Time for an updated projection.

#1 Cincinnati — Joe Burrow (QB, LSU)
Accurate, creative, improvisational and the best player in college football.

#2 New York Giants — Chase Young (EDGE, Ohio State)
In 11 games he recorded 16.5 sacks and 21 TFL’s.

#3 Miami — Andrew Thomas (T, Georgia)
Supremely balanced and consistent, his footwork is superb and he anchors brilliantly.

#4 Washington — Jeff Okudah (CB, Ohio State)
He will destroy the combine and was a 142.56 athlete at SPARQ.

#5 Detroit — Derrick Brown (DT, Auburn)
A tone-setting defensive lineman with stoutness and quickness.

#6 Philadelphia (v/ARI) — Jerry Jeudy (WR, Alabama)
Philadelphia trades up from #16
The Eagles make a big move for a much needed playmaker.

#7 Carolina (v/NYJ) — Grant Delpit (S, LSU)
Carolina trades up from #11
The Panthers stick with Cam Newton and trade up for a stud safety.

#8 Jacksonville — Isaiah Simmons (S, Clemson)
Reportedly he can jump a 40-inch vertical, an 11-0 broad and run in the 4.4’s.

#9 LA Chargers — Isaiah Wilson (T, Georgia)
He’s highly underrated and for me the second best tackle eligible for 2020.

#10 Denver — Javon Kinlaw (DT, South Carolina)
He’s +300lbs but carries minimal body fat. He dominated Alabama’s O-line a few weeks ago.

#11 NY Jets (v/CAR) — Trevon Diggs (CB, Alabama)
New York trades down from #7
Competitive cornerback who does an excellent job tracking the ball and breaking up passes. Stefon Diggs’ brother.

#12 Miami (v/ATL) — Tua Tagovailoa (QB, Alabama)
Miami trades up from #22
The Dolphins move up and roll the dice on Tua’s health.

#13 Oakland — Jalen Reagor (WR, TCU)
Reagor reportedly runs a 4.29. He also jumped a 38.5 inch vertical and can squat 620lbs.

#14 Cleveland — Prince Tega Wanogho (T, Auburn)
Huge, physical and athletic but destined to play right tackle in the NFL.

#15 Indianapolis — Raekwon Davis (DT, Alabama)
He can anchor the interior of a defensive line for years to come.

#16 Arizona (v/PHI) — CeeDee Lamb (WR, Oklahoma)
Arizona trades down from #6
Kyler Murray is reunited with a favourite target.

#17 Tampa Bay — Kristian Fulton (CB, LSU)
A physical cornerback who tracks the ball almost as well as Trevon Diggs.

#18 Oakland (v/CHI) — Shaun Wade (CB, Ohio State)
Traded to Oakland in the Khalil Mack deal
A former 5-star recruit who’s playing exceptionally well.

#19 Buffalo (v/TEN) — Henry Ruggs (WR, Alabama)
Buffalo trades up from #25
The Bills trade up for a 4.2 runner to max out Josh Allen’s arm talent.

#20 Jacksonville (v/LAR) — Cesar Ruiz (C, Michigan)
Traded to Jacksonville in the Jalen Ramsey deal
The more Ruiz I watch the more I like.

#21 Dallas — Laviska Shenault (WR, Colorado)
Not at his best in 2019 but he’s a swiss-army knife who can score points as a runner, receiver or returner.

#22 Atlanta (v/MIA, PIT) — D’Andre Swift (RB, Georgia)
Atlanta trades down from #12
The Falcons trade down ten spots and go with value and talent.

#23 Miami (v/HOU) — Kenneth Murray (LB, Oklahoma)
Traded to Miami in the Laremy Tunsil deal
Having invested in the QB & LT positions, they now take a tone-setting LB.

#24 Minnesota — DeVonta Smith (WR, Alabama)
Extremely underrated and very dynamic.

#25 Tennessee (v/BUF) — Dylan Moses (LB, Alabama)
Tennessee trades down from #19
The Titans went for injury value with Jeffrey Simmons and they do the same here.

#26 Kansas City — Tyler Biadasz (C, Wisconsin)
He loses balance/control at times but he’s physical and solid.

#27 New Orleans — Jordan Love (QB, Utah State)
The Saints take the plunge on the talented but raw QB.

#28 San Francisco — KJ Hamler (WR, Penn State)
Hamler is so dynamic and could go much earlier than this.

#29 New England — Austin Jackson (T, USC)
The Pats are not afraid to take a chance on O-line upside.

#30 Washington (v/GB) — Alex Leatherwood (T, Alabama)
Green Bay trades #30 for Trent Williams
After trading Williams, the Redskins do what they always do and draft a player from Alabama.

#31 LA Chargers (v/SEA) — Justin Herbert (QB, Oregon)
LA trades up from #41
The Chargers move up to halt Justin Herbert’s fall.

#32 Baltimore — J.K. Dobbins (RB, Ohio State)
The Ravens keep adding weapons to their rushing attack.

The trades explained…

Philadelphia trades #16 to Arizona for #6
The Eagles need more weapons and have to try and replenish Carson Wentz’s confidence and form. They’re never afraid to make a bold move and here they trade into the top-10 to get Jerry Jeudy.

Carolina trades #11 to NY Jets for #7
The Panthers are going to rejig their entire front office and staff. This doesn’t feel like the off-season to ditch Cam Newton for a rookie. Instead they extend Cam’s deal with an option attached and trade up to get the incredibly talented Grant Delpit.

Miami trades #22 to Atlanta for #12
The Dolphins take their chance on Tua Tagovailoa. They move up to get ahead of Oakland and Indianapolis. With their first two picks they make an investment at quarterback and left tackle — which is plausible.

