This is my first attempt at a Seahawks seven round projection. There are two central thoughts in this mock that I wanted to focus on:
1. I think John Schneider is itching to draft a quarterback
2. I think acquiring more stock will be seen as a priority
On the first one, I have a strong hunch about this. I think Schneider’s lukewarm words about Geno Smith at his press conference were revealing. I believe he has been eager to draft a new signal caller for some time, even during Russell Wilson’s time in Seattle.
Now that he is in charge I think his vision for the offense will be explosive plays, getting the most out of D.K. Metcalf and an aggressive, point-scoring unit. I know people are talking about Mike Macdonald, as a defensive coach, perhaps wanting to resort to running the ball and adopting a conservative style. I don’t agree. Baltimore had a lot of success because their offense was aggressive, they regularly played with a lead and that significantly helped the defense. I suspect that will be the mentality in Seattle.
I think there are quarterbacks in this class who will appeal to Schneider, while also acknowledging that the range for players like Michael Penix Jr, Bo Nix and Spencer Rattler is unpredictable.
On the second point, the Seahawks don’t have a second rounder because of the Leonard Williams trade. They do have two thirds. For the last two drafts, Schneider has had a treasure trove to work with due to the Wilson trade. I think he will seek to get more stock this year by moving around the board.
If there’s a can’t-miss player at #16 that could change. I think players like Jared Verse, for example, fit that profile. Assuming he and others like him are gone, I think the likelihood of moving down from #16 is strong. This is a good draft in the first four rounds. They have a number of holes and need picks to fill those holes with affordable talent.
The state of the roster pre-draft
In this projection, I have the Seahawks re-signing Leonard Williams to a big extension. Jordyn Brooks signs a one or two-year deal to try and bolster his stock under the leadership of the man who elevated Patrick Queen. I also have the Seahawks retaining Noah Fant, given the paucity of tight end alternatives in the draft and free agency. Drew Lock is retained.
Jamal Adams is cut to save money and there are other savings, outlined in my piece a few days ago. This includes trading Geno Smith before March 20th. I have them dealing him to the Steelers, who must know Kenny Pickett isn’t the answer. They’re already talking about trading for a quarterback. The Seahawks have very little leverage in negotiations due to the March 20th deadline, when his contract locks in to Seattle’s cap. That is the latest they can deal Smith to get the $13.8m saving. As such, they can’t get much more than a day three pick — with the Steelers giving them a fourth rounder (#120).
You might argue that’s not much compensation but if Schneider’s preference is to move off Smith and draft a quarterback anyway, getting anything in return would be a bonus. He does also turn 34-years-old this year.
The seven-round mock
Round 1 — #16 — the Seahawks trade down
I have the Seahawks moving down nine spots in a deal with the Green Bay Packers. They deal the 16th pick to Green Bay for the 25th pick and 58th pick. The trade makes sense per the trade chart, because Seattle’s pick costs 1000 points and Green Bay’s two picks cost 1050. The Packers also have two second rounders so they can afford to be aggressive. They move up because the mid-first round is going to be the back-end of where the top offensive tackles come off the board. This is a key need for the Packers and they can’t afford to wait. They move up for Olu Fashanu or Joe Alt — two left tackle prospects who are a bit over-hyped by the media and could be available at #16. Or, they could target Amarius Mims.
This trade gets the Seahawks back into the second round.
Round 1 — #25 — the Seahawks trade down (again)
Yep, we’re back to those days when people used to complain about the Seahawks constantly trading down. There’s method behind the madness though. In this scenario, Schneider has had his eye on a group of players all along at a particular position. They’re all still on the board, so he feels confident moving down four more spots to get further stock.
The Seahawks deal the #25 and #150 picks to Detroit for #29 and #92. Per the trade chart, Seattle’s two picks are worth 751 points and Detroit’s two picks are worth 752 points. Essentially, the Seahawks swap a fifth rounder for another third rounder. Given the draft class drops off after round four, this isn’t a big issue. For the Lions, it enables them to aggressively jump Arizona and Buffalo to get the defensive back they want — with a run ongoing in this range.
So far the Seahawks have completed two trades, gaining #58 (round two) and swapping #150 (round five) for #92 (round three).
Round 1 — #29 — Michael Penix Jr (QB, Washington)
I think Schneider might have interest in both of the big-name PAC-12 quarterbacks but Penix Jr is the one with the arm talent to be a crucial difference maker and ’tilt the field’. He is far from a flawless prospect and I’ve written many articles detailing some of the issues, including after watching him live. However — you can’t avoid the fact that he has a golden arm comparable to the likes of Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, two players Schneider absolutely wanted to draft.
If it’s Seattle’s intention, and I think it is, to feature an explosive, aggressive offense, Penix Jr fits the mould. Yes, he will have stretches where the short/intermediate accuracy is off and drives will stall. Yet he will also be a threat to be a big play on every snap. If you can produce a complementary running game to bring the safeties up, you could have the makings of a top-tier explosive offense.
