility testing. Check out my article on Monday for more on this.
Tackle is unlikely to be a key target area with Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas entering year two — and with Stone Forsyth and Jake Curhan under contract as backups.
Guard is an interesting one. By re-signing Phil Haynes they have retained two big, explosive interior starters. They haven’t automatically switched to LA’s preferred method of converted college tackles. If they stick with that — and with Damien Lewis and Haynes both free agents next year, they might draft one of the better testers above. Anthony Bradford, Nick Saldiveri and Jon Gaines could appeal.
If they go with LA’s philosophy, we’ll need more shuttle times to make a reading. Logan Bruss (4.55) and Austin Corbett (4.50) both tested well in the short shuttle. David Edwards less so (4.77).
Jon Ojukwu ran a 4.52 and was a tackle at Boise State, making 51 consecutive starts. He could be a day three candidate. They could consider Cody Mauch here if they’re ok with his lack of length (he ran a 4.55). Tyler Steen at Alabama ran a 4.59 and could be a very realistic option, as could Braeden Daniels at Utah (4.60).
I’d be intrigued to see what times Jordan McFadden, Matthew Bergeron, Ryan Hayes, Wanya Morris, T.J. Bass and Earl Bostick run if they do a short shuttle at their pro-days.
The other name I’m going to keep mentioning is Nick Broeker at Ole Miss. He ran a 4.70 so he’s more like Edwards than Bruss or Corbett. He just feels like an ideal scheme fit with his mobility, control, ability to lock-on to blocks and finish and he showed well in the SEC. I thought he had an excellent performance during on-field drills in Indianapolis. I also wonder if he could be a consideration at center.
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