Buffalo trades #25 to Tennessee for #19
Josh Allen is unique, different and fun. He’s far from perfect but he has an X-factor. The Bills trade up here to get him a 4.2 runner in Henry Ruggs to make the most of his arm strength.

Green Bay trades #30 to Washington for Trent Williams
The Packers lack a physical edge and need more on offense after years of defensive-focussed drafts. It makes absolute sense to trade for Trent Williams.

LA Chargers trade #41 to Seattle for #31
The Chargers need to make an investment at quarterback but in this scenario they let the draft to come to them. With Justin Herbert falling they find a willing trade partner in Seattle to make a deal. Herbert has arm talent and improvisational skills but better quarterback’s have dropped to this range and he’s had a mixed 2019 season.

Seahawks take Hunter Bryant at #41

The Seahawks often trade down in round one so this scenario made some sense. With this being a weak class for pass rushers and the top receivers already off the board, this felt realistic.

I talked in more detail about Hunter Bryant here. Ultimately the Seahawks need to do something at tight end in the off-season. They’ve often looked for TE’s who perform well in the short-shuttle and three-cone. Bryant ran a 4.35 short-shuttle at the combine. Washington asks its tight end’s to block and although Bryant is best used as a move-TE, he’s no slouch as a blocker. He’s also a playmaker who has delivered several explosive plays in the passing game this year.

Assuming the Seahawks bolster their pass rush in free agency and provide clarity on the O-line with several players reaching free agency, adding a new target for Russell Wilson is the next priority.

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Seahawks WR Josh Gordon suspended indefinitely. pic.twitter.com/97GfKu966r

— NFL (@NFL) December 16, 2019

That’s the end of Josh Gordon’s short stint in Seattle. It’s the fifth suspension of his career and, unfortunately, may be the last. The Seahawks were the only team to make a waiver claim when he was cut by the Patriots.

Although Gordon’s impact was fairly limited he provided a consistent third-down target. They’re already without Will Dissly and with Tyler Lockett clearly not 100% (even if he did play well against Carolina) — Russell Wilson is short of weapons.

Amid all the injury news on defense, this is another blow.

It also highlight again why adding at least one new target during the off-season will be a priority. Clearly Seattle’s most pressing need is to add to the defensive line and the pass rush. They badly need some speed and quickness to compliment the likes of Jadeveon Clowney and Jarran Reed (both players are free agents themselves). Shaquem Griffin is pinch-hitting at the moment but they need someone who rush the edge with twitch.

None of this means they can’t or won’t do more to help out their quarterback. Wilson deserves to have the best possible opportunity to deliver wins for this team. With a question mark at tight end and a superb looking draft class at receiver, there will be options. There could also be an attractive trade market at both positions.

Meanwhile, it’s also emerged the Seahawks were one of four teams to put a waiver claim in for Terrell Suggs:

This is interesting: Four teams attempted to claim pass-rusher Terrell Suggs — #Saints, #49ers, #Seahawks, and #Chiefs. And the #Ravens may have signed him if he was free.

— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) December 16, 2019

If Suggs is willing to play for the Chiefs (several reports suggested he was threatening to retire if he wasn’t allowed to sign with the Ravens) it’s a quality late-season addition.

Meanwhile, the Saints claimed cornerback Janoris Jenkins after he was cut by the Giants.

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The Seahawks played far from a perfect game in Carolina. There were some errors, injuries and a needlessly nervous ending.

What should’ve been a Sunday saunter end up being a brisk walk.

That said, they needed to win this game and next week’s game against Arizona to set up a NFC West Championship decider against the Niners.

Regardless of the manner of this victory — it’s one down and one to go.

The Seahawks waltzed to an early lead and were never under any real pressure. They should’ve buried Carolina. It set up a complacent finale. They needed a desperate, bare-knuckle offensive drive to prevent the Panthers launching a comeback from a 30-10 deficit.

By this stage though, do you really care about any of this? Is anyone really holding out hope that suddenly, 15 weeks into the season, the Seahawks are going to become clean and efficient? Winning in weird and wonderful (and stressful) ways has been the story of the 2019 season.

They’re two more wins away from equaling a franchise record for regular season wins. They’ve already set a franchise record on the road (7-1).

They also won without Jadeveon Clowney, Ziggy Ansah, Mychal Kendricks and Shaquill Griffin. They lost Quandre Diggs during the game. There was a huge scare when Bobby Wagner had his knee and ankle bent backwards. What a relief to see him walk off the field relatively easily.

With this long injury list on defense, any kind of win was good enough — even if the ending was a little bit too close for comfort.

On the positive side the Seahawks ran and passed well on offense despite some inefficient drives after an early scoring tear. The defense forced three turnovers (and could’ve had more). They had some luck on two potential fumbles — but they were due a bit of fortune there.

On the negative front, for the second week in a row they struggled with motion and sweeps. The 49ers will have noticed that and it’s something they’re particularly good at. The Seahawks have a fortnight to try and work something out. Unfortunately, the Niners also have two weeks to cook up some creative ways to exploit this weakness.

We’ll need to see how serious Diggs’ and Wagner’s injury’s are. They, along with Clowney, are absolutely vital for the Seahawks to be at their competitive best in week 17 and beyond.

They also need Kendricks back. Cody Barton has struggled in every game he’s played in so far. Being violently stiff-armed by Kyle Allen in the fourth quarter was a review of the rookie growing pains he’s experiencing.

I might finish by noting the way they almost threw away a 20-point lead and needed a scramble drill clincher from Russell Wilson to Tyler Lockett to avoid giving Carolina an opportunity to complete the comeback. The Seahawks were lacklustre at the end. Again though — this is who they are. This is who they’re going to be.