The fact that the Seahawks are interested in hiring Ryan Grubb as offensive coordinator adds to the intrigue. It’s not a given they’d seek to pair them together but it’s also pretty easy to make the connection. Penix Jr and Grubb had a good working relationship at UW.
I think the Seahawks could potentially be interested in Bo Nix and Spencer Rattler too, perhaps even J.J. McCarthy (although I think his physical limitations might be an issue for Schneider). I get the sense most Seahawks fans want to focus only on the trenches with the early picks but having studied the draft class in great detail on the whole, there are plenty of options stretching into round three. I would suggest the difference between the mid-to-late first round O-liners and the day two O-liners is not that significant, it’s an excellent class. And while I really believe it’s vital to invest in the offensive and defensive lines, it’s also critical the Seahawks find a long term quarterback option.
I will probably look at a scenario down the line where the Seahawks trade down a bit from #16, take an O-liner, then maybe move up with a newly acquired round two pick to get a QB.
Round 2 — #58 — Kris Jenkins (DT, Michigan)
This is the pick acquired from Green Bay. I don’t expect the Seahawks to go chasing Baltimore’s big name free agents, in part because they don’t have the cap space to do so. I think instead they’ll set out to find their own versions. Jenkins could be viewed as a potential Justin Madubuike alternative.
The two players share a lot of similarities. Madubuike was physically brilliant and a blog favourite. He ran a 4.83 forty and a 1.73 10-yard split, highlighting his impressive upside. There were some concerns about his consistency and size (6-3, 293lbs) and he lasted into round three, despite many projecting a second round range.
Jenkins shares a similar profile. He’s extremely athletic and reportedly is capable of running a 4.33 shuttle and a 7.16 three-cone (Madubuike ran a 7.37). He’s undersized having mostly played in the 280’s and 290’s until this year where he topped 300lbs. His play on the field has at times been underwhelming and inconsistent. However, as with Madubuike, the talent is there.
Jenkins is of good character and that is a big factor for the Seahawks. Mike Macdonald will know all about him from his Michigan days. His dad and uncle both played at a good level in the league. I watched a video recently (see below) with his uncle Cullen Jenkins and he had a Seahawks helmet in his house, randomly, signed by Walter Jones, Mack Strong and others from that Super Bowl XL era. I wonder if Steve Hutchinson, another former Michigan man from that group, might have good intel on Jenkins through the family.
An alternative to Jenkins could be Clemson’s Ruke Orhorhoro. If Jenkins measures with shorter arms, Orhorhoro (who has great length with 34-inch arms) could be a viable option instead. He’s 6-3 and 288lbs and plays with a lot of power, quickness and intensity. He was a more impactful player in college but arguably has a lower ceiling.
Round 3 — #78 — Zak Zinter (G, Michigan)
This pick is why I don’t feel that passionately about having to go O-line in round one. Zinter is, for me, one of the absolute finest linemen in the class. I thought he was the best guard I saw in 2023, playing with an old-school mentality. You’re not going to be wowed by any testing results here but he’s going to get the job done up front. Watching him, I thought he screamed +8 year starter (at least) in the league.
He’s available here because he suffered a bad injury against Ohio State. By all accounts he’s recovering well from a broken leg and is expected to be back before next season. That will likely impact his stock and could mean a top-50 talent lasts into round three. If that happens, some team is going to get a stud. He is a plug-and-play guard who will elevate an offensive line in year one. Yes, he’ll need to go through all of the medical checks before the draft. However, everything from his brawling style of play, the way he attacks opponents right off the snap, loves to get up to the second level, can mix it up in the running game and tie down his side in pass protection makes Zinter a home-run pick.
I think he’s potentially as good as any interior lineman in this class and he could be available at a discount price. Furthermore, he is a high character player loved by team mates. Plus, it’s another Michigan player. I suspect both Macdonald and Hutchinson will know all about him. And he’s played with Olu Oluwatimi.
Round 3 — #81 — Malik Mustapha (S, Wake Forest)
Mustapha might not have Kyle Hamilton’s size but his playing style is ideally suited to a similar role in Macdonald’s defense. Here’s what I said in yesterday’s article:
I was wowed when I watched tape of Mustapha the week before the Senior Bowl and immediately placed him on the board as my highest ranked safety with a second round grade. He has an outstanding mix of range, quickness, hitting ability, power and he’s versatile enough to play different roles at safety (free, strong, nickel). He doesn’t have Kyle Hamilton’s size (5-10, 210lbs) but I believe he can fill that void if Macdonald is looking for that type of player. He needs to sharpen up schematically to stick at free safety because he does give up some plays. Initially I would suggest putting him at strong while he develops, in place of Jamal Adams. Yet the potential is there for Mustapaha to be a top-tier safety. From a character point of view he is first-rate with an engaging personality, he was a team-captain and he would perfectly fit Seattle’s desire for a high-character individual. He could be available in round three and quickly work into a starting role.