They’ve overachieved to get to 11-3. They’re in the mix for the #1 seed. If they have two more ridiculous, unnecessarily tense victories they may well secure homefield advantage against the odds.

By now it’s simply time to let the rest of this tune play out.

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Here’s an open thread for today’s game, plus some thoughts…

— This should be a relatively straight forward win. The Panthers have fired their coach early rather than allow him to end the season. Kyle Allen has regressed after a bright start. Last week not even Christian McCaffrey could have an impact in a blow-out win for the equally hapless Falcons. Yet the Seahawks are decimated on defense — missing the two pass rushers they placed their faith in this year (Clowney & Ansah), their best cornerback (Griffin) and a useful starting linebacker (Kendricks). There’s a huge responsibility on other defensive players to step up today.

— The offense has to get right. For a while I questioned whether the 49ers were peaking too early. Instead they’ve found a second wind. The Seahawks similarly need to find theirs in the next two games. Russell Wilson has toiled a bit. Tyler Lockett has suffered with injury and illness. They desperately need to show they’re capable of regaining their early season form ahead of a vital rematch against the Niners and the playoffs. That means effective running, explosive plays in the passing game and no more fumbles.

— All week I’ve just assumed the Seahawks would win this game. It’s an ideal time to play Carolina. The loss last week against the Rams should be a kick up the arse. The injuries might be an equaliser but the difference’s between the teams are stark. Seattle has everything to play for, Carolina doesn’t. The Seahawks have an elite franchise quarterback, the Panthers have a backup plunged into action. The Rams loss should re-focus minds while Carolina’s players will be wondering what the future holds with Ron Rivera fired. Yet the Seahawks all too often make games a tight struggle. They need to flex a little bit today, even with all the injuries, and show that they’re ready to get back in contention for the NFC West title.

— This is an interesting article by Adam Schefter, discussing how the tight end market will be re-set in the off-season. Several big names will be talking contract in the new year including George Kittle, Austin Hooper, Zach Ertz and Hunter Henry. It’s a situation for Seahawks fans to monitor. The team will add a TE at some point this off-season. They need significant insurance for Will Dissly given he’s suffered two major injuries in consecutive seasons. Apart from that, their depth is practically non-existent. In the past they spent big money on Zach Miller and traded for Jimmy Graham. This is a position they clearly value. Another big addition or trade could be on the cards again. Failing that — as noted previously — keep an eye on Hunter Bryant. He’s inconsistent at times and has had drops but his blocking experience at Washington and X-factor ability as a receiver could provide a more cost-effective solution. They’ll do something at this position in the off-season, guaranteed.

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This hasn’t been a good season for Cleveland or Odell Beckham Jr.

An off-season of hype has translated into a regular season of mediocrity. A bad mix of ego, star names and a rookie Head Coach has produced a 6-7 record (with three of those wins coming against the Jets, Dolphins and Bengals).

Beckham Jr was their big off-season splash. OBJ was going to help elevate Baker Mayfield to stardom. At least that was the hope.

Instead he’s clashed with the league over the decision to wear a designer watch during a game. He wore the wrong cleats, leading to the NFL threatening to prevent him from playing in the second half of a loss against Denver.

Beckham Jr has 844 yards for the season — 25th most in the league — and only two touchdowns.

For a player who had 4122 yards and 35 touchdowns in his first three seasons in the NFL — this isn’t what you’d expect. In 2016 he was well on his way to becoming an all-time great. In the three seasons since there’s been too much drama, injuries and a lack of elite production.

Over the weekend reports emerged that he’s been sending out ‘come and get me’ pleas to other teams.

The issues are not all OBJ’s fault though. He suffered through the final years of Eli Manning and Mayfield — for all his repetitive and annoying commercials — doesn’t appear to be as good as advertised.

He needs a fresh start — preferably with a team that has a strong culture, a winning reputation and a quarterback in his prime.

The Seahawks, in that sense, are an ideal fit.

For starters they’ve never shied away from a big name. They go where other teams won’t — trading for Marshawn Lynch and Percy Harvin for example. They entertained the possibility of signing Antonio Brown this year and were the only team to make a waiver claim for Josh Gordon.

They’ve accommodated a wide variety of personalities over the years and had more success than failure doing so.

They aren’t the only team to fit the bill. New England are equally willing to take a shot. The 49ers also need to keep adding talent at receiver as do the Packers.

However — San Francisco is only projected to have about $18m in cap space next season. The Pats are expected to have $42m but if they re-sign Tom Brady, a large chunk of that will disappear. The Packers have $25m to spend.

All three have key free agents to re-sign or replace too. For Green Bay it’s Blake Martinez and Bryan Bulaga. For New England it’s Brady and Devin McCourty. For the Niners it’s Emmanuel Sanders and Arik Armstead.

While the Seahawks also have some big name free agents (Jadeveon Clowney, Jarran Reed, Germain Ifedi) they also have about $72m available.

Beckham Jr’s cap hit in 2020 is $14,250,000. That’s currently only the 14th highest for a wide receiver next year. He’s contracted until the end of the 2023 season and the hit never tops $15,750,000.

Russell Wilson is at the heart of everything for this team now. The difference between his early season form when he had a fully healthy Tyler Lockett and Will Dissly compared to what we’re seeing currently is stark.

He needs weapons. Lot’s of them. While Lockett and D.K. Metcalf are locked-in as long term members of the roster — there are question marks elsewhere. Is David Moore or Malik Turner a long-term #3? Will Jaron Brown and Josh Gordon even be here next season? With Dissly’s injury history, don’t they need security and talent at tight end too?

Wilson deserves the best possible arsenal. If they’re willing to trade for Harvin and Graham in 2013 and 2015 — with the team as well placed as it was — they should consider bolstering Wilson’s options this off-season now that he’s the focal point.

The Seahawks and Beckham Jr could be good for each other. He gets to play with a top-tier quarterback during his prime. It’s a mature roster that celebrates personality and unique qualities. He already has a relationship with Wilson and they’ve spent time working out during off-season training. It’s also a highly productive offense that loves to take shots downfield using sudden and explosive receivers.

As noted in yesterday’s piece, the Seahawks reportedly loved Beckham Jr in 2014.

Jadeveon Clowney and Quandre Diggs moved to Seattle and look superb. There’s no reason why OBJ couldn’t enjoy similar success.

It’s also worth noting how rich the 2020 draft class is at receiver. If a player like Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs or K.J. Hamler was available in the late first round, that’s a cheaper albeit less proven alternative.

However, it’s easy to forget what people were saying about Beckham Jr at this time in 2013. A lot of mocks, believe it or not, had him as a borderline first or second round pick (not us — we loved him as you can see here). I suspect Reagor, Ruggs and Hamler will fly up the boards after running at the combine. All three will test superbly and will go earlier that they’ve currently being projected.

If that happens the Seahawks will have to look elsewhere. Considering it’s a poor class for pass rushers they might prefer to use their first pick on a proven veteran — just as they did in 2013 and 2015 — to make a statement that they’re going to fully support their star quarterback.

They’d still have two second round picks to spend. They have the cap room.

And if it isn’t him — don’t rule out a trade for a pass rusher (call it a reverse Frank Clark), a different receiver (Stefon Diggs?) or a tight end (O.J. Howard?).

Whatever happens this season, the Seahawks are at the end of the transition. Now they’re approaching a window of opportunity.

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Perspective is always important — especially after a loss.

The Seahawks were touted by many pundits last week as a Super Bowl team after beating the Vikings. Others have focused on their low points differential and number of close games to argue the opposite — that they’re playoff pretenders.

Here’s the reality of Seattle in 2019. They’re not lucky or flukey. They’ve been incredibly resilient and clutch all year and fully deserve to be 10-3.

They’re also not as good as some people have been suggesting. It’s possible to both overachieve and be deserving of a strong regular season record.

There’s a clear ‘tier A’ in the NFL that includes Baltimore, San Francisco and possibly New Orleans. The Seahawks aren’t miles behind. They have beaten the Niners after all. Yet it’s fair to say they’re firmly in a larger ‘tier B’ including Kansas City, New England, Green Bay, Minnesota and possibly the resurgent Rams.

Baltimore and San Francisco will not lose a game 28-12 and fail to score an offensive touchdown. They have a consistency in performance the teams in tier B have lacked this year. They also appear to be getting stronger when it matters most.

Seattle and the other teams in tier B have most of the parts you need to compete for a Super Bowl but there are also some holes. In the Seahawks’ case they need more speed and productivity in the pass rush. They need a proper nickel cornerback. They need more dynamic offensive weapons. At least they’ve found their playmaking safety in Quandre Diggs (and what a trade that was).

We always said this was likely to be a team that needs another off-season. They do. The fact they’re in the mix for the #1 seed while in this transitional position is both exciting and frustrating — because who really wants to wait until 2020 to have a proper go at this?

Yet wait we must based on the evidence of last night unless Russell Wilson and the offense can rediscover their best form and find a way to end the regular season with three wins. The idea of the Seahawks blazing through road games in Dallas, New Orleans or Green Bay and San Francisco as the #5 seed seems fanciful.

In order to take that next step they’ll need to be busy in the off-season. They almost certainly will be. They’re reaching the point where a degree of calculated aggression is palatable. We saw that in 2013, 2015 and 2017 with their multiple high-profile trades and key free agent additions. They’ve already made two huge trades in 2019 for Jadeveon Clowney and Diggs.

In 2020 they’ll need to re-sign Clowney and make big calls on players like Jarran Reed, Justin Britt, Germain Ifedi and George Fant. They need some speed in the pass rush and might need to spend some cap space to acquire it (Dante Fowler?).

The 2020 draft will be rich in first round wide receiver talent. They’ll also need to add a tight end at some point. Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs, K.J. Hamler and Hunter Bryant could be options depending on how their stock rises.

They could also make a bold trade if those players start to move up boards after the combine. Earlier this season Stefon Diggs was seemingly unhappy in Minnesota. He has the kind of sudden quickness and ability to create easy separation the Seahawks love. Check out this video at the 08:15 mark. Wilson seemed quite friendly with Diggs during Monday Night Football.

Odell Beckham Jr. is reportedly putting the word out about wanting to leave Cleveland. After a year or two of unnecessary drama, some may wish to avoid ODB. That said, Wilson and Beckham seem close and have worked out in the past. This report is interesting. The Seahawks have never shied away from difficult characters. If they’re willing to even consider adding Antonio Brown this year — OBJ isn’t going to be out of bounds.

The Seahawks reportedly loved Beckham prior to the 2014 draft. Adding him to Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf would create an outstanding trio of targets for Wilson.

The Buccaneers resisted trade offers for O.J. Howard before the deadline but that could be a situation to revisit in the off-season.

With a haul of draft picks and cap room to spend — the Seahawks can make a leap next year. For now — as we’ve said so often this year — simply enjoy the ride. The Seahawks are contending when other teams would be painfully rebuilding. They’re in the mix. They have two games coming up they should win (although this year has shown that nothing should be taken for granted). If they do win against Carolina and Arizona — it sets up a tremendously important regular season finale.

It’s better to be relevant than not. The Seahawks are relevant — even if they’ve not yet reached the peak of their powers in 2019.

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The LA Rams have Seattle’s number.

The three games previous to this one were back-and-forth shoot-outs. And while they won the last meeting in week five, the fact is they ended up playing LA’s game.