Mustapha is one of the more underrated players in the draft.
Round 3 — #92 — Nathaniel Watson (LB, Mississippi State)
This is the pick acquired from Detroit. In this projection I have the Seahawks re-signing Jordyn Brooks. He needs a partner though and Watson, for me, is a strong candidate. Here’s what I wrote about him yesterday:
On tape, he’s an ideally sized physical machine — capable of playing the MIKE or WILL. He can drop in coverage to take away throwing lanes but he can also fly to the ball-carrier and play sideline-to-sideline. Watson, if given an opportunity, will absolutely hammer opponents and possesses the big-hitting skills Seattle’s defense has missed in recent years. There’s a good example on tape from last year where he chases down and blasts Bryce Young. There’s an old-school style to his play, with the traits of a modern day linebacker. He can play in attack-mode as a pass-rusher and had 10 sacks in 2023 and totalled 21 sacks in his last three seasons. He led the Mississippi State defense and was the one to make the calls on the field and adjust. Watson is a heart-and-soul player very capable of developing into an impact player and leader. If you can get him in the third or fourth round range, he could be a steal. If he runs a good short-shuttle and 10-yard split, watch out.
As with Mustapha, Watson is one of the more underrated players in the draft.
Round 4 — #118 — Austin Booker (DE, Kansas)
I’d suggest Darrell Taylor’s days are numbered in Seattle. He’s shown flashes of pass-rushing quality but I’m not convinced he’s disciplined enough for Macdonald’s scheme and he’s been a liability too often. Keeping him as a RFA feels unlikely. If they move on, though, they’ll need a replacement. Macdonald might prefer to bring a veteran in — he had great success with Jadeveon Clowney and Kyle Van Noy — and that would open up the possibility for the Seahawks to return to their ‘picking a receiver in round four’ ways. If not, Booker would be a strong option here.
There are lots of things he has to work on. He needs to fill out a bit and get stronger. However, if we’re using the Ron Wolf approach of focusing on what a player can do, here’s what he is. Firstly — he has great length (34 inch arms) and there’s evidence on tape of him bench-pressing tackles to keep his frame clean and keep his eyes on the ball-carrier, disengaging and making plays vs the run. He can win with speed and bend off the edge — flashing incredible balance to round tackles. He has quickness and occasionally wins with power. There is plenty to work with here.
Round 4 — #120 — Dylan McMahon (C, NC State)
This is the pick acquired from the Steelers for Geno Smith. The Shrine Bowl brought McMahon to my attention and I produced this write up after studying him closely:
He showed choppy feet to keep setting and anchoring against interior rushers. He consistently got his hands inside and in the right spot and because he’s a smaller blocker (6-2, 295lbs) he won many leverage battles. Then, with his strong back and connected feet, he just controlled. There were occasions during scrimmage where he released up to the second level and sealed running lanes. He also did a good job turning opponents off the snap. His angles were good and he’s scrappy — he’s just a pain in the arse to disengage from. McMahon can reportedly jump a 32-inch vertical so he’s explosive. He speaks well, again — typical of an intelligent, determined center. I’ve got him in round three with the expectation he could be available later at a bargain price.
McMahon has the potential to be as good as the bigger names in this center class, which is deep. I think he could quickly compete with Oluwatimi to start and you’d have two strong, young options competing to be the long-term starter.
Round 6 — #193 — Ainias Smith (WR, Texas A&M)
There are electric qualities to Smith as a receiver but the main reason I’m including him here is as a return man. It’s far too long since the Seahawks had a legit threat returning kick-offs and punts. Smith would be an immediate contributor in that regard, with the chance to work his way into seeing some playing time as a receiver down the line.
Round 7 — #232 — Jack Westover (TE, Washington)
The Seahawks are going to need to find some depth at tight end and while Westover might not be the most conventional NFL TE, he consistently showed a clutch gene during his time at Washington. Penix Jr frequently made him work for key conversions and he always delivered. A team-first type who could develop a role on special teams quickly and act as a third-down option.
Full draft class
R1 — Michael Penix Jr (QB, Washington)
R2 — Kris Jenkins (DT, Michigan)
R3 — Zak Zinter (G, Michigan)
R3 — Malik Mustapha (S, Wake Forest)
R3 — Nathaniel Watson (LB, Mississippi State)
R4 — Dylan McMahon (C, NC State)
R4 — Austin Booker (DE, Kansas)
R6 — Ainias Smith (WR, Texas A&M)
R7 — Jack Westover (TE, Washington)
I think all of these players could contribute quickly with multiple having the potential to be plus starters. Let me know your thoughts on the haul in the comments section.
Finally, I posted a video on my channel discussing the offensive coordinator search. Check it out by clicking here.