The Rams are happy to have a points race. Their foundation is built on a great offense with Sean McVay. Their defense is capable, thanks largely to Aaron Donald, of aiding the offense just enough to win a lot of football games.

In the last five games between these teams, the Rams have scored 42, 33, 36, 29 and 28.

In other words, the Seahawks were either going to need to turn this into their type of game or they needed to score a lot of points.

They did neither. They’ve now lost four of the last five games to LA with the solitary win coming off a missed field goal.

The Seahawks aren’t chasing the Rams in the NFC West this year but they’re still chasing them on the field.

The Rams marched to an early advantage and almost immediately the Seahawks were chasing. Any hopes of being able to run the ball against a much lighter defensive front evaporated. The game plan quickly switched because they had to keep up.

They ended up playing to LA’s tune. The Rams tee’d off in the pass rush with a strong lead to defend. Seattle became one-dimensional. The offense looked discombobulated all night and failed to score a single touchdown.

The defense had no answer in the first half to slow things down. After half time they rallied with the two Quandre Diggs’ interceptions and the Rasheem Green blocked kick. Any opportunity to get back into it extinguished because the offense couldn’t do anything.

For a long stretch earlier in the season it really felt like Wilson was destined to win the MVP this year. His season, unfortunately, is stalling. In the last four games he has four touchdowns and four interceptions. He hasn’t had a passer rating above 100 or a QBR above 58.

If this version of the Seahawks are going to roar into contention in the playoffs, they need Wilson and the offense at its best.

Seattle has done extremely well to get to 10-3. It’s charring, however, that in all three of their losses they’ve been clearly second best. New Orleans, Baltimore and now LA were more physical on the day and won the LOS battle on both sides. They looked tired today, possibly due to the short week.

This loss doesn’t really cost the Seahawks provided they get back on track quickly. Three wins to end the regular season will secure the NFC West and — potentially — the #1 seed. The Seahawks didn’t look much like a #1 seed here tonight though.

If anything, this performance illustrated how miraculous it is that they’re 10-3. Baltimore destroyed the Rams 45-6 two weeks ago as they march towards the #1 seed in the AFC. The 49ers just beat the Saints in their own backyard. It’s hard to imagine either losing a game without scoring an offensive touchdown like Seattle here.

Even so, the Seahawks weren’t realistically going to finish 14-2. They were going to lose one at some stage. The key now is to hit back quickly against the Panthers and make sure the week 17 contest against San Francisco is as meaningful as everyone’s been expecting for several weeks.

A final point — this is why it was thoroughly bizarre that it was even a question on who to root for in the Saints vs 49ers game. Forget the #1 seed for now. They need to focus solely on the NFC West. The difference between being the #5 seed and needing to win three road games to make the Super Bowl vs needing to win a home game and one other home or away game is enormous.

This was a great weekend for San Francisco. The only crumb of comfort is perhaps the Rams will be able to play as well against the Niners in week 16. San Francisco seems to be gaining a second wind though. We’ll see if the Seahawks gain their’s next week.

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Just a few notes here this weekend — plus a thought on the Rams game. Feel free to use this as an open thread for tonight.

— This was a fairly underwhelming Championship weekend and it highlighted the top-heavy nature of college football currently. There are a handful of ‘super power’ teams and everyone else is making up the numbers. Every conference has seen teams regress.

— The ACC has watched Florida State fall off a cliff while Georgia Tech have been travelling backwards for some time. Miami flirted with a return to relevance but have fallen off again this year. Syracuse, NC State, North Carolina, Boston College and others — either restarting or failing to build.

— The Big-12 contains one of the super power teams (Oklahoma) and has really benefitted from the re-emergence of Baylor. The two played undoubtedly the best Championship game this weekend. Tough defense, explosive plays, drama. Yet the conference overall is riddled with inconsistent or under-performing teams. Not so long ago Oklahoma State, Kansas State, TCU and Iowa State were incredibly difficult opponents. This year they’ve all been wildly unpredictable. Texas has taken a step back this year too.

— The BIG-10 remains relatively competitive due to the consistency of Wisconsin, the return of Penn State, Minnesota’s emergence and the Harbaugh influence on Michigan. Ohio State are an elite team and a consistent contender. Iowa is annually competitive. Yet the conference has still taken a step back with Nebraska and Michigan State becoming also-rans and Rutgers has collapsed.

— The SEC is the main true powerhouse conference with three super-power teams (Alabama, LSU, Georgia) and two others with the potential to return to super-power status (Florida, Auburn). Not even the mighty SEC has avoided regression though. Ole Miss are turning to Lane Kiffin to stop their rot. Arkansas has become an abomination. Tennessee seems to always be rebuilding. South Carolina, despite beating Georgia this year, are poor. Texas A&M are stuck in neutral. Not so long ago, Ole Miss and Texas A&M could go and upset Alabama and send shockwaves through the conference. Now they’d be lucky to escape with a 17-point loss.

— That brings me onto the PAC-12. What on earth has happened to the conference and when is something going to change? The Championship game played out almost apologetically on Friday night. ‘Sorry sir, didn’t want to disturb the other conferences, we’ll just play on Friday, don’t mean to get in the way’. The marketing of the conference, the way it sells itself to the rest of the country, the complete paucity of quality teams. The conference is a mess, is generating almost no excitement and has very little draft relevance. Just look down the list of teams. If you’re not a fan of a PAC-12 team, what is remotely exciting about USC, Stanford or UCLA currently? Three teams in the vaunted California recruiting region — all virtually irrelevant on a national scale. Well organised if unspectacular teams like Utah are succeeding simply because they have their act together. In many ways, that’s why Washington succeeded too in previous years. Ditto Oregon — because they didn’t make the most of their first round quarterback. There’s a major problem in the PAC-12. It’s not short of coaching ‘names’. It’s not short of great recruiting regions. On a marketing level to a football level — things need to change.

— Joe Burrow was already destined to be the #1 pick next year and his performance against Georgia simply confirmed it. Burrow was outstanding again — leading to the broadcasters to make comparisons to Tom Brady. His poise in the pocket, accuracy, elusiveness and production has been sensational. Top quarterbacks elevate their teams. Not always (see: Mahomes @ Texas Tech) — but most of the time that’s the case. Pro-quarterbacks these days also need to improvise and avoid pressure. The way he dodged tackles on one play to create time and space before launching a perfect pass downfield was incredible. He ran for first downs, kept plays alive. Burrow has turned LSU into a contender. They should be #1. He will be #1 in the draft.

— Everyone played well for the Tigers (although Georgia did a good job containing Clyde Edwards-Helaire) but the top player on defense for me was Rashard Lawrence. He was amped for this game — playing with intensity and quickness. He bullied the interior Georgia linemen, flashed speed off the snap and was constantly harassing in the backfield. It’s going to be really interesting to see him at the Senior Bowl and combine. He just looks the part of a NFL defensive lineman. He has a great frame, strong hands and the ability to control the LOS. Testing will determine how early he goes but his play-style and body-type could appeal to the Seahawks.

— Jake Fromm has not taken the step forward he needed to this season. If anything, he’s regressed. He lacks the physical tools so needs to be laser accurate. Here he missed open receivers and couldn’t elevate his team in the way Burrow does. He threw two interceptions, hurt his ankle and looked like a day-three prospect at best. It’s worth wondering whether he might simply go back to Georgia for one more year. Fromm had to play without many of his receivers and D’Andre Swift was nowhere near 100%. Georgia also had some drops, including the first offensive play of the game to take away a big passing play. Fromm just hasn’t been convincing this year though. He can’t put up points without the strong supporting cast.

— Now that Georgia are out of playoff contention, D’Andre Swift needs to get that shoulder rested and sorted. Swift is competing with a large group of running backs in the 2020 draft. Missing the combine would impact him — especially when Jonathan Taylor runs well and J.K. Dobbins blows the roof off. He only had two runs for 13 yards here and was used mostly as a receiver out of the backfield (eight passing targets).

— Like everyone else, I like Ceedee Lamb. I’ve had him in the top-15 of my mocks. It’s worth noting, however, that I’m giving him the benefit of the doubt in terms of athletic potential. There’s no doubting his YAC ability and some of the big plays he’s made this year are sensational. He’s looked like a more polished version of Cordarelle Patterson. Even so — he ran a 4.60 at SPARQ despite weighing only 172lbs. He’s a wiry receiver. If he runs in the 4.5’s — that’s going to raise some concerns. And given the likes of Henry Ruggs, Jalen Reagor and K.J. Hamler could all run in the 4.2-4.3 range — Lamb has to show he has the speed. Otherwise he won’t go as early as we’re projecting currently. Against Baylor he had one enormous 71-yard YAC play and finished with eight catches for 173 yards.

— I didn’t have access to the BIG-10 or ACC title games but here are the key notes. J.K. Dobbins had 173 yards on 33 carries and a touchdown for Ohio State. K.J. Hill managed two scores on seven targets (83 yards). Chase Young was often double or triple-teamed based on the clips I’ve seen and had 1.5 TFL’s and two QB hurries. Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor had one gliding 45-yard run and finished with 148 yards on 20 carries and a score. Tight end Jake Ferguson had two catches for 33 yards. For Clemson, Travis Etienne had 114 yards on 14 carries and a touchdown. Tee Higgins had nine catches for 182 yards and three touchdowns. Isaish Simmons had an interception and 22 yard return, plus a QB hurry.

— The top four, to me, seems pretty obvious — #1 LSU, #2 Ohio State, #3 Clemson, #4 Oklahoma. Ohio State has the most talent on its roster but LSU has beaten better teams and has the best player in the country. Beating 2019 Alabama — with Tua — in their own backyard, while also defeating Georgia, Auburn and Florida has to count for something.

— I’ve said this a few times already this season but I think the Seahawks might come unstuck in LA tonight. When you play things so close to the vest all year, eventually you’re going to drop a game. The Rams have had Seattle’s number on offense under McVay. They’ve moved the ball at will in the last four meetings between the teams and even with a weaker O-line and banged up unit, I don’t see that changing much tonight. It’ll be up to Russell Wilson and the offense to keep pace (which in fairness they have done in the last three games). Seattle has run the ball consistently well against the Rams and the size advantage on the O-line will be key again tonight. Defensively they’ll need Jadeveon Clowney to be at his game-wrecking best. The Seahawks need to go 1-1 in their final two road games to set up the two homes games against Arizona and San Francisco. The Niners have to play the Rams again plus they’re in New Orleans tonight. Winning at least one of the games against LA or Carolina puts the Seahawks in pole position to claim the NFC West — even if they’d still need to defeat the 49ers (a tough ask) in week 17.

— A lot of fans have been debating whether to root for New Orleans or San Francisco tonight. Root for the Saints and forget about the #1 seed. The Seahawks are 6-0 on the road currently. They’ve travelled well. If they’re the #2 seed, they’d have to win a maximum of one road game to make the Super Bowl and they wouldn’t need to travel at all if the Saints lost in the divisional round. The absolute priority this year is to win the division and make sure you get the playoff bye and don’t have to be the #5 seed. Any advantage in the NFC West race is crucial. Why would you want to risk not winning the west by rooting for the Niners? Just look at the two scenarios:

#5 seed — would need to win three road games to make the Super Bowl

#2 seed — would need to win one home game and one home or away game to make the Super Bowl

Being the #1 seed would be excellent but being #1 instead of #2 is not enough motivation to root for your only rival for the division and a playoff bye. It’s much more preferable to maintain or create further separation between the Seahawks and Niners in the division.

— Hunter Bryant announced he was turning pro this week. We’ve talked about him a lot this year. He’s a name to keep an eye on for the Seahawks in this draft. A quick reminder — the Seahawks have frequently targeted tight ends who do well in the short shuttle and three cone. Bryant ran a superb 4.35 three cone at SPARQ. Unlike most college tight ends he was asked to block at Washington and did a decent job overall. He’s a dynamic target at the second level and while he’s had some drops — he’s also a big-play artist who’s tallied a high number of explosive plays this year. The Seahawks will add a new tight end at some stage during the off-season. If the top receivers are off the board by Seattle’s first pick — Bryant could offer an alternative option. For more on Bryant check out this article.

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Season stats after the Vikings game

Bradley McDougald is having a great season but the blown coverage that led to Laquon Treadwell’s touchdown on Monday seemingly impacted his passer rating when targeted. His rating rose from 29.4 to 40.0 and he’s dropped from #4 in the league to #6. He’s fourth overall for safety’s behind Earl Thomas, Tashaun Gipson and Justin Simmons. Despite the error, it’s still an impressive mark.

Quandre Diggs is also excelling with a rating of 43.3 when targeted.

McDougald’s yards-per-target score (4.6) is almost identical to Thomas’ (4.5) too. They’re also conceding a very similar completion percentage (47.4% for Thomas, 47.5% for McDougald). Diggs’ completion percentage is 50% although his yards per target score is much higher (9.4).

Unsurprisingly the top ranked cornerbacks for passer rating when targeted are Stephon Gilmore (44.1), Tre’Davious White (46.9), Ahkello Witherspoon (48.9), Richard Sherman (52.2) and Jimmy Smith (53.6). Interestingly, Tre Flowers isn’t too far behind at 65.6. Getting up to three interceptions will help. He’s scoring higher than Marlon Humphrey (73.2), Denzel Ward (79.7), Jaire Alexander (83.0), Carlton Davis (83.7) and Marshon Lattimore (85.2). They were all first or second round picks between 2017 and 2018. Flowers was a fifth round pick in 2018.

It’s further evidence of Pete Carroll’s ability to draft and develop cornerbacks.

Shaquill Griffin has a passer rating when targeted of 85.4. This is undoubtedly due to his lack of interceptions so far. A couple between now and the end of the season will have a big impact on his score.

As a consequence of the Vikings game, Griffin’s completion percentage has risen from 50.9% to 52.2%. Flowers marginally improved his rating from 58.2% to 58%. In comparison, Stephon Gilmore’s completion percentage is 51.4%. Both players are clearly playing very well.

Earlier this year Mychal Kendricks led the league in missed tackle percentage. He’s now only ranked 15th in the league with 21.5% missed tackles. However, a new Seahawk is rising up the list unfortunately. Quandre Diggs has now missed 26.3% of his tackles — the third most in the league.

Jadeveon Clowney is ranked 16th for pressures (29), ninth for hurries (15) and 11th in for QB knockdowns (11). These are impressive marks when you consider Clowney is only credited with one blitz for the entire season. In comparison, T.J. Watt leads the league for pressures (46) but he’s blitzed 65 times. Shaquill Barrett at Tampa Bay has 36 pressure but he’s blitzed 148 times. Chandler Jones has 31 pressures but has blitzed 108 times.

Clowney is creating a similar level of pressure but doing it within a conservative scheme.

The other players who are also doing this are:

Joey Bosa — 0 blitzes 43 pressures
Aaron Donald — 0 blitzes 43 pressures
Cam Jordan — 11 blitzes 41 pressures
Everson Griffen — 0 blitzes 32 pressures
Nick Bosa — 1 blitz 32 pressures
Danielle Hunter — 0 blitzes, 30 pressures

That’s the kind of company Clowney is keeping this year, despite arriving late in Seattle and dealing with an injury. He’s a top-level defensive lineman who must be retained.

Overall on defense the Seahawks have the fourth fewest sacks (23) — they’re sandwiched between the Lions, Bengals, Falcons and Dolphins. Their sack percentage (4.6%) is the third worst in the NFL.

They’re also the fourth weakest team in terms of pressure percentage (20.2%) — again flanked by the Falcons, Dolphins, Lions and also the Texans. They have the third fewest TFL’s (39)

They’ve also given up the fourth most yards on defense (3232) — topping only Arizona, Tampa Bay and Detroit.

It’s incredible really that they’re 10-2 with these numbers. It’s equally baffling to see they have the seventh most interceptions (11), their touchdown percentage (3.2%) is the fifth best in the league behind only New England, Buffalo, Baltimore and Chicago, they have the eighth most pass deflections (57) and they’re seventh in the NFL for passer rating (85.8). They’re also ranked in the top-10 for third down defense (36.2% conversions).

Imagine how good they’d be with a consistently strong pass rush?

In terms of run defense, they’ve given up 99.6 rushing yards per game (eighth best in the NFL). That’s a definite improvement on a year ago.

On offense the Seahawks are running the ball the way they like. They currently rank third in rushing yards after contact:

Baltimore — 1019
Tennessee — 937
Seattle — 922
Buffalo — 850
Jacksonville — 827

They also average 2.5 yards after contact per carry, the fifth best mark in the league. They’ve also broken 34 tackles in the running game, second only to the Saints (36).

They’re also third in the league for rushing yards (1724) behind only Baltimore (2494) and San Francisco (1776). Interestingly though, they’ve achieved those yards on 376 attempts — fewer than the Niners (400) and Ravens (445).

In the passing game, the Seahawks have had only 13 drops this year. Only Atlanta (12) and Baltimore (9) have fewer.

2019 special teams emphasis

New England has three players on their roster purely for special teams value. The Seahawks took a similar approach this year and made a big statement during free agency and the draft.

The selection of Travis Homer and Ben Burr-Kirven plus the addition of Nick Bellore were clearly for special teams value. They retained Neiko Thorpe as special teams captain and made a big push to add Jason Myers.

It’s not uncommon for the Seahawks to do this either. In 2013 they had Chris Maragos, Heath Farwell, Michael Robinson and others with a main or strong responsibility on special teams.

It’s something to consider when assessing decisions in the future. There was a lot of talk from fans in pre-season about Bellore’s role, Thorpe being cut and who they may or may not keep. This team, like most winning teams, places a big emphasis on special teams.

They needed to get back on track with this unit. In the last three games, we’ve seen a marked improvement and that’s a very encouraging sign for the rest of the 2019 season.

What kind of receiver is needed?

I received this question on twitter earlier today…

@robstaton what kind of WR should the Seahawks be looking at in the draft? Not particular players, but what's the prototype? Big athlete to play outside? Smaller guy who can play underneath from the slot?

— C S (@cascadiasports_) December 4, 2019

The answer is clear — speed and suddenness.

We need to look for players who create easy separation and can play a variety of roles — whether it’s the slot or outside. They have size with D.K. Metcalf (although he needs to develop skills to make more of his frame) and they will almost certainly add another tight end at some point. Josh Gordon could also be retained. They need another dynamic speed receiver. Thankfully this draft class is loaded with early round options.

The only question is whether or not the likes of Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs, K.J. Hamler and others will be available whenever the Seahawks pick. It’s possible all could rise quickly up the board — especially if they run as well as expected at the combine.

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‘What did you do during the game last night?’

‘Oh just stressed out for three or four hours like usual’

Another game, another crazy night involving the Seattle Seahawks.

This latest 37-30 win against Minnesota, like all but one of the other nine this season, was equally terrifying and glorious.

This is a team that mixes moments of pure excitement with an inability to get out of its own way. The end product is a lot of entertaining football games — if you’re a neutral.

For Seahawks fans it’s probably created a few extra grey hairs.

It’ll be worth it if they continue on their current trajectory and make this a season to remember. They’re pushing fine-margins-football to the brink though.

This game had four major swings, which is incredible.

The first half was tight until the freakish ‘volleyball’ pick-six gifted the Vikings a half-time lead. After two quarters, you couldn’t help but wonder if this was going to be a similar story to the Saints and Ravens games. The Seahawks have now conceded five touchdowns on offensive turnovers — the most in the league. They lost to New Orleans and Baltimore by conceding cheap points.

Yet the third quarter was about as well as the Seahawks have played all season. They went on a 24-0 scoring tear — running with authority, forcing turnovers and threatening to make a major statement against a quality opponent. The Vikings looked dejected and beaten. It appeared, for only the second time this season, the Seahawks might win a game with a degree of comfort.

What followed was crushing.

A blown coverage by the usually reliable Bradley McDougald for a quick-response touchdown. Another fumble from D.K. Metcalf. A pass interference penalty against Tre Flowers. Another quick Vikings score. A 13-yard loss on an unnecessary Russell Wilson sack. Minnesota suddenly had the ball, driving to win.

You’d be forgiven for fearing the worst at that stage. Kirk Cousins completed a pass to Kyle Rudolph and the charge was on. Suddenly, the defense stood tall. Four stops, a turnover on downs. A final, decisive momentum swing.

The Seahawks still had to finish things on offense and this time they executed and obliged. A fumble-turnover on special teams denied Minnesota one last shot at a miracle.

A game filled with pro’s and con’s, excitement and pain — and the satisfying conclusion of a win and now first place in the NFC West.

We’ll see how they handle being chased at the top of the division. Hunting the Niners has seemingly suited this team. Now, despite being 10-2 themselves, San Francisco finds itself in second place.

Next week will again be crucial. The 49ers go to New Orleans while the Seahawks head to LA to face the rejuvenated Rams. It’ll likely be as significant as it looks.

The big thing today was the increased effectiveness of the running game against a stout running unit. Minnesota made the Seahawks work for their yards through the air with the exception of the David Moore touchdown. On the ground, Seattle romped to 218 yards — by far the most conceded by the Vikings this season.

Both Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson excelled, as did the offensive line. The line in particular deserves high praise for the way they continue to blossom this year — both in pass-pro and the run game.

The defense continues to make big plays. Tre Flowers’ interception was superb and should’ve been the clincher. Overall the Seahawks collected three more turnovers and had the key turnover on downs too. The special teams unit was also on-point — with a great kicking game complimented by the successful fake punt.

Nothing is bolstering Seattle’s Championship credentials more than the improved defensive and special teams units.

There are some issues to discuss too, though.

Tyler Lockett still doesn’t look right and it’s perhaps no surprise Russell Wilson’s MVP campaign has faded with Lockett virtually out of the picture. The Seahawks need Lockett at something close to 100% to function at their very best.

D.K. Metcalf is an exciting talent but he’s added ball-security to his list of issues along with high-pointing and boxing-out. These are not insignificant problems to overcome.

The team ‘finished’ in the end but really it should never have been so close. Are they pushing their luck or simply battle-hardened?

Overall though, it’s another win. It was a crucial victory in the NFC playoff picture. It’s first place in the NFC West this week. It’s another 10-win season. It’s a five game winning streak. And the Seahawks are in the hunt.

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